What's the Three Way of CPI Playbook
CPI Wednesday is going to make 90% of traders lose money before lunch. Here's the exact playbook so you're not one of them 👇$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$
🧊 COOL PRINT (0.1% or below)
Market gaps up ~+0.24% at the open. That strength gets sold, median −0.27% intraday fade. The reversal isn't real, though: cool prints ran +1.05% over the next 3 sessions, the strongest follow-through of any outcome
📊 Don’t chase the gap up. Let the morning sellers finish, the real move comes over the rest of the week, so buy the dip
✅ IN-LINE (0.2%, the forecast)
Near-zero intraday drift, tightest range of the three. Vol bleeds out once the event risk resolves. 71% close green, highest rate of any bucket and still +0.55% over the next 3 sessions
📊 Buy the Intra-Day Dips
🔥 HOT PRINT (0.3%+)
Gaps down ~−0.30% at the open. Every hot print since 2023, 9 of 9, closed at or above that open and even the scary scenario averaged +0.73% over the next 3 sessions. The fade edge weakens on the biggest gaps though, those tend to stick more
📊 Remember bears are the crowded trade. Buy the dip and ride the wave back up
There's only three way this can play out, and now you know all three
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