$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ This madness seriously needs to be stopped. It is getting ridiculous that the stock went downhill when it crushed the earning top and bottom line

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  • 古月说
    ·11-07 00:01
    这次抛售更像是市场重新评估AI基础设施的建设时间和投资回报,而不是AI需求突然消失。


    主要有三个原因:


    1. 建设可能延迟: 电力、环保、土地和政府审批,可能推迟数据中心项目,影响AMD、MU、SNDK、TSM等公司的订单和收入。


    2. 资金压力增加: 数据中心尚未投入运营,利息、折旧和建设成本却已经发生,对IREN、NBIS等需要大量融资的公司尤其不利。


    3. 高估值开始修正: 即使AMD、美光、闪迪业绩不错,只要未来增长可能延迟,投资者就会降低估值。路透社也指出,市场正在担忧AI资本开支的回报及融资压力。


    我的投资看法


    股票 重点观察


    GOOG 现金流及AI商业化
    AMD AI芯片订单及利润率
    MU HBM需求及内存价格
    SNDK 企业SSD需求及库存
    TSM 先进制程订单
    IREN、NBIS 融资、交付及现金流


    最终结论


    我认为AI长期趋势仍然存在,但短期风险明显增加。


    过去市场关注AI能带来多少收入,现在市场更关注投入这么多钱,究竟什么时候才能赚回来。


    我的策略是:


    不因暴跌就急着抄底。


    不把所有AI股票当成同一种投资。


    等订单、现金流和盈利能力稳定后,再考虑分批买入。


    记住:股价跌了不代表便宜,必须确认公司的未来盈利没有同步恶化。

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  • OpulentA
    ·11-05
    Feel alot of selling are short term buyers (buy today, sell tomorrow) and just jump on any news without understanding of the company. Frantic selling...
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  • davidKoh
    ·11-05
    我也是觉得跌得有点过分了🤣
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  • 發財 Huat Chye
    ·11-07 22:19
    Sentiments are always driven by emotions
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