8899Nar
8899Nar
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avatar8899Nar
2025-06-05

TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading ideas with you!1. $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVEHERE'S WHY🧵:1) If you believe in CEO execution Transmedics could achieve 10k transplants by 2028 and 20-30k by 2033.Image2) You can convert these numbers in approximately $1.2B and $2.5B of revenue.I assumed a ~2x and not more because kidney procedures will cost less than the other organs ones.3) So, we can assume:• $2.5B revenue in 2033 • 24% profit margin • 30x PE multple: Below medtech mature leaders with good growth profiles (ISRG, EW, BSX)4) The result is $600M of net income by 2033 and a possible $18B market cap.Considering the actual market cap at 4.5B the stock can 4X in ~9 years delivering a 17% CAGR return.5) Si
TMDX AT 100X PE IS NOT EXPENSIVE
avatar8899Nar
2025-07-01

Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025

Performances of all my stocks YTD at the end of H1 2025 :NATAN'S PORTFOLIO: +31.8%S&P500: +5.5% $Robinhood(HOOD)$ +151% $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ +115% $B2Gold(BTG)$ +48% $Alibaba(BABA)$ +34% $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ +26% $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ +17% (sold at +56%) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ +8% $Edwards Lifesciences(EW)$ +6% $PayPal(PYPL)$ -13% $Regeneron
Performances of all my Stocks YTD at the End of H1 2025
avatar8899Nar
06-01

𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀

Natan YTD: -17.2% S&P500 YTD: +10.7% TOTAL RETURNS (Jan 2022) Natan's portfolio: +84.8% *Benchmark: +46.4% S&P500: +68.3% MY POSITIONS: 19.5% | $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ 15.5% | $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 14.8% | $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ 11.3% | $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 9.5% | $PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT)$ 7.7% |$Alibaba(BABA)$ 6.3% | $WIZZ AIR(WIZZ.UK)$ 5.7% |
𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀
avatar8899Nar
08-20 14:56

5 Things You Don't Know About Moderna's Cancer "Vaccine"

Congrats to $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ for delivering P3 results for the cancer vaccine 🧬 Even though I'm no longer a shareholder, I'm genuinely happy to see the trial succeed. That said, the price reaction makes no sense to me. A Phase 3 win was fairly likely given the clear efficacy shown in Phase 2. Now the real challenge is scaling this personalized therapy into a $10B+ franchise to justify a $40B valuation (50/50 split with Merck). At the end of the day, between $25 and $100 basically nothing has changed. If anything, CMV failed and Norovirus is at risk. We'll see how it plays out, but looking back, I'd make the same call to sell and redeploy into better opportunities. Then again, watching how the market's been behaving lately, som
5 Things You Don't Know About Moderna's Cancer "Vaccine"
avatar8899Nar
04-27

MY PORTFOLIO 5Y PRICE TARGET

MY PORTFOLIO 5Y PRICE TARGET: $348 - 3.1x | $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ $351 - 3.6x |$PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ $223 - 2.6x | $Robinhood(HOOD)$ $1628 - 2.4x | $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $298 - 2.2x | $Alibaba(BABA)$ $148 - 2.9x | $PayPal(PYPL)$ $87 - 3.6x| $PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT)$ £2950 - 3.4x | $WIZZ AIR(WIZZ.UK)$ $88
MY PORTFOLIO 5Y PRICE TARGET
avatar8899Nar
08-03

META: CALL ME CRAZY BUT IN MY VIEW

CALL ME CRAZY BUT IN MY VIEW $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ FAIR VALUE IS 2X THE CURRENT PRICE 😅 PRICE TARGET: $1230 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +122% ✅ ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $228.247B 5Y Revenue CAGR: 15% 2031 Profit Margin: 37% 2031 PE Ratio: 26 Shares outstanding: 2.566B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Share Price =228.247 * (1.15)^5 * 0.37 * 26 /[2.566 * (0.99)^5] = 1810$ You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Meta I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $555 FAIR VALUE: $1124 1Y PRICE TARGET: $1230 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +122% EXPECTED RETURNS: 26.7%/year DIVIDEND YIELD: 0.4% Do you own
META: CALL ME CRAZY BUT IN MY VIEW
avatar8899Nar
2025-08-23

MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵

1) $Alibaba(BABA)$ The biggest ecommerce in the world with >$1T GMV and the leading cloud services provider in the accelerating China market at 14x Fwd PE. Natan's fair value: ~$162 (+32%)2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ Stock is down 15% from recent high and remains very undervalued. The company is innovating the transplants market and they plan to achieve 10k transplants in 2028.Natan's fair value: ~$174 (+45%)3) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ One of the fastest growing ecommerces in the world trading at 8X EV/FCF.Management proved many times its ability to deliver impressive growth and profitability in one of the most competitive market in the world.Natan's fair
MY TOP 10 UNDERVALUED STOCKS🧵
avatar8899Nar
05-25

𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀 : My Holding Sharings

𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀 Natan YTD: -17.9% S&P500 YTD: +9.2% TOTAL RETURNS (Jan 2022) Natan's portfolio: +83.2% *Benchmark: +43.5% S&P500: +66.0% MY POSITIONS: 19.4% | $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ 16.7% | $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ 12.2% | $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 11.0% | $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ 9.8% | $PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT)$ 8.1% | $Alibaba(BABA)$ 7.3% | $PayPal(PYPL)$ 5.9% |
𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊 𝙐𝙋𝘿𝘼𝙏𝙀 : My Holding Sharings
avatar8899Nar
2025-09-02

𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊

Tell me if you agree or not 👇1) $PDD Holdings Inc(PDD)$ ~$173Potential upside: +44%2) $TransMedics Group, Inc.(TMDX)$ ~$174Potential upside: +51%3) $Alibaba(BABA)$ ~$169Potential upside: +21%4) $Robinhood(HOOD)$ ~$87Potential upside: -14%5) $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ ~$364Potential upside: +17% 6) $PayPal(PYPL)$ ~$107Potential upside: +53%7) $Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(REGN)$ ~$786Potential upside: +35% 8) $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ ~$926Potential upside: +25%
𝙁𝘼𝙄𝙍 𝙑𝘼𝙇𝙐𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝘼𝙇𝙇 𝙏𝙃𝙀 𝘾𝙊𝙈𝙋𝘼𝙉𝙄𝙀𝙎 𝙊𝙁 𝙈𝙔 𝙋𝙊𝙍𝙏𝙁𝙊𝙇𝙄𝙊
avatar8899Nar
2025-12-01

META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!

$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60% ✅"Q3 revenue up 26% was impressive. Margin decline from heavy investments may weigh short term, but I remain very bullish long term"ASSUMPTIONS:LTM Revenue: $189.458B5Y Revenue CAGR: 13%2030 Profit Margin: 39%2030 PE Ratio: 27Shares outstanding: 2.572BShares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION:Q3 2030 $META Share Price =189.458 * (1.13)^5 * 0.39 * 27 /[2.572 * (0.99)^5] = 1503$You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Meta I want to use 10%. ACTUAL PRICE: $640FAIR VALUE: $9331Y PRICE TARGET: $1025POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +60%EXPECTED RETURNS: 18.6%/yearDIVIDEND YIELD: 0.3%For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading lim
META IS THE CHEAPEST BIG TECH!

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