To The Moon

My Investing Muse (03Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Between July 27 and August 2, 2026, the tide of restructuring swept through industries with quiet force, as Porsche sealed an agreement to shed five thousand more roles toward a nine-thousand total by 2035 amid fading demand. Yet several claimed cuts fell just before the window: Centrica’s thirteen hundred, Telefónica Germany’s eleven hundred store-closing plan, K&L Gates’ ten-percent non-lawyer trim, and Amazon’s cloud software reductions had already echoed days earlier, while Intel’s Data Center moves and Magic Leap’s nearly two-hundred waveguide pivot gained only confirmatory notes within the week. Fresh waves arrived nonetheless—BMW offering voluntary exits for up to eight thousand German administrative and research

News and my thoughts from the past week (03Aug2026) To prevent Japan from selling even more US assets, he joined Japan in a massive coordinated intervention. But instead of selling USD, the US sold EUR. To keep this war going, the US has to bail out major holders of US assets to prevent them from selling... especially Treasuries. - X user Lukas Ekwueme More than 1.2 million leveraged retail trading accounts in South Korea triggered margin calls as ​of July 13th, with an estimated 320,000–360,000 accounts fully liquidated, per Goldman Sachs. This means around 3.4% of the adult ⁠population in South Korea has received margin calls. The KOSPI is currently down another ~18% since July 13th. We believe that the total number of fully liquidated accounts is now above 500,000. - X user The Kobeissi

Market Outlook of S&P500 (03Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview Source: Yahoo Finance dated 02Aug2026 MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the long term and uncertain in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This is showing a bearish trend. Chaikin Money Flow The CMF index shows a score of 0.09, indicating more buying momentum than sell

Earnings Calendar (03Aug2026) In the coming week we have some highly anticipated earnings that included Palantir, Pfizer, McDonald’s, Walt Disney, Uber and SpaceX. McDonald’s earnings are a global bellwether for consumer health and economic conditions. Same-store sales can show whether lower- and middle-income consumers are under budget pressure, while weaker foot traffic may point to inflation-driven pullbacks in value meals and discretionary dining. Menu prices also provide insight into commodity and labour cost pressures, including inputs such as beef and dairy. In a downturn, a shift by higher-income consumers from sit-down restaurants to fast food may signal weaker consumer sentiment. - from Google Gemini. McDonald’s price has fallen by 10.65% from a year ago. Technical analysis has a

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 03Aug2026) Key macroeconomic releases in the coming week will provide important signals on growth, inflation, labour-market conditions, and energy demand. Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for July is expected at 53.8, indicating continued expansion in global manufacturing activity. The ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices Index for July will also be released. The previous ISM Manufacturing Prices reading of 73.0 pointed to inflationary pressure, which could eventually be passed on to consumers. Labour-Market Data Several labour-market indicators will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve ahead of its upcoming interest-rate decision: JOLTS job openings for June will be announced, follow

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 03Aug2026) Key macroeconomic releases in the coming week will provide important signals on growth, inflation, labour-market conditions, and energy demand. Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for July is expected at 53.8, indicating continued expansion in global manufacturing activity. The ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices Index for July will also be released. The previous ISM Manufacturing Prices reading of 73.0 pointed to inflationary pressure, which could eventually be passed on to consumers. Labour-Market Data Several labour-market indicators will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve ahead of its upcoming interest-rate decision: JOLTS job openings for June will be announced, follow

My Investing Muse (27Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies (by Gemini & Grok) Key corporate and market stress signals (week of ~July 20, 2026): Major Layoffs British American Tobacco: ~9,000 roles (~20% of non-US workforce). Microsoft: ~4,800 global positions. Telefónica Germany: up to 1,100 roles (~16%). Verizon: ~3,000 affected (mostly store transfers + corporate cuts). Samsung: 800+ U.S. roles affected (many relocation offers). Entain: 500 positions. Closures/Restructuring Metro (Singapore): exiting Paragon and Causeway Point stores. Volkswagen: cutting model lines by up to 50% and reviewing European plants. Bankruptcies U.S. larger corporates: S&P reports 372 filings YTD—a 16-year high, led by industrial, consumer, and healthcare. Small businesses: Subchapter V filings u

News and my thoughts from the past week (27Jul2026) META $12 billion bond offer comes in at 7.6% on “weak demand”. So much pain coming to Oracle. On Monday, whose bonds are rapidly selling off at 7.9% to 8.1% while Meta was around 6.7%. - X user Roger Will this save Oracle? Are people leaving a sinking ship in BlackRock? JUST IN: OpenAI caught one of its AI agents leaving instructions for future versions to escape internal controls. - X user Watcher Guru Nike is planning to cut off thousands of online distributors in China beginning in January as the sneaker giant looks to clean up what’s become a messy digital marketplace and get the region back to growth, the company said Tuesday. Starting next year, Nike’s online footprint will shift primarily to the retailer’s official website and app,

Market Outlook of S&P500 (27Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but below the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and bearish in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. We had some issues with the charts from both Yahoo Finance and Investing. Pardon missing the other indicators like Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Exponential

Earnings Calendar (27Jul2026) This week features several major earnings releases, including Baker Hughes, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Boeing, UPS, Visa, Apple, Amazon, ExxonMobil, Moderna, and Chevron. We begin with UPS. Here is how UPS earnings serve as an economic reference (Google): UPS is a reliable economic bellwether because its logistics network handles about 6% of U.S. GDP and 3% of global GDP. By moving raw materials, finished goods, and e-commerce orders, its earnings offer a timely snapshot of broad economic health.Rising package volumes and express shipping suggest stronger business investment, retail activity, and consumer confidence. Falling volumes or a shift to cheaper delivery options can signal tighter spending, inventory slowdowns, and economic. UPS Valuation and M