History suggests the real opportunity tends to come after the difficult midterm year. Since 1950, $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ has been higher 12 months after all 19 midterms, with an average gain near 16%. Every November through June stretch following a midterm since 1942 has also finished green, while year three has historically been the strongest of the presidential cycle. Staying patient and waiting for the setup to confirm makes sense to me. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Quietly riding the enterprise AI wave while everyone's distracted by chip stocks. Cloud spending trends still look sticky across the sector. Feels like the boring giant keeps compounding while nobody's watching. Worth keeping on the radar.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Why is Tesla valued more than all the car companies combined? We're about to find out soon. The next 6 months will be make or break for Tesla. If Cybercab takes off successfully, the valuation could easily double from here. Good luck to everyone.
$Apple(AAPL)$ There's been a pattern lately. Each day, one tech stock gets picked as the leader and runs into the afternoon. NVDA, MSFT, TSLA, and now AAPL.
$Apple(AAPL)$ Great news... Apple is introducing a new polishing cloth. Who said Apple doesn't innovate? Not as exciting, but there is also a new M5 Ultra Mac Studio to go along with that amazing cloth. The M5 Ultra Mac Studio should become an Edge A.I. monster for Apple now that many states are stopping data center construction.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Can the massive AI bet pay off? CapEx is surging but margins are staying near 40% with strong cash flow. Copilot is scaling, sovereign clouds are expanding, and Maia AI silicon is being built in-house. Azure is driving pharma discovery. Demand remains robust, though investors are watching the cash conversion closely.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ This one moves like molasses. Still seems to be carrying a lot of stigma. I'm out of it now, made $100. Total waste of time worrying about fundamentals on a stock that doesn't move at all. I still think this stock is way undervalued, but it'll get there at a worm's pace, or on earnings day.
$Broadcom(AVGO)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ moving away from x86 Intel and Nvidia GPUs toward custom Arm-based M1 was disruptive across the board, and ASIC XPUs can do something similar. They are powerful, power efficient, and most importantly they give companies a platform they can keep improving. TPU is now on its 8th generation, built exactly the way $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ wanted it. Anthropic is EBITDA positive because they adopted it. Impressive.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ With the 500 semi sale to Sweden, Tesla's value should go up to 15 trillion or maybe 20. I wonder what would happen if it sold 1,500 Cyber Trucks to Afghanistan.
$Microsoft(MSFT)$ Institutional whales are bidding up the tape aggressively right at the open. A large $5.7 million premium just hit the ask on the Sep. 25 $530 calls. Smart money is locking in 46 DTE positions, betting on a strong upside continuation beyond this week. With overall positive net premiums surging past $35 million, institutional call flow is fueling this early rally. Check my profile for the institutional levels I'm watching.