苏36
08-13 19:03
I think the biggest takeaway is that political risk is becoming a real business cost.

Apple hiring a Washington veteran is more than a PR move. With tariffs, China policy, regulation and a new CEO coming in, Apple clearly wants to reduce the risk of getting caught on the wrong side of Washington.

As for the midterm election, history is encouraging, but I wouldn’t blindly bet on a post-election rally. The S&P 500 has already run hard this year, so some of that optimism may already be priced in.

For me, the better strategy is simple: don’t try to predict who wins Congress. Watch earnings, margins and cash flow. If election uncertainty creates a correction in high-quality companies, that could be a better opportunity than chasing the rally.

Washington can change overnight. Great businesses still have to deliver every quarter.

@WallStreet_Tiger [思考]

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