Option Focus | AMD Draws $54 Million Bullish Bet on 2028 $760 and $860 Calls, Signaling Aggressive Long-Term Upside Positioning

Option Witch08-07 07:00

Advanced Micro Devices closed at USD 489.28, up 1.50 percent.

A massive, $54.40 million bullish bet dominated AMD’s options flow, as a trader aggressively bought long-dated December 2028 calls at the $760 and $860 strikes. This deep out-of-the-money positioning, far above the current price, underscores a high-conviction institutional view for a significant multi-year upside re-rating. While a smaller $1.47 million protective put was also noted, the session’s large-trade tone was overwhelmingly bullish, contrasting with near-neutral implied volatility metrics.

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Options Indicators

AMD’s implied volatility is 68.70%, and its IV percentile of 69.32% places current option pricing near the upper end of the neutral range, just below the threshold where volatility would be considered clearly elevated. In other words, options are not especially cheap at these levels, but they are also not yet in definitively expensive territory. With the IV/HV ratio at 0.82, implied volatility is running below historical volatility, suggesting the market’s forward volatility pricing is somewhat restrained relative to recent realized movement. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.43.

Large Trades

A directional call-buying combination worth $54.40 million was the standout large trade, consisting of long 2,000 AMD December 15, 2028 $760 calls and long 2,000 December 15, 2028 $860 calls. This is a same-direction double-call purchase aimed at capturing a substantial upside move over the long term, with both strikes well out of the money versus the $489.28 reference stock price. Because both legs were bought, the structure represents a net premium paid strategy, with a net debit of $54.40 million. Strategically, this reflects aggressive bullish directional exposure with leverage to a major upside re-rating, rather than income generation or downside protection.

A PUT buy worth $1.47 million was the other displayed large trade, involving the purchase of 1,198 January 15, 2027 $310 puts. With the strike far below the current stock price, the option was out of the money at entry, making this a bearish position that would benefit from a significant decline in AMD over time. As a single-leg long put, it represents premium paid for downside exposure or tail-risk hedging, and its strategic meaning is a cautious bearish hedge rather than a high-conviction trade large enough to outweigh the dominant call buying seen elsewhere.

Overall, the large-trade flow points clearly to a bullish institutional stance on AMD. The sentiment summary is overwhelmingly skewed toward bullish premium, and that tone is reinforced by the dominant presence of the massive long-dated call combination, which signals willingness to commit substantial capital to upside participation far above the current share price. Although there were some bearish put purchases in the broader tape, they appear secondary in size and likely reflect selective hedging or downside protection rather than a broad negative view. The conclusion is that large traders were positioning for further upside in AMD, with speculative bullish exposure decisively outweighing bearish risk management activity.

Strategy Reference

For a neutral-to-bullish posture with a low assignment probability, a seller could consider deep out-of-the-money puts, such as the January 2026 $310 strike, to collect premium while the prevailing large-trade sentiment leans decisively bullish.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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