McMillan Daily
McMillan Daily
No personal profile
19Follow
25Followers
0Topic
0Badge
avatarMcMillan Daily
08-14 21:08

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/14/2026

$TVIX$ $UVIX$ $DECP$  By Lawrence G. McMillan After the monster rally of 400 points in just a few days in early August, $SPX took a few days to consolidate. Now it is making new all-time highs once again. There should be some support in that consolidation area (7700-7800), with stronger support at the old highs (7620). There is also a gap at the 7600 level which would act as support as well. There has been a good deal of reluctance on the part of the investment community to climb on board this northbound train. But it finally looks like put buying is slowing down, and the rally is spreading out to more and more issues (i.e., breadth is improving).
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/14/2026

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/17/2026

$CVB.AU$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The major indices are on a roll, with S&P 500 ($SPX; SPY), NASDAQ-100 ($NDX; QQQ) and now Russell 2000 ($RUT; IWM) all making new all-time highs simultaneously. Back in January and February, $SPX made a new all-time high by a few points on several occasions, but it was never able to put together a strong breakout rally as follow-through. Eventually, that was onerous, and the market fell. But now it appears to be adding to the breakout gains, which is a very positive sign. Technically, there should now be support at 7000 (the old highs). It would be disappointing to see $SPX trade back below 7000 now, but if it did, there should be support at 6800, and then at the bottom of the gap near 6600. There is no
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 4/17/2026
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-07-01

$AAPL Flashes a Buy Signal on Weighted Put-Call Ratio

$AAPL$ $MSTR$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Apple ($AAPL) has just triggered a buy signal based on our weighted put-call ratio, one of our more reliable sentiment-based indicators for this stock. Historically, these signals have generally preceded intermediate-term rallies in $AAPL, and the current setup looks promising. From a technical perspective, $AAPL recently broke out of its short-term downtrend, forming a series of higher lows and consolidating just beneath resistance. That resistance has now given way, and the next logical upside target is the 200-day moving average. The chart at the top of the page shows the weighted put-call ratio and its recent buy trigger. Below, the price chart illustra
$AAPL Flashes a Buy Signal on Weighted Put-Call Ratio

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/17/2026

$DECU$ $QQQY$ $XDTE$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Buying the dip has been working on an intraday basis recently, but the larger picture is that there are dips to buy almost every day. That means that $SPX is not making much progress. Despite breaking out on the upside from the triangle formation that had existed, it has run into resistance at 7580 and has failed to challenge the all-time highs at 7600-7620. This keeps the $SPX chart from being upgraded to "bullish." Rather, it is range-bound at best. There is support at 7420 the lows of early July. Then below that the lower side of the triangle is still in place, and a breakdown below 7300 would be neg
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/17/2026
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-07-11

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/11/2025

$VXX$ $TVIX$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The stock market has continued to make new all-time highs, accompanied by strong internal indicators. Eventually, overbought conditions may become confirmed sell signals, but so far that x hasn't been the case. $SPX has support at 6150 (the previous highs), 6020-6060 (the highest open gap on the chart), and 5920. If it were to fall below 5920 then the $SPX chart would no longer be bullish, but we are not looking for that to happen. Equity-only put-call ratios continue to fall. They are making new relative lows almost every day. This movement canceled out a previous sell signal and returned these indicators to a bullish status for stocks. As long as the ratios
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/11/2025
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-07-03

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/3/2025

$VXX$ $TVIX$  The stock market, has continued to rise, registering new all-time highs repeatedly. It appears that the current breakout to new all-time highs is stronger than the failed one of last February. There is support at 6150 (the old highs), 6020 (the highest circled gap on the accompanying $SPX chart in Figure 1), and 5920. A pullback below 5920 would negate the current upside breakout, but I don't expect that to happen. The market internals are strong. This is in stark contrast to the upside breakout in February when they were not. Equity-only put-call ratios had been on a sell signal, but that has been stopped out by the fact that both ratios have moved to new relative lows below the Ju
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/3/2025
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-07-25

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/25/2025

$VXX$ $TVIX$  By Lawrence G. McMillan < The rally that began in early April continues to drive higher into new all-time territory. There hasn't been much of a correction, and so far the internals have held up very well. However, overbought conditions are building, so we need to avoid complacency and pay attention to the indicators. The $SPX chart is bullish, with support at 6200 (last week's low), 6150 (the previous highs), 6020-6060 (the gap on the chart), and 5920. These are all marked on the $SPX chart in Figure 1. Equity-only put-call ratios have reached very low levels on their charts, thus reflecting the optimism that is naturally associated with $SPX plowing ahead to new all-time highs
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 7/25/2025
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-10-17

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/17/2025

$UVXY$  By Lawrence G. McMillan The market has definitely run into some trouble, and this time it might be significant. However, $SPX has held at a well- defined support level several times now, so that gives us a clear demarcation line between bullish and bearish on the chart. Trouble initially began recently on October 10th, when the new round of China tariffs was threatened. The market threw a "tariff tantrum," and stock prices plunged. The lows that day were near 6500. Again, this past Tuesday, $SPX sold off hard, but bounced from the 6555 area. Finally, last night S&P futures were down 105 points at one time, but have rallied since. That low was essentially the equivalent for $SPX of about 6525. So, the 6500-6550 level is now major s
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 10/17/2025

Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/7/2026

By Lawrence G. McMillan A little more than a week ago, the FOMC meeting concluded (on July 29th), and traders were not happy. They sold the market before and after the meeting, closing $SPX that day at 7316. But then a series of events both real and psychological took place that released a buying panic. The net effect of this was that $SPX has broken out to new all- time highs, and has not fallen back below the old highs at 7620. That makes the $SPX chart bullish again, for the first time in a while. Targets are always nebulous things, but this could take $SPX to 8,000 or so. Equity-only put-call ratios have not rolled over to buy signals. As much as $SPX has risen, it has been accompanied by continued buying of puts on stocks. That is for protection most likely. So, even though these put-
Free Weekly Stock Market Commentary 8/7/2026
avatarMcMillan Daily
2025-09-02

Oracle ($ORCL) Triggers First Weekly MVB Sell Signal Since Jan '25

$ORCL$  By Lawrence G. McMillan Oracle Corp. ($ORCL) just flashed a notable technical shift this morning: a weekly MVB Sell Signal — its first since January 2025 (chart above). The stock also recently issued a weighted Put-Call Ratio Sell Signal (below), meaning several of our intermediate-term indicators are now pointing in the same bearish direction. When these signals align, the probability of further downside increases. A Look Back at the Rally Oracle has been one of the market’s standout performers in 2025. After bottoming in April, the stock surged on strong demand for its cloud infrastructure and AI-driven database products, riding the same wave of enthusiasm that lifted other large-cap tech names. A weekly MVB Buy Signal at the April
Oracle ($ORCL) Triggers First Weekly MVB Sell Signal Since Jan '25

Go to Tiger App to see more news