My 2030 valuation model for $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is definitely aggressive, but here is how I'm looking at the upside.
Worst-case scenario: around a 2x return from current levels.
Bull case: potentially 20x.
My realistic target range is around $450-$750 if the company can execute.
The assumptions:
Revenue: $50B-$65B
EBITDA: $25B-$35B
Even reaching the lower end of that range would still represent a massive return from today's price.
$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is currently my second-largest position behind $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ because I believe AI infrastructure will be one of the biggest investment themes of this decade.
The reason I like this company is simple: AI demand requires massive compute, and the companies building the infrastructure behind AI could become some of the biggest winners.
Of course, high-growth companies come with high expectations. Execution matters, valuation matters, and the market can punish companies that fail to deliver.
The upside is exciting, but investors need conviction and patience.
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