Ben Tiger
08-23 09:53

NVIDIA (NVDA)

Q1 FY2027 revenue hit $81.6B (+85% YoY), with Data Center ~$75B (+92%). Q2 guidance is ~$91B (±2%) at ~75% gross margins (China data-center compute excluded). Demand visibility remains strong (multi-year customer commitments; hyperscaler capex forecasts continue rising). Partnerships and platform expansions (including software/models) reinforce the ecosystem.

Shares trade around $215 (market cap ~$5.2T), consolidating after strong gains. Consensus is Strong Buy with average targets near $300–$310 (substantial upside). Valuation has compressed to more reasonable levels relative to growth.

Future potential: Highest conviction in pure AI compute. Leadership in GPUs, full-stack offerings, and infrastructure financing platforms position it well for sustained multi-year growth. Key near-term catalyst: Aug 26 earnings. Risks include competition, export controls, and any slowdown in hyperscaler spend. Core holding for AI portfolios.

Nvidia Drops 2.3% a Week Before Earnings — 50% Upside or Bubble?
Nvidia −2.34% Tuesday, a week out from August 26 earnings. BofA sees roughly 55% upside after pricing in AI risk, and notes institutions are still underweight — unusual, in a week when memory and second-tier compute are called crowded trades. The bear case is financing: Nvidia is backing about $105bn of lease guarantees for OpenAI's Ohio data center, which Gundlach likened to "bonds collateralized by bananas"; Huang denies it is circular. On competition, Cerebras claims the fastest accelerator and Groq raised $350m. Add before earnings, wait for the minutes, or rotate to Broadcom?
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