πŸ”₯ Memory Prices +500%: Bullish for Chips, Painful for Everyone Else?

Kentzw
09-18 14:04

The number that caught my attention today: Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan said memory prices have surged 5–7Γ—.

That sounds incredibly bullish for memory makers like $MU, $SNDK and $SK Hynix β€” and the market reacted accordingly:

πŸ“ˆ MU +5.50%

πŸ“ˆ SNDK +6.21%

πŸ“ˆ SK Hynix +4.64%

πŸ“ˆ INTC +7.67%

But there’s another side to this story.

Higher memory prices mean pricing power and potentially stronger margins for suppliers. But for PC, smartphone and other device makers, memory is becoming a much bigger input cost. Reuters reports smaller manufacturers are already struggling to secure supply, with the shortage expected to persist into 2027. οΏΌ

So I’m looking at the 500% figure two ways:

🟒 Bull case: supply is tight enough to give memory manufacturers exceptional pricing power.

πŸ”΄ Warning: if memory becomes too expensive, downstream customers may cut volumes, raise prices or sacrifice margins.

That’s what makes this memory cycle fascinating.

Is +500% pricing evidence of a powerful memory super-cycle β€” or a sign the industry is getting too expensive to sustain?

Memory Prices Up Over 500% β€” Does That Still Count as Good News?
Memory rallied Thursday on a line from Intel's CEO: memory prices are up more than 500%. Micron +5.50% to $977.50, SanDisk +6.21% to $1,614.39, SK Hynix +4.64% to $182.99. Intel led them all, +7.67% to $108.80, on a second day of the SK Hynix foundry reports, which several outlets say is still not a deal. Wednesday the foundry rose 4% and memory sat still; Thursday memory caught up. Worth noting who said it. The 500% is a buyer describing what it now pays, not a seller reporting what it now earns. Same sentence, read as a cost complaint and as a bull case. Which is it?
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