🌟🌟🌟I will be watching $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ most closely this week as Walmart is the macro barometer.  If they warn again about lower income stress, the retail sector will feel the strain most acutely as Walmart is the largest US retailer.

If Walmart surprises positively, it will stabilise the entire consumer defensive sector.

Higher fuel prices are pressuring margins & household budgets.  Yet high income shoppers & Ecommerce is up and still driving growth.

I would also watch $Home Depot(HD)$ closely as the housing market is described as wobbly heading into earnings on August 18.  Home Depot is the interest rate sensitivity stock.  If housing demand continues to weaken, Home Depot's guidance could tighten.

All eyes will also be on Kevin Warsh, the new Fed Chair.  If he sounds hawkish, yields will rise, housing weakens, discretionary cracks widen and defensive stocks like Walmart will strengthen.

It is an exciting week for the market.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

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  • keke006
    Β·08-18 17:13
    Walmart really is the read-through here. If low-income pressure shows up again, retail defensives probably hold up while the broader consumer tape gets shakier
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