PeterDiCarlo
PeterDiCarlo
Quant Trader šŸ’» NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE
26Follow
1527Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarPeterDiCarlo
08-18 08:56

SPCX Rips Higher, IREN Still Bullish

🐯 Good morning, Tigers! It’s been another strong stretch for the AI trade, with several names now reaching important levels. šŸ”„ $SpaceX(SPCX)$ is up roughly 40% from the bottom we highlighted and is now approaching short-term resistance around $160. I’ve already closed my position. If I were still trading it with a short-term horizon, I’d be looking to take profits between current levels and $160. Longer term, $180–190 remains possible if momentum holds. ⚔ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ continues to show a bullish internal structure. I’m still long and looking for a breakout from here. šŸŽÆ $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ has also played out almost exactly as expected after we identified the buy z
SPCX Rips Higher, IREN Still Bullish

AI Leaders Are Bullish, But Timing Matters

The broader bull cycle remains intact, but the short-term setups are becoming more selective. $QQQ is still trapped in a sell zone, $AMD is approaching resistance, and $META continues to coil. Meanwhile, $NFLX remains the strongest setup, with a potential 20% move still in play. The strategy: stay bullish, avoid chasing, and wait for better entries. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ : Bull Cycle Intact, But Short-Term Cooling Could Come First $QQQ remains compressed inside the institutional sell zone, but the broader macro bull cycle is still intact. A short-term cooldown or redistribution toward a discount range would be normal within this phase. I’m not changing my positions based on this alone. I still have plenty of longs sitting in smart-money zones and rema
AI Leaders Are Bullish, But Timing Matters

$CRCL Holds While $TSLA $NBIS $CELH Set Up

Hey Tigers! 🐯 I called out the $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ smart money zone to subscribers last month, and the bottom now appears to be in. From here, I’m watching for a move toward $130+. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ is also sitting at an important level. If the stock sweeps $342 and holds it as support, I’d expect the upside gap to become the next short-term target. For $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ , price appears to be rejecting the $280 smart money level. That creates the possibility of a retail liquidity trap if buyers chase the move without a clean breakout. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ is back inside its long-term smart money zone,
$CRCL Holds While $TSLA $NBIS $CELH Set Up

$CRWV Position Closed — Protecting Capital, Waiting for a Better Entry

I closed my $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ position today. Big picture, I still think over the next 6+ months we can see price back in the 180–200+ area. Nothing about the long-term thesis has really changed for me. Short term, though, we just had an aggressive gap up in a very short period. While we nailed the bottom over the last couple weeks, my average cost wasn’t ideal. If my average were under 70, I’d be far more comfortable simply sitting through the volatility and letting it play out. But here’s the key: my job is to protect both capital and mental bandwidth. Right now, I’d rather lock in gains, step aside from the short‑term noise, and look to re‑enter at a cleaner level if we get a pullback in the coming weeks. If we do, I’ll be very interested
$CRWV Position Closed — Protecting Capital, Waiting for a Better Entry

$NBIS short term take profit zone

A couple weeks ago we talked about $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ bouncing off short-term support around 140. After a ~70% move in about 14 days, this now checks my profit‑velocity box for an early exit. If I were in this short term, I’d be closing here. Could it squeeze toward $320? Sure. But a move like this in such a short window is exceptional. Letting greed take over after that kind of run is how people round-trip gains. On the higher timeframe, price is pushing into a potential resistance zone around $260–$280. If this turns into a lower high, we could very realistically see a move back down toward the $120 ā€œsmart moneyā€ zone over the next couple of months. For clarity: āŗ I do not have a position right now. āŗ I am not outright bearish. āŗ I would absolutely
$NBIS short term take profit zone

$AEHR, $ONTO & $SOFI - Don’t Chase the Move, Wait for the Level.

$Aehr Test(AEHR)$ is a good example of why I don’t like chasing extended moves. I’m not trading it here, but the setup is starting to look like a classic retail trap. If I had bought in the $60s, this would be a reasonable area to take some short-term profits. Price has moved back into a premium zone, while the internal structure is beginning to weaken. That doesn’t mean I’m calling for a collapse. It simply means the risk/reward for fresh buyers isn’t particularly attractive up here. If $AEHR pulls back into the $60s again, that’s where I’d start paying attention. $Onto Innovation Inc.(ONTO)$ is another example. I flagged the setup two weeks ago when it entered the smart-money zone. Less than a month lat
$AEHR, $ONTO & $SOFI - Don’t Chase the Move, Wait for the Level.

$PLTR Is Too High to Chase

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is pushing into a major institutional supply zone tied to a roughly 2B-share block. That doesn’t mean the stock has to sell off, and I’m not interested in shorting it here. But after such a strong run, I also wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock get rejected and eventually work its way back toward the smart-money zone around $100. That’s where patience matters. My plan is simple: I’m willing to wait over the next six months and see whether $PLTR gives us a better entry back near that support area. If price retraces into the zone and the setup is still intact, I’ll take the trade. If it never comes back and instead breaks into new all-time highs without me, I’ll miss it. And that’s completely fine. There’s no ne
$PLTR Is Too High to Chase

Smart Money Watchlist: 5 Stocks on My Radar

Markets will always offer another setup. The key is knowing where to wait, where to buy, and when to walk away. 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ — Don’t Chase the Rally $PLTR is pushing into the 2B-share institutional sell zone, an area where I would expect some potential supply to emerge. I’m not shorting PLTR here, but I also wouldn’t be surprised to see a rejection followed by a retest of the Smart Money Zone around $100. My plan is simple: stay patient over the next six months and wait for price to come back into that smart-money support. If it does, I’ll take the trade. If it breaks to new all-time highs without giving me the setup, I’ll simply miss it. And that's fine. Missing one trade is not the end of the world. There are hundreds of
Smart Money Watchlist: 5 Stocks on My Radar

I’m Officially Long $SPCX

Closing my short-term $SpaceX(SPCX)$ long here. I still believe $170 is absolutely on the table, but at this point I want to see a pullback before adding again. The move has been strong, and I don’t want to chase price after such a sharp run. I’m already exposed through several other space-sector names, so I’m comfortable taking some short-term risk off the table and waiting for a better setup. If the pullback comes, I’ll be watching closely for another entry. If it never happens and $SPCX continues higher without giving me a chance to get back in, that’s fine too. I’d rather miss an entry than force a trade at the wrong price. Well done to everyone who traded this move and stayed disciplined. A lot of people thought we were crazy for buying $SPCX
I’m Officially Long $SPCX

$SOUN $APP $COHR Stocks at Key Inflection Points

A few names on my radar right now... šŸš€ $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Up 11% today and still sitting in what I view as a smart money discount zone. We rode the last major move from March 2025 to October 2025. Now I'm watching for confirmation on what could become the next 6-month trend. āœ… $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ Already up 25% since we first highlighted it. Well done to everyone who followed the plan and stayed disciplined. šŸ”„ $Coherent(COHR)$ Shared with subscribers just last week. The stock is now up 40%. Could it eventually revisit all-time highs? Absolutely. But a 40% gain in a week is exceptional. There's nothing wrong with locking in some
$SOUN $APP $COHR Stocks at Key Inflection Points

UnitedHealth's 80% Rally: Now Comes the Wait

I've closed all of my $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ long positions. Over the past year, I've remained consistently bullish on UnitedHealth. Last July, we patiently waited for the stock to enter the Smart Money Zone before building long-term positions. That discipline paid off, with the stock rallying roughly 80% from those levels. Now it's time to show that same patience again. While the long-term trend remains bullish, I believe the stock is approaching a short-term top, making the current risk/reward less attractive. Nothing has changed about the broader outlook, but after such a strong advance, I'd rather lock in gains than chase additional upside. Looking further ahead, I still believe UNH has the potential to trade back toward $600 over the next 12 to 2
UnitedHealth's 80% Rally: Now Comes the Wait

Google Faces Key Resistance After a Two-Year Rally

$Alphabet(GOOGL)$ has been in a strong, clean bull cycle for almost two years and has been one of the standout ā€œMagnificent 7ā€ names. Trend is still up on the higher timeframe, but we are now pressing into a major resistance area where I start to get more cautious, not more aggressive. āŒ I’m not shorting $GOOGL. I don’t ā€œwantā€ it to go down. I’m just reporting what I see: after a two‑year run, the monthly relative strength is starting to get pulled out of this move. Monthly RSI is now trending below its simple moving average, which is usually a sign that a cycle is shifting from markup into redistribution rather than starting a fresh leg higher. Nothing on the chart screams ā€œshort this now,ā€ but I also don’t think this is a great place to be star
Google Faces Key Resistance After a Two-Year Rally

$QCOM Bottoming, $COHR Up 30%, $AMD Tests Resistance

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ is finding solid support at a key Smart Money level, with the technical structure suggesting a potential bottom is forming. As long as this support holds, the risk/reward profile continues to improve. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ has fallen nearly 80% over the past year and is now rebounding from a Smart Money discount zone on the monthly chart. After such an extended redistribution phase, recoveries often take 18–24 months to return to prior highs. For long-term investors, this is the type of valuation area worth paying attention to. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is approaching a decisive technical level. This is where the market will likely dete
$QCOM Bottoming, $COHR Up 30%, $AMD Tests Resistance

Smart Money May Be Reloading $NFLX

$Netflix(NFLX)$ just did smart money’s favorite trick: flush retail on earnings, reload at a discount. $NFLX has fully recovered the earnings dump and is now compressing inside the long‑term Smart Money Zone. That kind of compression, this deep in the band, has marked short‑term bottoms about 60–65% of the time in this name. Today’s tape: over $2.5M in calls bought, all November 20, 2026 $80C. I never treat flow as a reason to enter by itself. But when aggressive call flow shows up on top of a smart‑money support level I already had marked, that’s a setup I track closely. From here, I see a realistic path to a 20–30% move into the $88–95 ā€œ$90 rangeā€ over the next 90–120 days. Above that, the line in the sand is the recent swing high near $108. Tha
Smart Money May Be Reloading $NFLX

When Nobody Wants $MSTR, Opportunity Often Starts to Build

Everyone wanted $Strategy(MSTR)$ at $450. Down 75%, nobody wants it. That’s usually where real bottoms form. $MSTR has been crushed, but price is now compressing right under my Smart Money Zone. Structure has marked long‑term bottoms about 65% of the time. It now looks like we have both a long‑term and short‑term bottom in play. Sentiment across crypto is awful. That’s the job of a bottom. Discounts show up when everyone hates it. Premiums show up when retail is bragging about it. Today’s tape: about $4M in calls traded, October 16 expiry, $130 strike. By itself, that is not a reason for me to buy. But when unusual call flow lines up with smart‑money discount pricing, it usually precedes a meaningful short‑term move. Inside my framework, I’m prici
When Nobody Wants $MSTR, Opportunity Often Starts to Build

A 30% $PLTR Rally Doesn't Change My Rules

$Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 's earnings rally has been impressive, but it hasn't changed my process. Every major rebound since the previous bull cycle ended has looked similar at first—strong momentum, renewed optimism, and plenty of traders calling a bottom. More often than not, those rallies became liquidity for late buyers rather than the start of a sustained uptrend. Since losing its weekly Fair Value Band in February, PLTR has remained in a multi-month redistribution phase. Historically, these structures resolve lower into smart-money accumulation zones roughly 70% of the time before a durable trend resumes. While there are always exceptions, the probabilities still favor patience over chasing strength. Even after today's 30%+ earnings
A 30% $PLTR Rally Doesn't Change My Rules

AI Leaders Keep Winning, but the Chip Rally May Not Be Over Yet

Not all AI trades are telling the same story. $PLTR just delivered another blockbuster quarter, $ORCL continues to reward investors who bought the recent shakeout, while semiconductor stocks are finally bouncing after a sharp correction. The question now isn't whether AI is strong—it's whether chip stocks have actually found a bottom. 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ — Another Quarter, Another Beat $PLTR once again crushed expectations. U.S. commercial revenue surged 150% year over year, highlighting that enterprise AI adoption is still accelerating. The market responded immediately, sending shares up more than 12% after hours. Palantir continues to prove it's one of the strongest execution stories in AI software. 2.
AI Leaders Keep Winning, but the Chip Rally May Not Be Over Yet

$EOSE, $QQQ & $NVDA - Buying the Dip or Chasing the Breakout?

Markets are entering a pivotal phase where conviction matters more than momentum. Some stocks are offering deep-value opportunities after brutal declines, while others are approaching technical levels that could determine whether the next move is a breakout or another pullback. This week's focus is on $EOSE, $QQQ, and $NVDA—three very different setups, but all approaching key decision points that could shape the remainder of the year. 1. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ — Sentiment Hits Bottom as Long-Term Value Emerges After losing roughly 80% of its value over the past year, $EOSE has become a classic example of how investor sentiment often reaches its lowest point near deep-discount valuations. For long-term investors willing to tolerate vol
$EOSE, $QQQ & $NVDA - Buying the Dip or Chasing the Breakout?

Bullish Structures Hold: $META, $CRWV & $NBIS Test Key Breakout Levels

Not every rally is created equal. Some stocks are simply bouncing. Others are rebuilding toward new highs. This week's focus is on $META, $CRWV, and $NBIS—three names that continue to hold their bullish market structure despite recent volatility. While each is approaching an important technical inflection point, the broader trend remains constructive. Meanwhile, $HIMS has already rewarded buyers after entering a smart-money accumulation zone, reinforcing the importance of waiting for high-probability setups rather than chasing momentum. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META filled the gap from earnings and structure never broke Still very bullish on this name 2. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ fter flushing our r
Bullish Structures Hold: $META, $CRWV & $NBIS Test Key Breakout Levels

$CELH Enters Smart Money Zone, $TSLA Targets $300, $SPY Pullback Still in Play

The best trade isn't always the strongest chart. Sometimes it's buying quality in a discount zone. Sometimes it's waiting. And sometimes it's simply holding your conviction through volatility. Here's my current view on $CELH, $ALAB, $TSLA, and $SPY. 1. $Celsius Holdings, Inc.(CELH)$ $CELH is back in smart money discount pricing. 65% of the time big players step in right now I’m looking for a move back toward $60 over the next year. 2. $Astera Labs, Inc.(ALAB)$ $ALAB still looks like redistribution. We could see some short term bounces in the coming months, but I’d rather wait for price to drift back into a clear discount zone. The last two times it did, we saw massive moves off the smart money area. 3.
$CELH Enters Smart Money Zone, $TSLA Targets $300, $SPY Pullback Still in Play

Go to Tiger App to see more news