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2021-07-11

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Thorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants

2021-07-11

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2021-07-02

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2021-07-01

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2021-06-30

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2021-06-18

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Hawkish signal! With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?

2021-06-18

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Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.

2021-06-05

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Opening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.

2021-06-05

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AMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.

2021-05-30

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17:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Thorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124741749","media":"SMARTMATRIX","summary":"他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校。","content":"<p>A Man for All Markets is Edward Thorp's personal biography. Based on Thorp's experience, from beating casinos to entering Wall Street, he ventured into OTC options, convertible bonds, stocks, futures and other derivatives, making him a true All Markets. In his preface, Taleb said that his memoir reads like a thriller.</p><p>As a mathematical genius and The godfather of quantitative investing, he pioneered The introduction of probability theory, information theory, and computer programming into financial trading, influencing countless Quant leaders in later generations: Bill Gross, David Shaw, Ken Griffin... including The renowned James Simons, whose Renaissance Technology company created a legend of returns in financial history. Similarly, Simons' biography, The Man Who Solved The Market, details The ups and downs of his and his team's conquest of The financial markets. Although it was compiled by a Wall Street Journal writer based on interviews, it contains many fascinating stories that have never been disclosed before.</p><p><b>academic origin</b></p><p>A thriving culture leads to outstanding people. The so-called place of outstanding people and beautiful resources, for example, the Hunan School since the late Ming Dynasty in China, made Hunan the cradle of revolutionaries. A similar phenomenon exists in academia. A closer look at the backgrounds of the two big shots reveals many commonalities. They were both born in the 1930s, were exceptionally talented from a young age, were in academia, but both were focused on money, and shared two alma maters: the University of California, Berkeley and MIT. Both universities' academic achievements reached their peak after the war, primarily due to the large-scale military research activities spurred by World War II (the famous Manhattan Project, cryptography, information theory, and modern computers). Thorp and Simons both happened to catch this academic boom. In the 1950s, Thorp was engrossed in studying roulette with Shannon, while Simons remained engrossed in theoretical mathematical problems, which further enhanced his academic achievements (Chern-Simons Theroy). In the 1960s, MIT became the center of the computer revolution, and mathematics and computers were the two keys to Wall Street, and Thorp was the lucky one to hold these two keys.</p><p><b>Casinos vs Wall Street</b></p><p>A popular story today is that Thorp used the Law of Large Numbers and Kelly's formula to defeat the casino, becoming the first person in history to be \"blacklisted\" by a Las Vegas casino. In contrast, the hedge fund he founded, Princeton Newport Partners (PNP), is much less well-known. In fact, from 1969 to 1988, the annualized returns of the two PNP funds reached 19.1% and 15.1% respectively, while the average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 index was 10.2% during the same period. Over the past 19 years, through two oil crises in the 1970s and the 1987 stock market crash, neither fund has ever suffered a single quarterly loss, let alone an annual loss. At the world's largest casino, its performance was unparalleled at the time, and its investment model was 20 years ahead of the customers who subsequently flocked to Wall Street.</p><p>In 1988, Thorp's fund was forced to close due to its implications in the Milken case, the king of junk bonds. It was in that year that Simons established the Grand Medal Fund. Now over fifty, he was a late bloomer. He had been exploring successful investment models for 10 years, oscillating between subjective and quantitative approaches. Although Simons has always been regarded as a quantitative investment master, his role is actually completely different from Thorp's. His main job is not to develop quantitative models, but to discover various scientists from academia to help the company develop quantitative models and to shape the company's corporate culture as a spiritual leader. As a world-class mathematician and outstanding salesperson, he can get along well with different people, which is a rare ability.</p><p><b>The road to quantification</b></p><p>As a pioneer in quantitative trading, Thorp excelled at hedging and arbitraging various derivatives, and the bear market and volatility of the 1970s made this strategy work perfectly. Relying on his mathematical talent and market sense, he discovered new blue oceans: Statistical Arbitrage and factor models—early quant prototypes. The risks under this model are theoretically infinite, especially since the maximum loss from shorting overvalued stocks is infinite. Thorp's main risk control strategy is diversified investment. LTCM subsequently adopted a similar arbitrage model, but lacked risk control strategies like Thorp, and was defeated by black swan events. To improve investment efficiency, Thorp turned investment strategies into programs, once again becoming a pioneer in algorithmic Trading.</p><p>In contrast, Simons wasn't so lucky. From early attempts at intuitive investing to trend-based momentum trading, reversal trading, and continuous collection and mining of massive amounts of data, including data cleansing, signaling mechanisms, and backtesting. In 1986, a model framework was used to identify hidden price trends; in 1989, abnormal trading signals were used for short-term high-frequency trading; in 1992, only a single model was used (a key breakthrough), and then speech recognition experts helped make various technological breakthroughs (financial models have similarities to speech recognition). The model went through a long process of iterative improvement. Ultimately, the model developed important core capabilities: identifying the \"value of trading,\" including: the certainty of price trends, weight trade-offs between trading signals, and judging the impact of trading based on signals on the market. This capability is particularly important for high-frequency, full-commodity trading.</p><p><b>Winning System: Probabilistic Thinking & Modeling Human Behavior</b></p><p>For Thorp, both gambling and investing are games based on probability statistics, allocating bets based on the odds of winning (money management based on Kelly's Law). The first major breakthrough for the Grand Medal Fund came from the application of Kelly's Law and the reduction in trading frequency to make its trading more reflective of the law of large numbers. The Grand Medal system makes money as long as the win rate is slightly above 50%, regardless of the profit or loss of each transaction. Essentially, it is making money by taking advantage of the negligence and mistakes of other traders (the market is ineffective). Human behavior under high pressure is highly predictable, and they instinctively exhibit panic. The premise of modeling is that humans will constantly repeat past behaviors. Soros used reflexive philosophical theories to model human behavior, while Simons' team used data and algorithms to model human behavior, thereby confirming the theories of behavioral finance.</p><p>Unlike traditional value investing, which simplifies the market to Mr. Market, the experience of quantitative investing is that there are far more factors and variables influencing financial markets and investments than most people realize, and the factors that lead to market inefficiency can even be said to be encrypted (Thorp also goes to great lengths to refute the efficient market hypothesis in his book). Investors strive to find the most basic drivers, but what may be missing is an entire dimension of information. The Grand Medal Fund cannot explain the logic behind every profit pattern, just as humans cannot understand Alpha Go, which may be a higher dimension.</p><p>Models are abstractions and simplifications of the world, but models are not omnipotent. When data and desire conflict, even rational scientists cannot be completely rational. Simons' original intention was to create an algorithm-driven automated trading system that completely shielded human subjective judgment. However, in every crisis, he still couldn't help but intervene manually to reduce his dependence on signals and actively reduce his trading positions. The results of these interventions were not very ideal. His colleague Patterson also said:<b>Never place too much trust in a trading model. The fundamental mistake made by long-term capital management firms is to believe that models are the truth. We have never believed that our models reflect the whole truth; they only reflect part of it.</b>。”</p><p><b>Kuanke Life</b></p><p>In fact, the interaction between many big shots is far greater than we imagine. For example, Thorp and Buffett played at the bridge table, and after confirming that Buffett would eventually become the richest man in the United States, they decisively invested in BRK stock. Many people believe that top students don't necessarily have a good life. After all, there is a huge gap between book smart and street smart, and the rules of the real world are much more complicated than those of school. However, Thorp practiced the way of thinking that applies abstract thinking to real life, truly interpreting \"a fierce life needs no explanation.\" He achieved academic, wealth, and family success, and realized early on that life itself is more important than making money. Compared to Thorp's remarkable life, Simons' life has been full of twists and turns. He has been divorced, his two sons have suffered misfortunes, and he has been betrayed by his partners. But in the end, he chose to make peace with life and devote himself to philanthropy, exploring the true meaning of destiny through ups and downs from his academic career to his wide-ranging life, and the experience itself is the meaning. As Thorp said at the end of his autobiography: Life is like reading a novel or running a marathon. Reaching the finish line is often not so important; the journey itself and the experiences along the way are more precious.<b>No body can take away the dance you have danced.</b></p>","source":"lsy1625911325017","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Thorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">SMARTMATRIX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 17:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A Man for All Markets is Edward Thorp's personal biography. Based on Thorp's experience, from beating casinos to entering Wall Street, he ventured into OTC options, convertible bonds, stocks, futures and other derivatives, making him a true All Markets. In his preface, Taleb said that his memoir reads like a thriller.</p><p>As a mathematical genius and The godfather of quantitative investing, he pioneered The introduction of probability theory, information theory, and computer programming into financial trading, influencing countless Quant leaders in later generations: Bill Gross, David Shaw, Ken Griffin... including The renowned James Simons, whose Renaissance Technology company created a legend of returns in financial history. Similarly, Simons' biography, The Man Who Solved The Market, details The ups and downs of his and his team's conquest of The financial markets. Although it was compiled by a Wall Street Journal writer based on interviews, it contains many fascinating stories that have never been disclosed before.</p><p><b>academic origin</b></p><p>A thriving culture leads to outstanding people. The so-called place of outstanding people and beautiful resources, for example, the Hunan School since the late Ming Dynasty in China, made Hunan the cradle of revolutionaries. A similar phenomenon exists in academia. A closer look at the backgrounds of the two big shots reveals many commonalities. They were both born in the 1930s, were exceptionally talented from a young age, were in academia, but both were focused on money, and shared two alma maters: the University of California, Berkeley and MIT. Both universities' academic achievements reached their peak after the war, primarily due to the large-scale military research activities spurred by World War II (the famous Manhattan Project, cryptography, information theory, and modern computers). Thorp and Simons both happened to catch this academic boom. In the 1950s, Thorp was engrossed in studying roulette with Shannon, while Simons remained engrossed in theoretical mathematical problems, which further enhanced his academic achievements (Chern-Simons Theroy). In the 1960s, MIT became the center of the computer revolution, and mathematics and computers were the two keys to Wall Street, and Thorp was the lucky one to hold these two keys.</p><p><b>Casinos vs Wall Street</b></p><p>A popular story today is that Thorp used the Law of Large Numbers and Kelly's formula to defeat the casino, becoming the first person in history to be \"blacklisted\" by a Las Vegas casino. In contrast, the hedge fund he founded, Princeton Newport Partners (PNP), is much less well-known. In fact, from 1969 to 1988, the annualized returns of the two PNP funds reached 19.1% and 15.1% respectively, while the average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 index was 10.2% during the same period. Over the past 19 years, through two oil crises in the 1970s and the 1987 stock market crash, neither fund has ever suffered a single quarterly loss, let alone an annual loss. At the world's largest casino, its performance was unparalleled at the time, and its investment model was 20 years ahead of the customers who subsequently flocked to Wall Street.</p><p>In 1988, Thorp's fund was forced to close due to its implications in the Milken case, the king of junk bonds. It was in that year that Simons established the Grand Medal Fund. Now over fifty, he was a late bloomer. He had been exploring successful investment models for 10 years, oscillating between subjective and quantitative approaches. Although Simons has always been regarded as a quantitative investment master, his role is actually completely different from Thorp's. His main job is not to develop quantitative models, but to discover various scientists from academia to help the company develop quantitative models and to shape the company's corporate culture as a spiritual leader. As a world-class mathematician and outstanding salesperson, he can get along well with different people, which is a rare ability.</p><p><b>The road to quantification</b></p><p>As a pioneer in quantitative trading, Thorp excelled at hedging and arbitraging various derivatives, and the bear market and volatility of the 1970s made this strategy work perfectly. Relying on his mathematical talent and market sense, he discovered new blue oceans: Statistical Arbitrage and factor models—early quant prototypes. The risks under this model are theoretically infinite, especially since the maximum loss from shorting overvalued stocks is infinite. Thorp's main risk control strategy is diversified investment. LTCM subsequently adopted a similar arbitrage model, but lacked risk control strategies like Thorp, and was defeated by black swan events. To improve investment efficiency, Thorp turned investment strategies into programs, once again becoming a pioneer in algorithmic Trading.</p><p>In contrast, Simons wasn't so lucky. From early attempts at intuitive investing to trend-based momentum trading, reversal trading, and continuous collection and mining of massive amounts of data, including data cleansing, signaling mechanisms, and backtesting. In 1986, a model framework was used to identify hidden price trends; in 1989, abnormal trading signals were used for short-term high-frequency trading; in 1992, only a single model was used (a key breakthrough), and then speech recognition experts helped make various technological breakthroughs (financial models have similarities to speech recognition). The model went through a long process of iterative improvement. Ultimately, the model developed important core capabilities: identifying the \"value of trading,\" including: the certainty of price trends, weight trade-offs between trading signals, and judging the impact of trading based on signals on the market. This capability is particularly important for high-frequency, full-commodity trading.</p><p><b>Winning System: Probabilistic Thinking & Modeling Human Behavior</b></p><p>For Thorp, both gambling and investing are games based on probability statistics, allocating bets based on the odds of winning (money management based on Kelly's Law). The first major breakthrough for the Grand Medal Fund came from the application of Kelly's Law and the reduction in trading frequency to make its trading more reflective of the law of large numbers. The Grand Medal system makes money as long as the win rate is slightly above 50%, regardless of the profit or loss of each transaction. Essentially, it is making money by taking advantage of the negligence and mistakes of other traders (the market is ineffective). Human behavior under high pressure is highly predictable, and they instinctively exhibit panic. The premise of modeling is that humans will constantly repeat past behaviors. Soros used reflexive philosophical theories to model human behavior, while Simons' team used data and algorithms to model human behavior, thereby confirming the theories of behavioral finance.</p><p>Unlike traditional value investing, which simplifies the market to Mr. Market, the experience of quantitative investing is that there are far more factors and variables influencing financial markets and investments than most people realize, and the factors that lead to market inefficiency can even be said to be encrypted (Thorp also goes to great lengths to refute the efficient market hypothesis in his book). Investors strive to find the most basic drivers, but what may be missing is an entire dimension of information. The Grand Medal Fund cannot explain the logic behind every profit pattern, just as humans cannot understand Alpha Go, which may be a higher dimension.</p><p>Models are abstractions and simplifications of the world, but models are not omnipotent. When data and desire conflict, even rational scientists cannot be completely rational. Simons' original intention was to create an algorithm-driven automated trading system that completely shielded human subjective judgment. However, in every crisis, he still couldn't help but intervene manually to reduce his dependence on signals and actively reduce his trading positions. The results of these interventions were not very ideal. His colleague Patterson also said:<b>Never place too much trust in a trading model. The fundamental mistake made by long-term capital management firms is to believe that models are the truth. We have never believed that our models reflect the whole truth; they only reflect part of it.</b>。”</p><p><b>Kuanke Life</b></p><p>In fact, the interaction between many big shots is far greater than we imagine. For example, Thorp and Buffett played at the bridge table, and after confirming that Buffett would eventually become the richest man in the United States, they decisively invested in BRK stock. Many people believe that top students don't necessarily have a good life. After all, there is a huge gap between book smart and street smart, and the rules of the real world are much more complicated than those of school. However, Thorp practiced the way of thinking that applies abstract thinking to real life, truly interpreting \"a fierce life needs no explanation.\" He achieved academic, wealth, and family success, and realized early on that life itself is more important than making money. Compared to Thorp's remarkable life, Simons' life has been full of twists and turns. He has been divorced, his two sons have suffered misfortunes, and he has been betrayed by his partners. But in the end, he chose to make peace with life and devote himself to philanthropy, exploring the true meaning of destiny through ups and downs from his academic career to his wide-ranging life, and the experience itself is the meaning. As Thorp said at the end of his autobiography: Life is like reading a novel or running a marathon. Reaching the finish line is often not so important; the journey itself and the experiences along the way are more precious.<b>No body can take away the dance you have danced.</b></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw\">SMARTMATRIX</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/388d882133df2db2363aa871ff756c47","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124741749","content_text":"A Man for All Markets是Edward Thorp的个人传记，中文翻译《战胜一切市场的人》，从Thorp的经历来看，从打败赌场到进入华尔街，OTC期权、可转债、股票、期货等衍生品，全部涉猎，名副其实的All Markets。塔勒布在序言里说，他的回忆录读起来像一部惊悚小说。\n作为一个数学天才、量化投资教父级人物，他开创性的将概率论、信息论、计算机编程引入金融交易，影响了后世无数Quant大佬：Bill Gross、David Shaw、Ken Griffin...其中也包括大名鼎鼎的James Simons，后者的文艺复兴科技公司创造了金融史上的回报率神话，同样，讲述Simons的传记The Man Who Solved The Market，详细记录了他和他的团队征服金融市场的起起落落，虽是一位华尔街日报作家根据采访汇编而成，但其中不少以前从未披露过的精彩故事。\n学术源流\n文化兴，则人杰出，所谓的人杰地灵，比如中国明末以来的湖湘学派让湖南成为革命党人的摇篮。在学术圈，也有类似的现象。仔细研究两位大佬的背景，会发现很多共通点，他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校：加州大学伯克利分校和MIT。两校的学术在战后都达到了巅峰，主要一个原因就是二战催生的大规军事科研活动（著名的曼哈顿计划、密码学、信息论和现代计算机），Thorp和Simons都恰好赶上了这波学术红利。50年代，Thorp醉心于和香农一起研究轮盘赌，而Simons仍埋头于理论数学问题，这也使得其在学术上的成就更高（Chern-Simons Theroy）。60年代，MIT成为计算机革命的中心，而数学和计算机正是通向华尔街的两把钥匙，Thorp正是手握这两把钥匙的幸运儿。\n赌场vs华尔街\n如今为人津津乐道的故事是Thorp利用大数定律和凯利公式打败了赌场，他也成了历史上第一个被拉斯维加斯赌场“拉黑”的人。相比之下，他创设的对冲基金PNP（Princeton Newport Partners）知名度黯淡不少。实际上，从1969年到1988年，PNP两支基金的年化收益率分别达到19.1%和15.1%，同期标普指数年均增长率为10.2%。19年间历经70年代两次石油危机、87年股灾，两只基金从未发生单季亏损，更没有年度亏损。在世间最大的赌场，其业绩冠绝其时，其投资模式，领先此后鱼贯进入华尔街的宽客们20年。\n1988年，Thorp的基金因为受到垃圾债券之王米尔肯一案的牵连被迫关闭。正是在这一年，Simons成立大奖章基金，已年过半百的他，可谓大器晚成，在此前为了寻找成功的投资模型已经摸索了10年之久，一直在主观和量化之间摇摆。尽管外界一直都把Simons视作量化投资大师，但实际上他点角色和Thorp完全不同，他的主要工作并不是开发量化模型，而是从学术圈挖掘各类科学家来帮助公司开发量化模型，并且作为精神领袖塑造公司企业文化。作为一名世界级的数学家+卓越的销售，他与不同的人都能融洽的打交道，这是一种罕见的能力。\n量化之路\n作为量化交易的先驱，Thorp擅长各种衍生品的对冲套利，70年代的熊市和波动率让这种策略运行的非常完美。依靠自己的数学天赋和市场嗅觉发现了新的蓝海：统计套利（Statistical Arbitrage）和因子模型（factors model）——早期的quant原型。这种模式下的风险理论上是无穷的，尤其是做空那些价格高估的股票的损失上限是无穷大，Thorp主要风控策略是分散化投资。此后的LTCM采用类似的套利模式，但缺少Thorp这样的风控策略，被黑天鹅击败。为了提升投资效率，Thorp将投资策略变成程序，再次成为程序化交易（Algorithm Trading）的先驱。\n相比之下，Simons就没那么幸运了。从早期尝试直觉投资到基于趋势的动量交易、反转交易再到持续收集挖掘海量数据包括数据清洗、信号机制和回溯测试。1986年使用识别隐藏价格趋势的模型框架——1989年利用异常交易信号进行短期高频交易——1992年改为只用单一模型（关键性突破），而后语音识别专家帮助进行各种技术突破（金融模型与语音识别有相似之处），模型经历了漫长迭代改进的过程。最终练就了模型重要核心能力：识别出“交易的价值”，包括：价格趋势的确定性大小、交易信号之间的权重取舍、根据信号进行交易对市场造成的影响的判断。这项能力对于高频全品种交易尤为重要。\n取胜系统：概率思考&对人类行为建模\n对Thorp来说，赌博和投资都是以概率统计为基础的游戏，根据胜率的大小来分配下注金额的大小（基于凯利法则的资金管理），而大奖章基金的第一次重大突破也来自于对凯利法则的运用以及缩短交易频率使其交易更体现大数定律。大奖章的系统只要胜率略高于50%就能赚钱，而不在乎每一笔买卖的盈亏。本质上，是在利用其他交易者的疏忽和错误赚钱（市场无效）。人类在高压下的行为具有很高的可预测性，他们会本能地表现出恐慌。建模的前提是人类会不断重复过去的行为。索罗斯曾以反身性的哲学理论对人类行为建模，而Simons的团队利用数据和算法对人类行为建模，以此印证行为金融学的理论。\n与传统的价值投资把市场面简化成一位市场先生不同，量化投资的经验是，影响金融市场和投资的因素和变量远远比大多数人意识到的更多，导致市场无效的因素甚至可以说是加密的（Thorp在书中对有效市场假说也不遗余力的进行驳斥）。投资者努力寻找最基本的推动因素，但是遗漏的也许是一整个维度的信息。大奖章基金无法对每一条盈利的规律背后的逻辑进行解释，就如同人类无法理解阿尔法围棋一样，也许是更高纬度的存在。\n模型是对世界的抽象和简化，但模型并不是万能的。当数据和欲望相冲突，即便是理性的科学家，也无法做到完全理性。Simons的初心是创建的算法驱动的自动交易系统，完全屏蔽人类的主观判断，但每一次危机，他仍忍不住会手动干预，减少对信号的依赖，主动缩减交易头寸，可干预的结果并不十分理想。他的同事帕特森也说：”永远不要对交易模型过于信任。长期资本管理公司的基本错误是认为模型就是事实真相，我们从未相信我们的模型能够反映全部事实，它只反映事实的一部分。”\n宽客人生\n其实很多大佬的交集，远远超过我们想象。比如Thorp和巴菲特在桥牌桌上过过招，在确认巴菲特最终会成为全美最富有的人之后，果断投资了BRK的股票。很多人以为，学霸不一定会拥有好人生，毕竟，book smart和street smart之间的有极大的鸿沟，现实世界的规则比学校要复杂太多，但Thorp践行了将抽象思维运用到现实生活中的思维方式，真正诠释了“彪悍的人生不需要解释”，学术、财富、家庭圆满，很早就意识到在生活本身高于赚钱。相比较Thorp精彩纷呈的人生，Simons的人生曲折太多，离过婚，他的两个儿子先后遭受不幸，还遭遇过伙伴背叛。但最终还是选择和生活讲和，并投身慈善事业，从学术生涯到宽客人生，在跌宕起伏中探寻命运的真谛，而经历本身就是意义所在。就像Thorp在自传末尾所说：生活像是读一本小说或者跑一场马拉松，到达终点往往不是那么重要，旅途本身和沿途的体验更为珍贵。No body can take away the dance you have danced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148628043,"gmtCreate":1625972797782,"gmtModify":1703751453982,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148628043","repostId":"1145907959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158414126,"gmtCreate":1625174114265,"gmtModify":1703737558866,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158414126","repostId":"1101876919","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151414863,"gmtCreate":1625102194252,"gmtModify":1703736140609,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151414863","repostId":"2148081027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153613786,"gmtCreate":1625021042645,"gmtModify":1703850308078,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153613786","repostId":"1121871493","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168161471,"gmtCreate":1623966368093,"gmtModify":1703824710065,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168161471","repostId":"1111690771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111690771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623935139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111690771?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hawkish signal! With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111690771","media":"杠杆游戏","summary":"全球瞩目，美国是否加息，何时加息？\n当地时间6月16日，美联储发布经济预测和政策声明。美联储分别上调了对2021年的美国经济及通胀预期，而一同公布的点阵图则显示，有超过半数的FOMC委员给出了提前加息","content":"<p>Global attention is focused on whether the United States will be rate hike, and when will it be rate hike?</p><p>On June 16 local time, the Federal Reserve released its economic forecast and policy statement. The Federal Reserve raised its forecasts for the U.S. economy and inflation in 2021, respectively. The dot plot released together showed that more than half of FOMC members gave expectations for rate hike ahead of schedule, with the median forecast suggesting that the Fed will rate hike twice before 2023.</p><p>Interest rates may rise from 0.1% to 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41cae1274b855b1881c45df621f92f1\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Overall, the Federal Reserve's concerns about prices have increased, and hawkish signals are beginning to emerge. What impact will this have on my country's stock and real estate markets? Leverage Games will discuss this based on the details of this interest rate meeting.</p><p><b>1. Hawkish turning signals deserve attention!</b></p><p>Thirteen of the 18 committee members support holding at least one rate hike by the end of 2023. The Federal Reserve is relatively confident in the U.S. economy, believing that U.S. GDP will grow by 7.0% in 2021, compared to the forecast of 6.5% at its March meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve also raised its real GDP forecast for 2023 to 2.4% from the previous expectation of 2.2%. With the relatively good economic recovery, price and monetary policy issues naturally arise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66259bd1ce43d9289e0638c6cb914df7\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"257\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Huatai Futures conducted a survey, which they found very meaningful and expressed their gratitude.</p><p>The rate hike path dot plot by Federal Reserve officials shows that the Fed may rate hike twice by the end of 2023.</p><p>The June dot plot of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) showed that 13 of the 18 members supported at least one rate hike by the end of 2023, compared to 7 in March.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13dc861d49dae295f65371658fe551af\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000686\">Northeast Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>Eleven committee members are expected to hold at least two rate hike by the end of 2023, and seven committee members are expected to begin their rate hike in 2022. There were four in March.</p><p>The median dot plot forecast in March suggests that rate hike will not occur before the end of 2023.</p><p><b>2. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell generally believes that it is too early to discuss rate hike. The key question is why?</b></p><p>Of course, the Federal Reserve is preparing to adjust the excess reserve rate (IOER) from 0.1% to 0.15%, which means that the Fed is actually taking appropriate action in the face of excess liquidity.</p><p>However, it has been made clear that it will continue to increase its holdings of at least $80 billion in Treasury Bond and at least $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month until substantial progress is made on the goals of full employment and price stability.</p><p>The leverage game needs to be added here: what constitutes the goals of full employment and price stability?</p><p>For example, the United States added 278,000 and 559,000 non-farm payrolls in April and May respectively, both lower than expected. Compared to the level before the black swan event, employment still decreased by about 7.6 million in May.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8c7ecd06543dcd0ded387b77673869\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source: Northeast Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The Federal Reserve expects the unemployment rate to fall to 4.5% in 2021 (unchanged from its March forecast), and to 3.8% and 3.5% in 2022 and 2023, respectively—returning to a very low level is roughly acceptable.</p><p>Meanwhile, Powell believes that inflation is likely to remain high for the next few months before easing—price indicators should be considered adequate.</p><p>So my conclusion is that what Americans care about is the economy, or simply put, employment indicators.</p><p><b>3. The normalization of US monetary policy may accelerate and deserves attention, but the stock market should be safe for the time being.</b></p><p>Judging from the changes in the number of Federal Reserve members' attitudes towards rate hike mentioned above, it can be basically concluded that the pace of rate hike has accelerated significantly compared to before.</p><p>Although there is no signal from rate hike yet, an early arrival is possible. Meanwhile, Powell is already preparing to discuss tapering bond purchases, indicating a clear hawkish stance. Therefore, the US dollar will have support in the short term, and the RMB exchange rate will likely fluctuate.</p><p>However, liquidity between China and the US is generally loose. For example, our M2 reached 227.54 trillion yuan at the end of May, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the end of the previous month.</p><p>At the same time, both the central banks of China and the United States have relatively thorough and transparent communication with the market, and neither will experience a sudden shift in monetary policy.</p><p>Therefore, the stock market will generally not panic, and a trend decline will not occur.</p><p><b>4. Domestic demand is still somewhat weak, while external demand supports high production prosperity. Real estate and investment cannot be too cool at this time.</b></p><p>June 16th was a very interesting day. The United States announced part of its interest rate meeting statement, and we released a number of economic indicators.</p><p>We can see that industrial production has actually weakened slightly, while external demand remains an important support.</p><p>According to statistics from ShouChuang Securities, for example, the average two-year growth rate of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size in May was 6.6%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d083afd587e6aa1242d24c96c4ad505e\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source | First Capital Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The compound annual growth rate of export delivery value has slowed significantly, echoing the sharp decline in exports in May, but without the high growth in exports, industrial data would have declined even more.</p><p>Overall, with external demand peaking and declining, it is certain that production and exports will have a slight impact in the future.</p><p>In terms of fixed asset investment, it increased by 15.4% year-on-year. However, the area of new housing starts has experienced negative growth for two consecutive months, while the area of completed housing has accelerated significantly this month, turning positive year-on-year to 5.0%. Real estate investment still has support in the short term, but there is some pressure in the long term.</p><p>Meanwhile, with the strengthening of debt management, a decline in fixed investment is highly likely.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/140e47518613dba5d257d583f1f9f4ec\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Retail sales grew by 12.4% in May, slightly lower than the market expectation of 12.8% and the previous value of 17.7%.</p><p>In summary, Leverage Games believes that with domestic demand so-so and exports peaking, the crackdown on the real estate market should not be too bad.</p><p><b>5. Whether there will be a liquidity turning point in the United States in the third quarter is worth noting.</b></p><p>Whether it's global housing prices, commodities, or the US stock market, the current surge in asset prices is essentially dominated by liquidity.</p><p>Now the question arises: will there be a turning point in US liquidity in the third quarter? As mentioned above, the Federal Reserve is signaling a reduction in volume, and the interest rate on excess reserves has slightly increased.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a294dbe7d55d78d322cf321fc22590\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601878\">Zhejiang Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>The leveraged game in the third quarter believes that the first is a small increase, and the second is a test. At the same time, the last round of actions by the People's Bank of my country has proven that \"self-reliance\" - as long as the United States does not rate hike, the global trend of funds returning to the United States to pursue high returns is unlikely to arrive.</p><p>From this perspective alone, the Chinese stock market is not expected to be bearish in 2021; The real estate market has only shown an exceptionally harsh attitude towards speculation; as mentioned above, it is still needed for economic stability.</p><p>It should be noted that in the third quarter, such as July and August, the Federal Reserve began to formally discuss reducing QE, and began to reduce QE at the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022, which was basically within market expectations.</p><p>Nevertheless, this is at least a constraint on the monetary policy of any country.</p><p><b>6. Conclusion: The stock market will be largely unaffected by the US market in 2021, while the real estate market will be dominated by the US market.</b>The former, a leveraged game, means not to worry about liquidity.</p><p>What I mean by the latter is that the crackdown on speculation in the real estate market will continue throughout 2021. However, local governments are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their ability to manage the real estate market, and they have always had their own ways to ensure certain prices and sales volumes.</p><p>Besides, the water hasn't decreased.</p>","source":"lsy1574902984297","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hawkish signal! With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHawkish signal! With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">杠杆游戏</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Global attention is focused on whether the United States will be rate hike, and when will it be rate hike?</p><p>On June 16 local time, the Federal Reserve released its economic forecast and policy statement. The Federal Reserve raised its forecasts for the U.S. economy and inflation in 2021, respectively. The dot plot released together showed that more than half of FOMC members gave expectations for rate hike ahead of schedule, with the median forecast suggesting that the Fed will rate hike twice before 2023.</p><p>Interest rates may rise from 0.1% to 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41cae1274b855b1881c45df621f92f1\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Overall, the Federal Reserve's concerns about prices have increased, and hawkish signals are beginning to emerge. What impact will this have on my country's stock and real estate markets? Leverage Games will discuss this based on the details of this interest rate meeting.</p><p><b>1. Hawkish turning signals deserve attention!</b></p><p>Thirteen of the 18 committee members support holding at least one rate hike by the end of 2023. The Federal Reserve is relatively confident in the U.S. economy, believing that U.S. GDP will grow by 7.0% in 2021, compared to the forecast of 6.5% at its March meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve also raised its real GDP forecast for 2023 to 2.4% from the previous expectation of 2.2%. With the relatively good economic recovery, price and monetary policy issues naturally arise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66259bd1ce43d9289e0638c6cb914df7\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"257\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Huatai Futures conducted a survey, which they found very meaningful and expressed their gratitude.</p><p>The rate hike path dot plot by Federal Reserve officials shows that the Fed may rate hike twice by the end of 2023.</p><p>The June dot plot of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) showed that 13 of the 18 members supported at least one rate hike by the end of 2023, compared to 7 in March.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13dc861d49dae295f65371658fe551af\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000686\">Northeast Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>Eleven committee members are expected to hold at least two rate hike by the end of 2023, and seven committee members are expected to begin their rate hike in 2022. There were four in March.</p><p>The median dot plot forecast in March suggests that rate hike will not occur before the end of 2023.</p><p><b>2. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell generally believes that it is too early to discuss rate hike. The key question is why?</b></p><p>Of course, the Federal Reserve is preparing to adjust the excess reserve rate (IOER) from 0.1% to 0.15%, which means that the Fed is actually taking appropriate action in the face of excess liquidity.</p><p>However, it has been made clear that it will continue to increase its holdings of at least $80 billion in Treasury Bond and at least $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month until substantial progress is made on the goals of full employment and price stability.</p><p>The leverage game needs to be added here: what constitutes the goals of full employment and price stability?</p><p>For example, the United States added 278,000 and 559,000 non-farm payrolls in April and May respectively, both lower than expected. Compared to the level before the black swan event, employment still decreased by about 7.6 million in May.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8c7ecd06543dcd0ded387b77673869\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source: Northeast Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The Federal Reserve expects the unemployment rate to fall to 4.5% in 2021 (unchanged from its March forecast), and to 3.8% and 3.5% in 2022 and 2023, respectively—returning to a very low level is roughly acceptable.</p><p>Meanwhile, Powell believes that inflation is likely to remain high for the next few months before easing—price indicators should be considered adequate.</p><p>So my conclusion is that what Americans care about is the economy, or simply put, employment indicators.</p><p><b>3. The normalization of US monetary policy may accelerate and deserves attention, but the stock market should be safe for the time being.</b></p><p>Judging from the changes in the number of Federal Reserve members' attitudes towards rate hike mentioned above, it can be basically concluded that the pace of rate hike has accelerated significantly compared to before.</p><p>Although there is no signal from rate hike yet, an early arrival is possible. Meanwhile, Powell is already preparing to discuss tapering bond purchases, indicating a clear hawkish stance. Therefore, the US dollar will have support in the short term, and the RMB exchange rate will likely fluctuate.</p><p>However, liquidity between China and the US is generally loose. For example, our M2 reached 227.54 trillion yuan at the end of May, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the end of the previous month.</p><p>At the same time, both the central banks of China and the United States have relatively thorough and transparent communication with the market, and neither will experience a sudden shift in monetary policy.</p><p>Therefore, the stock market will generally not panic, and a trend decline will not occur.</p><p><b>4. Domestic demand is still somewhat weak, while external demand supports high production prosperity. Real estate and investment cannot be too cool at this time.</b></p><p>June 16th was a very interesting day. The United States announced part of its interest rate meeting statement, and we released a number of economic indicators.</p><p>We can see that industrial production has actually weakened slightly, while external demand remains an important support.</p><p>According to statistics from ShouChuang Securities, for example, the average two-year growth rate of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size in May was 6.6%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d083afd587e6aa1242d24c96c4ad505e\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source | First Capital Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The compound annual growth rate of export delivery value has slowed significantly, echoing the sharp decline in exports in May, but without the high growth in exports, industrial data would have declined even more.</p><p>Overall, with external demand peaking and declining, it is certain that production and exports will have a slight impact in the future.</p><p>In terms of fixed asset investment, it increased by 15.4% year-on-year. However, the area of new housing starts has experienced negative growth for two consecutive months, while the area of completed housing has accelerated significantly this month, turning positive year-on-year to 5.0%. Real estate investment still has support in the short term, but there is some pressure in the long term.</p><p>Meanwhile, with the strengthening of debt management, a decline in fixed investment is highly likely.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/140e47518613dba5d257d583f1f9f4ec\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Retail sales grew by 12.4% in May, slightly lower than the market expectation of 12.8% and the previous value of 17.7%.</p><p>In summary, Leverage Games believes that with domestic demand so-so and exports peaking, the crackdown on the real estate market should not be too bad.</p><p><b>5. Whether there will be a liquidity turning point in the United States in the third quarter is worth noting.</b></p><p>Whether it's global housing prices, commodities, or the US stock market, the current surge in asset prices is essentially dominated by liquidity.</p><p>Now the question arises: will there be a turning point in US liquidity in the third quarter? As mentioned above, the Federal Reserve is signaling a reduction in volume, and the interest rate on excess reserves has slightly increased.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a294dbe7d55d78d322cf321fc22590\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601878\">Zhejiang Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>The leveraged game in the third quarter believes that the first is a small increase, and the second is a test. At the same time, the last round of actions by the People's Bank of my country has proven that \"self-reliance\" - as long as the United States does not rate hike, the global trend of funds returning to the United States to pursue high returns is unlikely to arrive.</p><p>From this perspective alone, the Chinese stock market is not expected to be bearish in 2021; The real estate market has only shown an exceptionally harsh attitude towards speculation; as mentioned above, it is still needed for economic stability.</p><p>It should be noted that in the third quarter, such as July and August, the Federal Reserve began to formally discuss reducing QE, and began to reduce QE at the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022, which was basically within market expectations.</p><p>Nevertheless, this is at least a constraint on the monetary policy of any country.</p><p><b>6. Conclusion: The stock market will be largely unaffected by the US market in 2021, while the real estate market will be dominated by the US market.</b>The former, a leveraged game, means not to worry about liquidity.</p><p>What I mean by the latter is that the crackdown on speculation in the real estate market will continue throughout 2021. However, local governments are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their ability to manage the real estate market, and they have always had their own ways to ensure certain prices and sales volumes.</p><p>Besides, the water hasn't decreased.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yTYYzzbQ08ymsKDOuBB5dw\">杠杆游戏</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","DJX":"1/100道琼斯",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yTYYzzbQ08ymsKDOuBB5dw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111690771","content_text":"全球瞩目，美国是否加息，何时加息？\n当地时间6月16日，美联储发布经济预测和政策声明。美联储分别上调了对2021年的美国经济及通胀预期，而一同公布的点阵图则显示，有超过半数的FOMC委员给出了提前加息的预期，中位数预测暗示，美联储将在2023年前加息2次。\n利率或从0.1%升至0.6%。\n\n总体来说，美联储对物价的担忧提高，鹰派信号初现。这对我国股市、楼市会有什么影响，杠杆游戏根据此次议息会议的细节，展开谈一谈。\n1、鹰派转向信号值得重视！\n18位委员中有13人支持在2023年底前，至少加息1次。美联储对美国经济比较有信心，他们认为2021年美国GDP将增长7.0%，而3月份会议的预测为6.5%。\n美联储还将2023年的实际GDP预测，从之前预期的2.2%上调至2.4%。伴随经济的较好复苏，物价和货币政策问题自然来了。\n\n华泰期货做了一个统计，杠杆游戏觉得非常有意义，并致谢。\n美联储官员的加息路径点阵图显示，到2023年底，美联储或许将加息2次。\nFOMC（美联储的公开市场委员会）6月点阵图显示，18 位委员中有13人支持在2023 年底前至少加息1次，而3月为7位。\n\n图表来源|东北证券（特此感谢）\n11位委员预计到2023年底至少加息2次，7名委员预计在2022年开始加息。3月为4位。\n而3月份的点阵图中位数预测值暗示，到2023年底前不会加息。\n2、美联储主席鲍威尔总体认为，现在讨论加息还为时过早，关键是为什么？\n当然，美联储准备将超额准备金利率（IOER）从0.1%，调整至0.15%，也就是说，面对流动性过剩，美联储其实也在适当出手。\n不过说得很清楚，将继续每月增持至少800亿美元的国债，以及至少400亿美元的住房抵押贷款支持证券，直到充分就业和物价稳定目标取得实质性进展。\n这里杠杆游戏要多一句嘴，什么算充分就业和物价稳定目标？\n比如美国4月、5月新增非农就业人口分别为27.8万和55.9万，均低于预期。与黑天鹅前水平相比，5月就业人数依然减少了约760万。\n\n图表来源|东北证券（特此感谢）\n美联储预计2021年失业率将降至4.5%（与3月的预测持平），2022年和2023年失业率将分别降至3.8%和3.5%——到此，回到非常低的水平，大概算是合格；\n同时鲍威尔认为通货膨胀可能在未来几个月继续居高不下，然后才会有所缓和——物价指标应该算达标。\n所以，我的结论就是，美国人在乎的是经济，简单说就是就业指标。\n3、美国货币政策正常化可能加快，值得重视，但股市应该暂时无忧。\n从上文美联储委员对加息的态度人数变化看，杠杆游戏基本可以认为，加息节奏较此前大大加快。\n虽然目前还没有加息的信号，但提前到来是可能的。同时，鲍威尔已经准备讨论缩减购债，鹰派显露无疑，那么美元短期内有支撑，人民币汇率震荡为主。\n但因为中美流动性总体宽松。如我们的M2，5月末227.54万亿元，同比增长8.3%，增速比上月末高0.2个百分点。\n同时无论中美央行，与市场的沟通都较为充分、透明，谁都不会货币政策突然转向。\n所以股市总体不会恐慌，趋势性下跌不会出现。\n4、内需还是有点弱，外需支撑生产高景气，房地产和投资这个时候不能太凉。\n6月16日是很有意思的一天，美国通报他们的议息会议部分声明，我们发布了多项经济指标。\n我们可以看，工业生产其实略走弱，外需仍是重要支撑。\n首创证券统计发现，比如5月规上工业增加值两年平均增速为6.6%，较前值略降0.2个百分点。\n\n图表来源|首创证券（特此感谢）\n出口交货值复合增速有较大回落，与5月出口大幅回落相呼应，但如果没有出口的高增长，工业数据会下滑更多。\n总体来说，外需见顶回落，生产和出口下一步略有影响是一定的。\n而固投方面，同比增长15.4%。但房屋新开工面积连续两个月负增长，竣工面积本月大幅提速，同比转正为5.0%，短期内房地产投资仍有支撑，长期存在一定的压力。\n同时债务管理的加强，固定投资的回落大概率。\n\n5月社零销售增长12.4%，小幅低于市场预期的12.8%，前值为17.7%。\n总的来说，杠杆游戏认为，内需马马虎虎，出口见顶，那么，房地产打压归打压，不能搞得太难看。\n5、三季度美国是否有流动性拐点，值得注意。\n无论全球房价，还是大宗商品，以及美国股市，资产价格大涨本质这一轮都是流动性主导的。\n现在问题来了，三季度美国流动性是否有拐点？上文杠杆游戏写了，美联储有缩量的信号，超额准备金利率略有提高。\n\n图表来源|浙商证券（特此感谢）\n3季度杠杆游戏认为，第一幅度小，第二是个试探，同时我国央行上一轮的出牌已经证明，“以我为主”——只要美国不加息，资金回美追求高收益的世界趋势，应该不会到来。\n单这个角度说，2021年，我国股市不至于看空；楼市，只是对投机表现出异常严厉的态度，如上所述，经济的稳定还需要它。\n需要注意的是，3季度，比如7、8月，美联储始正式讨论削减QE，2021年底或2022年初开始削减QE，这些基本已在市场预期内。\n尽管如此，这对任何国家的货币政策，起码都是掣肘。\n6、结论：2021年股市基本不会受美国影响，楼市以我为主。前者杠杆游戏的意思是，不要担心流动性。\n后者我的意思是，楼市打击投机，将贯穿2021年始终。但地方对楼市的操盘能力，也是越来越纯熟，保障一定的价格和销量，从来都有自己办法。\n何况，水又没减少。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"QID":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DJX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168163030,"gmtCreate":1623966252920,"gmtModify":1703824707584,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168163030","repostId":"1129014312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129014312","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623938489,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129014312?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 22:01","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129014312","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月17日，中概教育股持续走低，好未来跌近9%，高途跌超7%、新东方跌超4%。\n\n继6月15日教育部宣布成立校外教育培训监管司之后，国务院教育督导委员会办公室昨天发布校外培训风险提示——\n一、警惕虚假","content":"<p>On June 17, Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>It fell nearly 9%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>Down more than 7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell by more than 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65ee918473ddb65b54c850140dccdc2f\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Following the Ministry of Education's announcement on June 15 of the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Off-Campus Education and Training, the Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee issued a risk warning for off-campus training yesterday.</p><p>I. Be wary of false advertising that induces payment. In order to attract students, some training institutions sell courses at prices significantly below cost, mislead students into registering with inappropriate language, and even fabricate the original price of courses that have never been sold. Then, they make false advertisements with underlined or discounted prices to attract parents to pay training fees.</p><p>Second, be wary of illegally charging fees under false pretenses. Before paying any fees, parents should carefully review all fees disclosed to the public by the training institution. Fees that exceed the disclosed scope or exceed 3 months or 60 class hours at a time should be carefully identified and proceeded with caution.</p><p>Third, be wary of creating gimmicks and charging exorbitant fees. Some training institutions take advantage of parents' and children's anxiety before exams, using the gimmicks of test-setting research centers, test-setting experts, and even test-setters to organize so-called \"confidential training\" and \"internal training,\" charging high fees.</p><p>At this time, semester exams are approaching and summer vacation is just around the corner, which is usually the peak season for off-campus training institutions to promote and enroll students. The Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee has made a special appearance to remind parents to \"keep their eyes open and avoid being deceived,\" which naturally further clarifies the regulatory attitude of relevant government departments towards the after-school tutoring market.</p><p>In fact, since the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC and CPPCC) launched a criticism of after-school training institutions this year, relevant government departments have become increasingly intensive in their supervision and rectification of after-school training. In particular, around the time the 19th meeting of the Central Commission for Comprehensively Deepening Reform reviewed and approved the \"Opinions on Further Reducing the Homework Burden and Off-Campus Training Burden of Students in the Compulsory Education Stage\" in May, the State Administrations for Market Regulation at all levels imposed the maximum penalties on a number of training institutions for illegal activities such as false advertising and price fraud. For a time, the after-school tutoring market was in a state of panic.</p><p>The recent establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training indicates that the specific regulatory measures of the education department will be fully implemented, and the resulting panic in the capital market is understandable. However, in this round of panic, the reports from foreign media have been even more damaging.</p><p>Yesterday, foreign media reported that China is preparing a harsher-than-expected crackdown on the $120 billion after-school tutoring industry, including a trial ban on holiday tutoring and restrictions on advertising. The new regulations, which could be announced as early as next week and take effect next month, aim to alleviate pressure on schoolchildren and increase the country's birth rate by reducing the cost of living for families.</p><p>Foreign media, citing sources, reported that Beijing, Shanghai, and other major cities are piloting a ban on online and offline tutoring during summer and winter vacations. The trial holiday ban also added plans to ban online and offline tutoring on weekends during the semester, which could reduce the annual revenue of off-campus tutoring businesses by as much as 70 to 80%.</p><p>In fact, the above rumors had been circulating for a long time, and even triggered executives of some US-listed education companies to sell their shares. However, the education authorities have remained tight-lipped about such rumors, neither clarifying nor responding. With the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training, the rumors are about to be debunked.</p><p>In fact, the capital market has already stopped predicting the future of Chinese education stocks listed in the US: June 11th...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citi</a>The announcement stated that New Oriental's rating was downgraded to \"sell\"; On June 7, Credit Suisse downgraded New Oriental's rating from \"outperform\" to \"neutral\" and lowered its target price from $14 to $9.30.</p><p>As for the trend of China's after-school tutoring industry,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">Guotai Junan Securities</a>The report suggests that new policies regarding the after-school education and training industry are expected to be introduced in the future, which will bring about changes in the industry's development. It is believed that problems such as false advertising and excessive advertising within the industry can be effectively eradicated in the long run, and relevant companies will be guided in the right direction of development. Therefore, in the long run, it will benefit the business development of leading companies, but in the short term, it will impose certain constraints on their business expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 22:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 17, Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>It fell nearly 9%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>Down more than 7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell by more than 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65ee918473ddb65b54c850140dccdc2f\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Following the Ministry of Education's announcement on June 15 of the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Off-Campus Education and Training, the Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee issued a risk warning for off-campus training yesterday.</p><p>I. Be wary of false advertising that induces payment. In order to attract students, some training institutions sell courses at prices significantly below cost, mislead students into registering with inappropriate language, and even fabricate the original price of courses that have never been sold. Then, they make false advertisements with underlined or discounted prices to attract parents to pay training fees.</p><p>Second, be wary of illegally charging fees under false pretenses. Before paying any fees, parents should carefully review all fees disclosed to the public by the training institution. Fees that exceed the disclosed scope or exceed 3 months or 60 class hours at a time should be carefully identified and proceeded with caution.</p><p>Third, be wary of creating gimmicks and charging exorbitant fees. Some training institutions take advantage of parents' and children's anxiety before exams, using the gimmicks of test-setting research centers, test-setting experts, and even test-setters to organize so-called \"confidential training\" and \"internal training,\" charging high fees.</p><p>At this time, semester exams are approaching and summer vacation is just around the corner, which is usually the peak season for off-campus training institutions to promote and enroll students. The Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee has made a special appearance to remind parents to \"keep their eyes open and avoid being deceived,\" which naturally further clarifies the regulatory attitude of relevant government departments towards the after-school tutoring market.</p><p>In fact, since the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC and CPPCC) launched a criticism of after-school training institutions this year, relevant government departments have become increasingly intensive in their supervision and rectification of after-school training. In particular, around the time the 19th meeting of the Central Commission for Comprehensively Deepening Reform reviewed and approved the \"Opinions on Further Reducing the Homework Burden and Off-Campus Training Burden of Students in the Compulsory Education Stage\" in May, the State Administrations for Market Regulation at all levels imposed the maximum penalties on a number of training institutions for illegal activities such as false advertising and price fraud. For a time, the after-school tutoring market was in a state of panic.</p><p>The recent establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training indicates that the specific regulatory measures of the education department will be fully implemented, and the resulting panic in the capital market is understandable. However, in this round of panic, the reports from foreign media have been even more damaging.</p><p>Yesterday, foreign media reported that China is preparing a harsher-than-expected crackdown on the $120 billion after-school tutoring industry, including a trial ban on holiday tutoring and restrictions on advertising. The new regulations, which could be announced as early as next week and take effect next month, aim to alleviate pressure on schoolchildren and increase the country's birth rate by reducing the cost of living for families.</p><p>Foreign media, citing sources, reported that Beijing, Shanghai, and other major cities are piloting a ban on online and offline tutoring during summer and winter vacations. The trial holiday ban also added plans to ban online and offline tutoring on weekends during the semester, which could reduce the annual revenue of off-campus tutoring businesses by as much as 70 to 80%.</p><p>In fact, the above rumors had been circulating for a long time, and even triggered executives of some US-listed education companies to sell their shares. However, the education authorities have remained tight-lipped about such rumors, neither clarifying nor responding. With the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training, the rumors are about to be debunked.</p><p>In fact, the capital market has already stopped predicting the future of Chinese education stocks listed in the US: June 11th...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citi</a>The announcement stated that New Oriental's rating was downgraded to \"sell\"; On June 7, Credit Suisse downgraded New Oriental's rating from \"outperform\" to \"neutral\" and lowered its target price from $14 to $9.30.</p><p>As for the trend of China's after-school tutoring industry,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">Guotai Junan Securities</a>The report suggests that new policies regarding the after-school education and training industry are expected to be introduced in the future, which will bring about changes in the industry's development. It is believed that problems such as false advertising and excessive advertising within the industry can be effectively eradicated in the long run, and relevant companies will be guided in the right direction of development. Therefore, in the long run, it will benefit the business development of leading companies, but in the short term, it will impose certain constraints on their business expansion.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129014312","content_text":"6月17日，中概教育股持续走低，好未来跌近9%，高途跌超7%、新东方跌超4%。\n\n继6月15日教育部宣布成立校外教育培训监管司之后，国务院教育督导委员会办公室昨天发布校外培训风险提示——\n一、警惕虚假宣传诱导缴费。部分培训机构为招揽生源，以明显低于成本的价格售卖课程、以不当用语误导学生报名，甚至虚构从未成交的课程原价，然后以划线价、折扣价进行虚假宣传，吸引家长缴纳培训费用。\n二、警惕巧立名目违规收费。在缴纳费用前，家长要详细了解培训机构向社会公示的所有收费项目，对超出公示范围、一次性超过3个月或60课时的收费，需仔细辨别，谨慎操作。\n三、警惕炮制噱头高额收费。部分培训机构利用家长和孩子考前的急切心理，假借命题研究中心、命题专家甚至命题人的噱头，组织所谓的“保密培训”“内部培训”等，收取高额费用。\n此时，正值学期考试临近、暑假将至，原本是校外培训机构促销、招生的旺季。国务院教育督导委员会办公室特别“出面”提醒广大家长“擦亮眼睛，避免上当受骗”，自然进一步明确了政府相关部门对于校外培训辅导市场的监管态度。\n事实上，自今年全国“两会”掀起对校外培训机构的口诛笔伐以来，政府有关部门对于校外培训的监管与整顿愈发密集。特别是5月，中央全面深化改革委员会第十九次会议审议通过了《关于进一步减轻义务教育阶段学生作业负担和校外培训负担的意见》前后，各级市场监管总局以涉及虚假宣传、价格欺诈等违法行为，对一批培训机构的进行了顶格处罚。一时之间，校外培训市场可谓风声鹤唳。\n近日，校外教育培训监管司的成立，表明教育部门具体的监管措施将全面落实，由此引发的资本市场恐慌也在情理之中。但是，在这一轮恐慌中，境外媒体的报道则更具杀伤力。\n昨天，有境外媒体报道称，中国准备对1200亿美元的课外辅导行业进行比预期更为严厉的打击，包括试行禁止假期补习和限制广告。其中，新规定最早可能在下周公布，并于下个月生效，旨在缓解学童的压力并通过降低家庭生活成本来提高国家的出生率。\n境外媒体援引消息人士说法，北京、上海和其他主要城市在暑假和寒假期间试行禁止线上和线下辅导。试行假期禁令还增加了在学期期间禁止在周末进行线上和线下辅导的计划，这可能会使校外辅导企业的年收入减少多达70至80%。\n其实，上述传言在坊间早已流传，甚至引发了一些美股上市教育企业高管抛售持有的股票。但是，教育主管部门对于此类传言都是讳莫如深，既未予澄清，也不予答复。随着校外教育培训监管司的成立，传言也即将揭开盖子。\n事实上，对于美股中概教育股的未来预期，资本市场已经收手：6月11日，花旗公告称，将新东方评级下调至卖出；6月7日，瑞信下调新东方的评级，从跑赢大盘下调至中性，目标价从14美元下调至9.3美元。\n至于中国校外培训行业的走势，国泰君安发表报告认为，预计未来会出台关于校外教培行业的新政策，行业的发展将迎来改变。相信行业内虚假宣传、过度宣传等行业乱象长远能被有效根除，相关的企业将被引导走向正确的发展方向。因此，从长远来看会有利于头部企业的业务发展，但在短期内会对企业的业务拓展造成一定的约束。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOTU":0.9,"TAL":0.9,"EDU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112309903,"gmtCreate":1622849775602,"gmtModify":1704192258898,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112309903","repostId":"1149890763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149890763","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622813612,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149890763?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149890763","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月4日（周五），美股全线高开。道琼斯指数开盘上涨104.39点，涨幅0.30%，报34681.43点；标普500指数开盘上涨19.41点，涨幅0.46%，报4212.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨","content":"<p>On Friday, June 4, US stocks opened higher across the board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 104.39 points higher, or 0.30%, at 34,681.43. The S&P 500 opened up 19.41 points, or 0.46%, at 4212.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 83.22 points higher, or 0.61%, at 13,697.73.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e2f90afbeaff431b4424d407fb52bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">Ninth City</a>The stock surged over 20% after the company announced the acquisition and investment in Canadian cryptocurrency mining farms Montcrypto and Skychain.</p><p>The automotive sector rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>It continued to rise by 2%. Ford Motor Company said on Thursday that total sales in May rose 4.1% year-over-year, while retail sales fell 11.2%, and electric vehicle sales surged 184% year-over-year in May. At the same time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>Up 1.15%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCC.U\">Churchill Capital</a>IV rose 3.6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 1.2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 1.8%.</p><p>The semiconductor sector generally rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>It rose 1.4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">DocuSign</a>The stock rose more than 8% after the company's second-quarter revenue expectations exceeded market consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">American Steel</a>It rose 3%, previously<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Its price target has been raised to $30.</p><p>Pershing Place's SPACs<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSTH.U\">Pershing Square Tontine Holdings</a>After falling more than 11%, the company announced today that it will acquire a 10% stake in Universal Music to achieve its IPO.</p><p>The highly volatile retail investor concept stocks rebounded slightly at the start of trading, but as of press time...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>Up 2.5%.</p><p>Newly popular stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">Workhorse</a>It fell more than 5%, but closed up more than 28% yesterday.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 21:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday, June 4, US stocks opened higher across the board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 104.39 points higher, or 0.30%, at 34,681.43. The S&P 500 opened up 19.41 points, or 0.46%, at 4212.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 83.22 points higher, or 0.61%, at 13,697.73.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e2f90afbeaff431b4424d407fb52bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">Ninth City</a>The stock surged over 20% after the company announced the acquisition and investment in Canadian cryptocurrency mining farms Montcrypto and Skychain.</p><p>The automotive sector rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>It continued to rise by 2%. Ford Motor Company said on Thursday that total sales in May rose 4.1% year-over-year, while retail sales fell 11.2%, and electric vehicle sales surged 184% year-over-year in May. At the same time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>Up 1.15%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCC.U\">Churchill Capital</a>IV rose 3.6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 1.2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 1.8%.</p><p>The semiconductor sector generally rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>It rose 1.4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">DocuSign</a>The stock rose more than 8% after the company's second-quarter revenue expectations exceeded market consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">American Steel</a>It rose 3%, previously<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Its price target has been raised to $30.</p><p>Pershing Place's SPACs<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSTH.U\">Pershing Square Tontine Holdings</a>After falling more than 11%, the company announced today that it will acquire a 10% stake in Universal Music to achieve its IPO.</p><p>The highly volatile retail investor concept stocks rebounded slightly at the start of trading, but as of press time...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>Up 2.5%.</p><p>Newly popular stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">Workhorse</a>It fell more than 5%, but closed up more than 28% yesterday.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149890763","content_text":"6月4日（周五），美股全线高开。道琼斯指数开盘上涨104.39点，涨幅0.30%，报34681.43点；标普500指数开盘上涨19.41点，涨幅0.46%，报4212.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨83.22点，涨幅0.61%，报13697.73点。第九城市大涨超20%，公司宣布收购及投资加拿大数字货币矿场Montcrypto及Skychain。汽车板块走高，福特汽车续涨2%。福特汽车周四表示，5月总销量同比增长4.1%，零售销量下降11.2%，5月电动车销量同比大增184%。同时，特斯拉涨2%，丰田汽车涨1.15%，Churchill Capital IV涨3.6%，小鹏汽车涨1.2%，蔚来汽车涨1.8%。半导体板块普涨，美光科技、英伟达涨2%，赛灵思、高通涨1.4%。DocuSign涨超8%，公司第二季度营收预期好于市场共识。美国钢铁涨3%，此前瑞银将其目标价上调至30美元。潘兴广场旗下SPAC公司Pershing Square Tontine Holdings跌超11%，今日宣布将收购环球音乐10%股权实现上市。波动剧烈的散户概念股开盘之初稍稍回弹，截至发稿，AMC院线涨超4%，游戏驿站涨2%，3B家居涨2.5%。新晋热门股Workhorse跌超5%，昨日收涨超28%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112974240,"gmtCreate":1622849657880,"gmtModify":1704192255319,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112974240","repostId":"1146370478","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146370478","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622821732,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146370478?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 23:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"AMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146370478","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周五，部分热门散户抱团股反弹。截至发稿，AMC院线涨超5%，3B家居涨近1%，游戏驿站转涨。市场消息称，美国银行向散户抱团股认输，已经决定不再试图弄懂其中一些股票，终止覆盖游戏驿站评级，且将对Bed ","content":"<p>On Friday, some popular retail stocks rebounded. As of press time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose nearly 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>The price has turned upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6841497c597c7b54d4f4129311870d3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Market sources say,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Admitting defeat to retail investors, the company has decided to stop trying to understand some of these stocks, terminate its coverage of GameStation ratings, and change its rating for Bed Bath & Beyond to no rating. Previously, the bank had an underperform rating on GameStation and a buy rating on BBBY.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 23:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday, some popular retail stocks rebounded. As of press time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose nearly 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>The price has turned upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6841497c597c7b54d4f4129311870d3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Market sources say,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Admitting defeat to retail investors, the company has decided to stop trying to understand some of these stocks, terminate its coverage of GameStation ratings, and change its rating for Bed Bath & Beyond to no rating. Previously, the bank had an underperform rating on GameStation and a buy rating on BBBY.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/765eea7b8efcd21c54c30bb5f35bff0d","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146370478","content_text":"周五，部分热门散户抱团股反弹。截至发稿，AMC院线涨超5%，3B家居涨近1%，游戏驿站转涨。市场消息称，美国银行向散户抱团股认输，已经决定不再试图弄懂其中一些股票，终止覆盖游戏驿站评级，且将对Bed Bath & Beyond评级改为无评级。此前该行对游戏驿站评级为弱于大盘，对BBBY评级为买入。 ","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137107788,"gmtCreate":1622322315244,"gmtModify":1704182916420,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3567486329036828","authorIdStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137107788","repostId":"1166516864","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":148628843,"gmtCreate":1625972830982,"gmtModify":1703751454469,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148628843","repostId":"1124741749","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124741749","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625910991,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1124741749?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-07-10 17:56","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Thorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124741749","media":"SMARTMATRIX","summary":"他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校。","content":"<p>A Man for All Markets is Edward Thorp's personal biography. Based on Thorp's experience, from beating casinos to entering Wall Street, he ventured into OTC options, convertible bonds, stocks, futures and other derivatives, making him a true All Markets. In his preface, Taleb said that his memoir reads like a thriller.</p><p>As a mathematical genius and The godfather of quantitative investing, he pioneered The introduction of probability theory, information theory, and computer programming into financial trading, influencing countless Quant leaders in later generations: Bill Gross, David Shaw, Ken Griffin... including The renowned James Simons, whose Renaissance Technology company created a legend of returns in financial history. Similarly, Simons' biography, The Man Who Solved The Market, details The ups and downs of his and his team's conquest of The financial markets. Although it was compiled by a Wall Street Journal writer based on interviews, it contains many fascinating stories that have never been disclosed before.</p><p><b>academic origin</b></p><p>A thriving culture leads to outstanding people. The so-called place of outstanding people and beautiful resources, for example, the Hunan School since the late Ming Dynasty in China, made Hunan the cradle of revolutionaries. A similar phenomenon exists in academia. A closer look at the backgrounds of the two big shots reveals many commonalities. They were both born in the 1930s, were exceptionally talented from a young age, were in academia, but both were focused on money, and shared two alma maters: the University of California, Berkeley and MIT. Both universities' academic achievements reached their peak after the war, primarily due to the large-scale military research activities spurred by World War II (the famous Manhattan Project, cryptography, information theory, and modern computers). Thorp and Simons both happened to catch this academic boom. In the 1950s, Thorp was engrossed in studying roulette with Shannon, while Simons remained engrossed in theoretical mathematical problems, which further enhanced his academic achievements (Chern-Simons Theroy). In the 1960s, MIT became the center of the computer revolution, and mathematics and computers were the two keys to Wall Street, and Thorp was the lucky one to hold these two keys.</p><p><b>Casinos vs Wall Street</b></p><p>A popular story today is that Thorp used the Law of Large Numbers and Kelly's formula to defeat the casino, becoming the first person in history to be \"blacklisted\" by a Las Vegas casino. In contrast, the hedge fund he founded, Princeton Newport Partners (PNP), is much less well-known. In fact, from 1969 to 1988, the annualized returns of the two PNP funds reached 19.1% and 15.1% respectively, while the average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 index was 10.2% during the same period. Over the past 19 years, through two oil crises in the 1970s and the 1987 stock market crash, neither fund has ever suffered a single quarterly loss, let alone an annual loss. At the world's largest casino, its performance was unparalleled at the time, and its investment model was 20 years ahead of the customers who subsequently flocked to Wall Street.</p><p>In 1988, Thorp's fund was forced to close due to its implications in the Milken case, the king of junk bonds. It was in that year that Simons established the Grand Medal Fund. Now over fifty, he was a late bloomer. He had been exploring successful investment models for 10 years, oscillating between subjective and quantitative approaches. Although Simons has always been regarded as a quantitative investment master, his role is actually completely different from Thorp's. His main job is not to develop quantitative models, but to discover various scientists from academia to help the company develop quantitative models and to shape the company's corporate culture as a spiritual leader. As a world-class mathematician and outstanding salesperson, he can get along well with different people, which is a rare ability.</p><p><b>The road to quantification</b></p><p>As a pioneer in quantitative trading, Thorp excelled at hedging and arbitraging various derivatives, and the bear market and volatility of the 1970s made this strategy work perfectly. Relying on his mathematical talent and market sense, he discovered new blue oceans: Statistical Arbitrage and factor models—early quant prototypes. The risks under this model are theoretically infinite, especially since the maximum loss from shorting overvalued stocks is infinite. Thorp's main risk control strategy is diversified investment. LTCM subsequently adopted a similar arbitrage model, but lacked risk control strategies like Thorp, and was defeated by black swan events. To improve investment efficiency, Thorp turned investment strategies into programs, once again becoming a pioneer in algorithmic Trading.</p><p>In contrast, Simons wasn't so lucky. From early attempts at intuitive investing to trend-based momentum trading, reversal trading, and continuous collection and mining of massive amounts of data, including data cleansing, signaling mechanisms, and backtesting. In 1986, a model framework was used to identify hidden price trends; in 1989, abnormal trading signals were used for short-term high-frequency trading; in 1992, only a single model was used (a key breakthrough), and then speech recognition experts helped make various technological breakthroughs (financial models have similarities to speech recognition). The model went through a long process of iterative improvement. Ultimately, the model developed important core capabilities: identifying the \"value of trading,\" including: the certainty of price trends, weight trade-offs between trading signals, and judging the impact of trading based on signals on the market. This capability is particularly important for high-frequency, full-commodity trading.</p><p><b>Winning System: Probabilistic Thinking & Modeling Human Behavior</b></p><p>For Thorp, both gambling and investing are games based on probability statistics, allocating bets based on the odds of winning (money management based on Kelly's Law). The first major breakthrough for the Grand Medal Fund came from the application of Kelly's Law and the reduction in trading frequency to make its trading more reflective of the law of large numbers. The Grand Medal system makes money as long as the win rate is slightly above 50%, regardless of the profit or loss of each transaction. Essentially, it is making money by taking advantage of the negligence and mistakes of other traders (the market is ineffective). Human behavior under high pressure is highly predictable, and they instinctively exhibit panic. The premise of modeling is that humans will constantly repeat past behaviors. Soros used reflexive philosophical theories to model human behavior, while Simons' team used data and algorithms to model human behavior, thereby confirming the theories of behavioral finance.</p><p>Unlike traditional value investing, which simplifies the market to Mr. Market, the experience of quantitative investing is that there are far more factors and variables influencing financial markets and investments than most people realize, and the factors that lead to market inefficiency can even be said to be encrypted (Thorp also goes to great lengths to refute the efficient market hypothesis in his book). Investors strive to find the most basic drivers, but what may be missing is an entire dimension of information. The Grand Medal Fund cannot explain the logic behind every profit pattern, just as humans cannot understand Alpha Go, which may be a higher dimension.</p><p>Models are abstractions and simplifications of the world, but models are not omnipotent. When data and desire conflict, even rational scientists cannot be completely rational. Simons' original intention was to create an algorithm-driven automated trading system that completely shielded human subjective judgment. However, in every crisis, he still couldn't help but intervene manually to reduce his dependence on signals and actively reduce his trading positions. The results of these interventions were not very ideal. His colleague Patterson also said:<b>Never place too much trust in a trading model. The fundamental mistake made by long-term capital management firms is to believe that models are the truth. We have never believed that our models reflect the whole truth; they only reflect part of it.</b>。”</p><p><b>Kuanke Life</b></p><p>In fact, the interaction between many big shots is far greater than we imagine. For example, Thorp and Buffett played at the bridge table, and after confirming that Buffett would eventually become the richest man in the United States, they decisively invested in BRK stock. Many people believe that top students don't necessarily have a good life. After all, there is a huge gap between book smart and street smart, and the rules of the real world are much more complicated than those of school. However, Thorp practiced the way of thinking that applies abstract thinking to real life, truly interpreting \"a fierce life needs no explanation.\" He achieved academic, wealth, and family success, and realized early on that life itself is more important than making money. Compared to Thorp's remarkable life, Simons' life has been full of twists and turns. He has been divorced, his two sons have suffered misfortunes, and he has been betrayed by his partners. But in the end, he chose to make peace with life and devote himself to philanthropy, exploring the true meaning of destiny through ups and downs from his academic career to his wide-ranging life, and the experience itself is the meaning. As Thorp said at the end of his autobiography: Life is like reading a novel or running a marathon. Reaching the finish line is often not so important; the journey itself and the experiences along the way are more precious.<b>No body can take away the dance you have danced.</b></p>","source":"lsy1625911325017","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Thorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThorpe and Simmons: The Legendary Lives of Two Godfather Investment Giants\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">SMARTMATRIX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 17:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>A Man for All Markets is Edward Thorp's personal biography. Based on Thorp's experience, from beating casinos to entering Wall Street, he ventured into OTC options, convertible bonds, stocks, futures and other derivatives, making him a true All Markets. In his preface, Taleb said that his memoir reads like a thriller.</p><p>As a mathematical genius and The godfather of quantitative investing, he pioneered The introduction of probability theory, information theory, and computer programming into financial trading, influencing countless Quant leaders in later generations: Bill Gross, David Shaw, Ken Griffin... including The renowned James Simons, whose Renaissance Technology company created a legend of returns in financial history. Similarly, Simons' biography, The Man Who Solved The Market, details The ups and downs of his and his team's conquest of The financial markets. Although it was compiled by a Wall Street Journal writer based on interviews, it contains many fascinating stories that have never been disclosed before.</p><p><b>academic origin</b></p><p>A thriving culture leads to outstanding people. The so-called place of outstanding people and beautiful resources, for example, the Hunan School since the late Ming Dynasty in China, made Hunan the cradle of revolutionaries. A similar phenomenon exists in academia. A closer look at the backgrounds of the two big shots reveals many commonalities. They were both born in the 1930s, were exceptionally talented from a young age, were in academia, but both were focused on money, and shared two alma maters: the University of California, Berkeley and MIT. Both universities' academic achievements reached their peak after the war, primarily due to the large-scale military research activities spurred by World War II (the famous Manhattan Project, cryptography, information theory, and modern computers). Thorp and Simons both happened to catch this academic boom. In the 1950s, Thorp was engrossed in studying roulette with Shannon, while Simons remained engrossed in theoretical mathematical problems, which further enhanced his academic achievements (Chern-Simons Theroy). In the 1960s, MIT became the center of the computer revolution, and mathematics and computers were the two keys to Wall Street, and Thorp was the lucky one to hold these two keys.</p><p><b>Casinos vs Wall Street</b></p><p>A popular story today is that Thorp used the Law of Large Numbers and Kelly's formula to defeat the casino, becoming the first person in history to be \"blacklisted\" by a Las Vegas casino. In contrast, the hedge fund he founded, Princeton Newport Partners (PNP), is much less well-known. In fact, from 1969 to 1988, the annualized returns of the two PNP funds reached 19.1% and 15.1% respectively, while the average annual growth rate of the S&P 500 index was 10.2% during the same period. Over the past 19 years, through two oil crises in the 1970s and the 1987 stock market crash, neither fund has ever suffered a single quarterly loss, let alone an annual loss. At the world's largest casino, its performance was unparalleled at the time, and its investment model was 20 years ahead of the customers who subsequently flocked to Wall Street.</p><p>In 1988, Thorp's fund was forced to close due to its implications in the Milken case, the king of junk bonds. It was in that year that Simons established the Grand Medal Fund. Now over fifty, he was a late bloomer. He had been exploring successful investment models for 10 years, oscillating between subjective and quantitative approaches. Although Simons has always been regarded as a quantitative investment master, his role is actually completely different from Thorp's. His main job is not to develop quantitative models, but to discover various scientists from academia to help the company develop quantitative models and to shape the company's corporate culture as a spiritual leader. As a world-class mathematician and outstanding salesperson, he can get along well with different people, which is a rare ability.</p><p><b>The road to quantification</b></p><p>As a pioneer in quantitative trading, Thorp excelled at hedging and arbitraging various derivatives, and the bear market and volatility of the 1970s made this strategy work perfectly. Relying on his mathematical talent and market sense, he discovered new blue oceans: Statistical Arbitrage and factor models—early quant prototypes. The risks under this model are theoretically infinite, especially since the maximum loss from shorting overvalued stocks is infinite. Thorp's main risk control strategy is diversified investment. LTCM subsequently adopted a similar arbitrage model, but lacked risk control strategies like Thorp, and was defeated by black swan events. To improve investment efficiency, Thorp turned investment strategies into programs, once again becoming a pioneer in algorithmic Trading.</p><p>In contrast, Simons wasn't so lucky. From early attempts at intuitive investing to trend-based momentum trading, reversal trading, and continuous collection and mining of massive amounts of data, including data cleansing, signaling mechanisms, and backtesting. In 1986, a model framework was used to identify hidden price trends; in 1989, abnormal trading signals were used for short-term high-frequency trading; in 1992, only a single model was used (a key breakthrough), and then speech recognition experts helped make various technological breakthroughs (financial models have similarities to speech recognition). The model went through a long process of iterative improvement. Ultimately, the model developed important core capabilities: identifying the \"value of trading,\" including: the certainty of price trends, weight trade-offs between trading signals, and judging the impact of trading based on signals on the market. This capability is particularly important for high-frequency, full-commodity trading.</p><p><b>Winning System: Probabilistic Thinking & Modeling Human Behavior</b></p><p>For Thorp, both gambling and investing are games based on probability statistics, allocating bets based on the odds of winning (money management based on Kelly's Law). The first major breakthrough for the Grand Medal Fund came from the application of Kelly's Law and the reduction in trading frequency to make its trading more reflective of the law of large numbers. The Grand Medal system makes money as long as the win rate is slightly above 50%, regardless of the profit or loss of each transaction. Essentially, it is making money by taking advantage of the negligence and mistakes of other traders (the market is ineffective). Human behavior under high pressure is highly predictable, and they instinctively exhibit panic. The premise of modeling is that humans will constantly repeat past behaviors. Soros used reflexive philosophical theories to model human behavior, while Simons' team used data and algorithms to model human behavior, thereby confirming the theories of behavioral finance.</p><p>Unlike traditional value investing, which simplifies the market to Mr. Market, the experience of quantitative investing is that there are far more factors and variables influencing financial markets and investments than most people realize, and the factors that lead to market inefficiency can even be said to be encrypted (Thorp also goes to great lengths to refute the efficient market hypothesis in his book). Investors strive to find the most basic drivers, but what may be missing is an entire dimension of information. The Grand Medal Fund cannot explain the logic behind every profit pattern, just as humans cannot understand Alpha Go, which may be a higher dimension.</p><p>Models are abstractions and simplifications of the world, but models are not omnipotent. When data and desire conflict, even rational scientists cannot be completely rational. Simons' original intention was to create an algorithm-driven automated trading system that completely shielded human subjective judgment. However, in every crisis, he still couldn't help but intervene manually to reduce his dependence on signals and actively reduce his trading positions. The results of these interventions were not very ideal. His colleague Patterson also said:<b>Never place too much trust in a trading model. The fundamental mistake made by long-term capital management firms is to believe that models are the truth. We have never believed that our models reflect the whole truth; they only reflect part of it.</b>。”</p><p><b>Kuanke Life</b></p><p>In fact, the interaction between many big shots is far greater than we imagine. For example, Thorp and Buffett played at the bridge table, and after confirming that Buffett would eventually become the richest man in the United States, they decisively invested in BRK stock. Many people believe that top students don't necessarily have a good life. After all, there is a huge gap between book smart and street smart, and the rules of the real world are much more complicated than those of school. However, Thorp practiced the way of thinking that applies abstract thinking to real life, truly interpreting \"a fierce life needs no explanation.\" He achieved academic, wealth, and family success, and realized early on that life itself is more important than making money. Compared to Thorp's remarkable life, Simons' life has been full of twists and turns. He has been divorced, his two sons have suffered misfortunes, and he has been betrayed by his partners. But in the end, he chose to make peace with life and devote himself to philanthropy, exploring the true meaning of destiny through ups and downs from his academic career to his wide-ranging life, and the experience itself is the meaning. As Thorp said at the end of his autobiography: Life is like reading a novel or running a marathon. Reaching the finish line is often not so important; the journey itself and the experiences along the way are more precious.<b>No body can take away the dance you have danced.</b></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw\">SMARTMATRIX</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/388d882133df2db2363aa871ff756c47","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/g5Zdx-uS3wl9QbsHZm1DVw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124741749","content_text":"A Man for All Markets是Edward Thorp的个人传记，中文翻译《战胜一切市场的人》，从Thorp的经历来看，从打败赌场到进入华尔街，OTC期权、可转债、股票、期货等衍生品，全部涉猎，名副其实的All Markets。塔勒布在序言里说，他的回忆录读起来像一部惊悚小说。\n作为一个数学天才、量化投资教父级人物，他开创性的将概率论、信息论、计算机编程引入金融交易，影响了后世无数Quant大佬：Bill Gross、David Shaw、Ken Griffin...其中也包括大名鼎鼎的James Simons，后者的文艺复兴科技公司创造了金融史上的回报率神话，同样，讲述Simons的传记The Man Who Solved The Market，详细记录了他和他的团队征服金融市场的起起落落，虽是一位华尔街日报作家根据采访汇编而成，但其中不少以前从未披露过的精彩故事。\n学术源流\n文化兴，则人杰出，所谓的人杰地灵，比如中国明末以来的湖湘学派让湖南成为革命党人的摇篮。在学术圈，也有类似的现象。仔细研究两位大佬的背景，会发现很多共通点，他们都出生于30年代，自幼天赋异禀、身在学术圈但都一心向钱，有两个共同的母校：加州大学伯克利分校和MIT。两校的学术在战后都达到了巅峰，主要一个原因就是二战催生的大规军事科研活动（著名的曼哈顿计划、密码学、信息论和现代计算机），Thorp和Simons都恰好赶上了这波学术红利。50年代，Thorp醉心于和香农一起研究轮盘赌，而Simons仍埋头于理论数学问题，这也使得其在学术上的成就更高（Chern-Simons Theroy）。60年代，MIT成为计算机革命的中心，而数学和计算机正是通向华尔街的两把钥匙，Thorp正是手握这两把钥匙的幸运儿。\n赌场vs华尔街\n如今为人津津乐道的故事是Thorp利用大数定律和凯利公式打败了赌场，他也成了历史上第一个被拉斯维加斯赌场“拉黑”的人。相比之下，他创设的对冲基金PNP（Princeton Newport Partners）知名度黯淡不少。实际上，从1969年到1988年，PNP两支基金的年化收益率分别达到19.1%和15.1%，同期标普指数年均增长率为10.2%。19年间历经70年代两次石油危机、87年股灾，两只基金从未发生单季亏损，更没有年度亏损。在世间最大的赌场，其业绩冠绝其时，其投资模式，领先此后鱼贯进入华尔街的宽客们20年。\n1988年，Thorp的基金因为受到垃圾债券之王米尔肯一案的牵连被迫关闭。正是在这一年，Simons成立大奖章基金，已年过半百的他，可谓大器晚成，在此前为了寻找成功的投资模型已经摸索了10年之久，一直在主观和量化之间摇摆。尽管外界一直都把Simons视作量化投资大师，但实际上他点角色和Thorp完全不同，他的主要工作并不是开发量化模型，而是从学术圈挖掘各类科学家来帮助公司开发量化模型，并且作为精神领袖塑造公司企业文化。作为一名世界级的数学家+卓越的销售，他与不同的人都能融洽的打交道，这是一种罕见的能力。\n量化之路\n作为量化交易的先驱，Thorp擅长各种衍生品的对冲套利，70年代的熊市和波动率让这种策略运行的非常完美。依靠自己的数学天赋和市场嗅觉发现了新的蓝海：统计套利（Statistical Arbitrage）和因子模型（factors model）——早期的quant原型。这种模式下的风险理论上是无穷的，尤其是做空那些价格高估的股票的损失上限是无穷大，Thorp主要风控策略是分散化投资。此后的LTCM采用类似的套利模式，但缺少Thorp这样的风控策略，被黑天鹅击败。为了提升投资效率，Thorp将投资策略变成程序，再次成为程序化交易（Algorithm Trading）的先驱。\n相比之下，Simons就没那么幸运了。从早期尝试直觉投资到基于趋势的动量交易、反转交易再到持续收集挖掘海量数据包括数据清洗、信号机制和回溯测试。1986年使用识别隐藏价格趋势的模型框架——1989年利用异常交易信号进行短期高频交易——1992年改为只用单一模型（关键性突破），而后语音识别专家帮助进行各种技术突破（金融模型与语音识别有相似之处），模型经历了漫长迭代改进的过程。最终练就了模型重要核心能力：识别出“交易的价值”，包括：价格趋势的确定性大小、交易信号之间的权重取舍、根据信号进行交易对市场造成的影响的判断。这项能力对于高频全品种交易尤为重要。\n取胜系统：概率思考&对人类行为建模\n对Thorp来说，赌博和投资都是以概率统计为基础的游戏，根据胜率的大小来分配下注金额的大小（基于凯利法则的资金管理），而大奖章基金的第一次重大突破也来自于对凯利法则的运用以及缩短交易频率使其交易更体现大数定律。大奖章的系统只要胜率略高于50%就能赚钱，而不在乎每一笔买卖的盈亏。本质上，是在利用其他交易者的疏忽和错误赚钱（市场无效）。人类在高压下的行为具有很高的可预测性，他们会本能地表现出恐慌。建模的前提是人类会不断重复过去的行为。索罗斯曾以反身性的哲学理论对人类行为建模，而Simons的团队利用数据和算法对人类行为建模，以此印证行为金融学的理论。\n与传统的价值投资把市场面简化成一位市场先生不同，量化投资的经验是，影响金融市场和投资的因素和变量远远比大多数人意识到的更多，导致市场无效的因素甚至可以说是加密的（Thorp在书中对有效市场假说也不遗余力的进行驳斥）。投资者努力寻找最基本的推动因素，但是遗漏的也许是一整个维度的信息。大奖章基金无法对每一条盈利的规律背后的逻辑进行解释，就如同人类无法理解阿尔法围棋一样，也许是更高纬度的存在。\n模型是对世界的抽象和简化，但模型并不是万能的。当数据和欲望相冲突，即便是理性的科学家，也无法做到完全理性。Simons的初心是创建的算法驱动的自动交易系统，完全屏蔽人类的主观判断，但每一次危机，他仍忍不住会手动干预，减少对信号的依赖，主动缩减交易头寸，可干预的结果并不十分理想。他的同事帕特森也说：”永远不要对交易模型过于信任。长期资本管理公司的基本错误是认为模型就是事实真相，我们从未相信我们的模型能够反映全部事实，它只反映事实的一部分。”\n宽客人生\n其实很多大佬的交集，远远超过我们想象。比如Thorp和巴菲特在桥牌桌上过过招，在确认巴菲特最终会成为全美最富有的人之后，果断投资了BRK的股票。很多人以为，学霸不一定会拥有好人生，毕竟，book smart和street smart之间的有极大的鸿沟，现实世界的规则比学校要复杂太多，但Thorp践行了将抽象思维运用到现实生活中的思维方式，真正诠释了“彪悍的人生不需要解释”，学术、财富、家庭圆满，很早就意识到在生活本身高于赚钱。相比较Thorp精彩纷呈的人生，Simons的人生曲折太多，离过婚，他的两个儿子先后遭受不幸，还遭遇过伙伴背叛。但最终还是选择和生活讲和，并投身慈善事业，从学术生涯到宽客人生，在跌宕起伏中探寻命运的真谛，而经历本身就是意义所在。就像Thorp在自传末尾所说：生活像是读一本小说或者跑一场马拉松，到达终点往往不是那么重要，旅途本身和沿途的体验更为珍贵。No body can take away the dance you have danced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4903,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148628043,"gmtCreate":1625972797782,"gmtModify":1703751453982,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/148628043","repostId":"1145907959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158414126,"gmtCreate":1625174114265,"gmtModify":1703737558866,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/158414126","repostId":"1101876919","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3420,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153613786,"gmtCreate":1625021042645,"gmtModify":1703850308078,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/153613786","repostId":"1121871493","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4098,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":151414863,"gmtCreate":1625102194252,"gmtModify":1703736140609,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/151414863","repostId":"2148081027","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3835,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168161471,"gmtCreate":1623966368093,"gmtModify":1703824710065,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168161471","repostId":"1111690771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1111690771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623935139,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1111690771?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 21:05","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hawkish signal! With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1111690771","media":"杠杆游戏","summary":"全球瞩目，美国是否加息，何时加息？\n当地时间6月16日，美联储发布经济预测和政策声明。美联储分别上调了对2021年的美国经济及通胀预期，而一同公布的点阵图则显示，有超过半数的FOMC委员给出了提前加息","content":"<p>Global attention is focused on whether the United States will be rate hike, and when will it be rate hike?</p><p>On June 16 local time, the Federal Reserve released its economic forecast and policy statement. The Federal Reserve raised its forecasts for the U.S. economy and inflation in 2021, respectively. The dot plot released together showed that more than half of FOMC members gave expectations for rate hike ahead of schedule, with the median forecast suggesting that the Fed will rate hike twice before 2023.</p><p>Interest rates may rise from 0.1% to 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41cae1274b855b1881c45df621f92f1\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Overall, the Federal Reserve's concerns about prices have increased, and hawkish signals are beginning to emerge. What impact will this have on my country's stock and real estate markets? Leverage Games will discuss this based on the details of this interest rate meeting.</p><p><b>1. Hawkish turning signals deserve attention!</b></p><p>Thirteen of the 18 committee members support holding at least one rate hike by the end of 2023. The Federal Reserve is relatively confident in the U.S. economy, believing that U.S. GDP will grow by 7.0% in 2021, compared to the forecast of 6.5% at its March meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve also raised its real GDP forecast for 2023 to 2.4% from the previous expectation of 2.2%. With the relatively good economic recovery, price and monetary policy issues naturally arise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66259bd1ce43d9289e0638c6cb914df7\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"257\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Huatai Futures conducted a survey, which they found very meaningful and expressed their gratitude.</p><p>The rate hike path dot plot by Federal Reserve officials shows that the Fed may rate hike twice by the end of 2023.</p><p>The June dot plot of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) showed that 13 of the 18 members supported at least one rate hike by the end of 2023, compared to 7 in March.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13dc861d49dae295f65371658fe551af\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000686\">Northeast Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>Eleven committee members are expected to hold at least two rate hike by the end of 2023, and seven committee members are expected to begin their rate hike in 2022. There were four in March.</p><p>The median dot plot forecast in March suggests that rate hike will not occur before the end of 2023.</p><p><b>2. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell generally believes that it is too early to discuss rate hike. The key question is why?</b></p><p>Of course, the Federal Reserve is preparing to adjust the excess reserve rate (IOER) from 0.1% to 0.15%, which means that the Fed is actually taking appropriate action in the face of excess liquidity.</p><p>However, it has been made clear that it will continue to increase its holdings of at least $80 billion in Treasury Bond and at least $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month until substantial progress is made on the goals of full employment and price stability.</p><p>The leverage game needs to be added here: what constitutes the goals of full employment and price stability?</p><p>For example, the United States added 278,000 and 559,000 non-farm payrolls in April and May respectively, both lower than expected. Compared to the level before the black swan event, employment still decreased by about 7.6 million in May.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8c7ecd06543dcd0ded387b77673869\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source: Northeast Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The Federal Reserve expects the unemployment rate to fall to 4.5% in 2021 (unchanged from its March forecast), and to 3.8% and 3.5% in 2022 and 2023, respectively—returning to a very low level is roughly acceptable.</p><p>Meanwhile, Powell believes that inflation is likely to remain high for the next few months before easing—price indicators should be considered adequate.</p><p>So my conclusion is that what Americans care about is the economy, or simply put, employment indicators.</p><p><b>3. The normalization of US monetary policy may accelerate and deserves attention, but the stock market should be safe for the time being.</b></p><p>Judging from the changes in the number of Federal Reserve members' attitudes towards rate hike mentioned above, it can be basically concluded that the pace of rate hike has accelerated significantly compared to before.</p><p>Although there is no signal from rate hike yet, an early arrival is possible. Meanwhile, Powell is already preparing to discuss tapering bond purchases, indicating a clear hawkish stance. Therefore, the US dollar will have support in the short term, and the RMB exchange rate will likely fluctuate.</p><p>However, liquidity between China and the US is generally loose. For example, our M2 reached 227.54 trillion yuan at the end of May, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the end of the previous month.</p><p>At the same time, both the central banks of China and the United States have relatively thorough and transparent communication with the market, and neither will experience a sudden shift in monetary policy.</p><p>Therefore, the stock market will generally not panic, and a trend decline will not occur.</p><p><b>4. Domestic demand is still somewhat weak, while external demand supports high production prosperity. Real estate and investment cannot be too cool at this time.</b></p><p>June 16th was a very interesting day. The United States announced part of its interest rate meeting statement, and we released a number of economic indicators.</p><p>We can see that industrial production has actually weakened slightly, while external demand remains an important support.</p><p>According to statistics from ShouChuang Securities, for example, the average two-year growth rate of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size in May was 6.6%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d083afd587e6aa1242d24c96c4ad505e\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source | First Capital Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The compound annual growth rate of export delivery value has slowed significantly, echoing the sharp decline in exports in May, but without the high growth in exports, industrial data would have declined even more.</p><p>Overall, with external demand peaking and declining, it is certain that production and exports will have a slight impact in the future.</p><p>In terms of fixed asset investment, it increased by 15.4% year-on-year. However, the area of new housing starts has experienced negative growth for two consecutive months, while the area of completed housing has accelerated significantly this month, turning positive year-on-year to 5.0%. Real estate investment still has support in the short term, but there is some pressure in the long term.</p><p>Meanwhile, with the strengthening of debt management, a decline in fixed investment is highly likely.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/140e47518613dba5d257d583f1f9f4ec\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Retail sales grew by 12.4% in May, slightly lower than the market expectation of 12.8% and the previous value of 17.7%.</p><p>In summary, Leverage Games believes that with domestic demand so-so and exports peaking, the crackdown on the real estate market should not be too bad.</p><p><b>5. Whether there will be a liquidity turning point in the United States in the third quarter is worth noting.</b></p><p>Whether it's global housing prices, commodities, or the US stock market, the current surge in asset prices is essentially dominated by liquidity.</p><p>Now the question arises: will there be a turning point in US liquidity in the third quarter? As mentioned above, the Federal Reserve is signaling a reduction in volume, and the interest rate on excess reserves has slightly increased.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a294dbe7d55d78d322cf321fc22590\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601878\">Zhejiang Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>The leveraged game in the third quarter believes that the first is a small increase, and the second is a test. At the same time, the last round of actions by the People's Bank of my country has proven that \"self-reliance\" - as long as the United States does not rate hike, the global trend of funds returning to the United States to pursue high returns is unlikely to arrive.</p><p>From this perspective alone, the Chinese stock market is not expected to be bearish in 2021; The real estate market has only shown an exceptionally harsh attitude towards speculation; as mentioned above, it is still needed for economic stability.</p><p>It should be noted that in the third quarter, such as July and August, the Federal Reserve began to formally discuss reducing QE, and began to reduce QE at the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022, which was basically within market expectations.</p><p>Nevertheless, this is at least a constraint on the monetary policy of any country.</p><p><b>6. Conclusion: The stock market will be largely unaffected by the US market in 2021, while the real estate market will be dominated by the US market.</b>The former, a leveraged game, means not to worry about liquidity.</p><p>What I mean by the latter is that the crackdown on speculation in the real estate market will continue throughout 2021. However, local governments are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their ability to manage the real estate market, and they have always had their own ways to ensure certain prices and sales volumes.</p><p>Besides, the water hasn't decreased.</p>","source":"lsy1574902984297","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hawkish signal! 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With the Federal Reserve gradually changing its tune, what will happen to the real estate and stock markets?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">杠杆游戏</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-17 21:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Global attention is focused on whether the United States will be rate hike, and when will it be rate hike?</p><p>On June 16 local time, the Federal Reserve released its economic forecast and policy statement. The Federal Reserve raised its forecasts for the U.S. economy and inflation in 2021, respectively. The dot plot released together showed that more than half of FOMC members gave expectations for rate hike ahead of schedule, with the median forecast suggesting that the Fed will rate hike twice before 2023.</p><p>Interest rates may rise from 0.1% to 0.6%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d41cae1274b855b1881c45df621f92f1\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"248\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Overall, the Federal Reserve's concerns about prices have increased, and hawkish signals are beginning to emerge. What impact will this have on my country's stock and real estate markets? Leverage Games will discuss this based on the details of this interest rate meeting.</p><p><b>1. Hawkish turning signals deserve attention!</b></p><p>Thirteen of the 18 committee members support holding at least one rate hike by the end of 2023. The Federal Reserve is relatively confident in the U.S. economy, believing that U.S. GDP will grow by 7.0% in 2021, compared to the forecast of 6.5% at its March meeting.</p><p>The Federal Reserve also raised its real GDP forecast for 2023 to 2.4% from the previous expectation of 2.2%. With the relatively good economic recovery, price and monetary policy issues naturally arise.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66259bd1ce43d9289e0638c6cb914df7\" tg-width=\"650\" tg-height=\"257\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Huatai Futures conducted a survey, which they found very meaningful and expressed their gratitude.</p><p>The rate hike path dot plot by Federal Reserve officials shows that the Fed may rate hike twice by the end of 2023.</p><p>The June dot plot of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) showed that 13 of the 18 members supported at least one rate hike by the end of 2023, compared to 7 in March.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13dc861d49dae295f65371658fe551af\" tg-width=\"528\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000686\">Northeast Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>Eleven committee members are expected to hold at least two rate hike by the end of 2023, and seven committee members are expected to begin their rate hike in 2022. There were four in March.</p><p>The median dot plot forecast in March suggests that rate hike will not occur before the end of 2023.</p><p><b>2. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell generally believes that it is too early to discuss rate hike. The key question is why?</b></p><p>Of course, the Federal Reserve is preparing to adjust the excess reserve rate (IOER) from 0.1% to 0.15%, which means that the Fed is actually taking appropriate action in the face of excess liquidity.</p><p>However, it has been made clear that it will continue to increase its holdings of at least $80 billion in Treasury Bond and at least $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities each month until substantial progress is made on the goals of full employment and price stability.</p><p>The leverage game needs to be added here: what constitutes the goals of full employment and price stability?</p><p>For example, the United States added 278,000 and 559,000 non-farm payrolls in April and May respectively, both lower than expected. Compared to the level before the black swan event, employment still decreased by about 7.6 million in May.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c8c7ecd06543dcd0ded387b77673869\" tg-width=\"832\" tg-height=\"343\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source: Northeast Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The Federal Reserve expects the unemployment rate to fall to 4.5% in 2021 (unchanged from its March forecast), and to 3.8% and 3.5% in 2022 and 2023, respectively—returning to a very low level is roughly acceptable.</p><p>Meanwhile, Powell believes that inflation is likely to remain high for the next few months before easing—price indicators should be considered adequate.</p><p>So my conclusion is that what Americans care about is the economy, or simply put, employment indicators.</p><p><b>3. The normalization of US monetary policy may accelerate and deserves attention, but the stock market should be safe for the time being.</b></p><p>Judging from the changes in the number of Federal Reserve members' attitudes towards rate hike mentioned above, it can be basically concluded that the pace of rate hike has accelerated significantly compared to before.</p><p>Although there is no signal from rate hike yet, an early arrival is possible. Meanwhile, Powell is already preparing to discuss tapering bond purchases, indicating a clear hawkish stance. Therefore, the US dollar will have support in the short term, and the RMB exchange rate will likely fluctuate.</p><p>However, liquidity between China and the US is generally loose. For example, our M2 reached 227.54 trillion yuan at the end of May, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the end of the previous month.</p><p>At the same time, both the central banks of China and the United States have relatively thorough and transparent communication with the market, and neither will experience a sudden shift in monetary policy.</p><p>Therefore, the stock market will generally not panic, and a trend decline will not occur.</p><p><b>4. Domestic demand is still somewhat weak, while external demand supports high production prosperity. Real estate and investment cannot be too cool at this time.</b></p><p>June 16th was a very interesting day. The United States announced part of its interest rate meeting statement, and we released a number of economic indicators.</p><p>We can see that industrial production has actually weakened slightly, while external demand remains an important support.</p><p>According to statistics from ShouChuang Securities, for example, the average two-year growth rate of the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size in May was 6.6%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous value.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d083afd587e6aa1242d24c96c4ad505e\" tg-width=\"477\" tg-height=\"545\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart source | First Capital Securities (with special thanks)</p><p>The compound annual growth rate of export delivery value has slowed significantly, echoing the sharp decline in exports in May, but without the high growth in exports, industrial data would have declined even more.</p><p>Overall, with external demand peaking and declining, it is certain that production and exports will have a slight impact in the future.</p><p>In terms of fixed asset investment, it increased by 15.4% year-on-year. However, the area of new housing starts has experienced negative growth for two consecutive months, while the area of completed housing has accelerated significantly this month, turning positive year-on-year to 5.0%. Real estate investment still has support in the short term, but there is some pressure in the long term.</p><p>Meanwhile, with the strengthening of debt management, a decline in fixed investment is highly likely.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/140e47518613dba5d257d583f1f9f4ec\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"298\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Retail sales grew by 12.4% in May, slightly lower than the market expectation of 12.8% and the previous value of 17.7%.</p><p>In summary, Leverage Games believes that with domestic demand so-so and exports peaking, the crackdown on the real estate market should not be too bad.</p><p><b>5. Whether there will be a liquidity turning point in the United States in the third quarter is worth noting.</b></p><p>Whether it's global housing prices, commodities, or the US stock market, the current surge in asset prices is essentially dominated by liquidity.</p><p>Now the question arises: will there be a turning point in US liquidity in the third quarter? As mentioned above, the Federal Reserve is signaling a reduction in volume, and the interest rate on excess reserves has slightly increased.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c6a294dbe7d55d78d322cf321fc22590\" tg-width=\"556\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Chart Source |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601878\">Zhejiang Securities</a>(Special thanks)</p><p>The leveraged game in the third quarter believes that the first is a small increase, and the second is a test. At the same time, the last round of actions by the People's Bank of my country has proven that \"self-reliance\" - as long as the United States does not rate hike, the global trend of funds returning to the United States to pursue high returns is unlikely to arrive.</p><p>From this perspective alone, the Chinese stock market is not expected to be bearish in 2021; The real estate market has only shown an exceptionally harsh attitude towards speculation; as mentioned above, it is still needed for economic stability.</p><p>It should be noted that in the third quarter, such as July and August, the Federal Reserve began to formally discuss reducing QE, and began to reduce QE at the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022, which was basically within market expectations.</p><p>Nevertheless, this is at least a constraint on the monetary policy of any country.</p><p><b>6. Conclusion: The stock market will be largely unaffected by the US market in 2021, while the real estate market will be dominated by the US market.</b>The former, a leveraged game, means not to worry about liquidity.</p><p>What I mean by the latter is that the crackdown on speculation in the real estate market will continue throughout 2021. However, local governments are becoming increasingly sophisticated in their ability to manage the real estate market, and they have always had their own ways to ensure certain prices and sales volumes.</p><p>Besides, the water hasn't decreased.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yTYYzzbQ08ymsKDOuBB5dw\">杠杆游戏</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f09c44f289c2f0d40610768fe6661fab","relate_stocks":{"513500":"标普500ETF博时","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","OEX":"标普100","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","DJX":"1/100道琼斯",".DJI":"道琼斯","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/yTYYzzbQ08ymsKDOuBB5dw","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1111690771","content_text":"全球瞩目，美国是否加息，何时加息？\n当地时间6月16日，美联储发布经济预测和政策声明。美联储分别上调了对2021年的美国经济及通胀预期，而一同公布的点阵图则显示，有超过半数的FOMC委员给出了提前加息的预期，中位数预测暗示，美联储将在2023年前加息2次。\n利率或从0.1%升至0.6%。\n\n总体来说，美联储对物价的担忧提高，鹰派信号初现。这对我国股市、楼市会有什么影响，杠杆游戏根据此次议息会议的细节，展开谈一谈。\n1、鹰派转向信号值得重视！\n18位委员中有13人支持在2023年底前，至少加息1次。美联储对美国经济比较有信心，他们认为2021年美国GDP将增长7.0%，而3月份会议的预测为6.5%。\n美联储还将2023年的实际GDP预测，从之前预期的2.2%上调至2.4%。伴随经济的较好复苏，物价和货币政策问题自然来了。\n\n华泰期货做了一个统计，杠杆游戏觉得非常有意义，并致谢。\n美联储官员的加息路径点阵图显示，到2023年底，美联储或许将加息2次。\nFOMC（美联储的公开市场委员会）6月点阵图显示，18 位委员中有13人支持在2023 年底前至少加息1次，而3月为7位。\n\n图表来源|东北证券（特此感谢）\n11位委员预计到2023年底至少加息2次，7名委员预计在2022年开始加息。3月为4位。\n而3月份的点阵图中位数预测值暗示，到2023年底前不会加息。\n2、美联储主席鲍威尔总体认为，现在讨论加息还为时过早，关键是为什么？\n当然，美联储准备将超额准备金利率（IOER）从0.1%，调整至0.15%，也就是说，面对流动性过剩，美联储其实也在适当出手。\n不过说得很清楚，将继续每月增持至少800亿美元的国债，以及至少400亿美元的住房抵押贷款支持证券，直到充分就业和物价稳定目标取得实质性进展。\n这里杠杆游戏要多一句嘴，什么算充分就业和物价稳定目标？\n比如美国4月、5月新增非农就业人口分别为27.8万和55.9万，均低于预期。与黑天鹅前水平相比，5月就业人数依然减少了约760万。\n\n图表来源|东北证券（特此感谢）\n美联储预计2021年失业率将降至4.5%（与3月的预测持平），2022年和2023年失业率将分别降至3.8%和3.5%——到此，回到非常低的水平，大概算是合格；\n同时鲍威尔认为通货膨胀可能在未来几个月继续居高不下，然后才会有所缓和——物价指标应该算达标。\n所以，我的结论就是，美国人在乎的是经济，简单说就是就业指标。\n3、美国货币政策正常化可能加快，值得重视，但股市应该暂时无忧。\n从上文美联储委员对加息的态度人数变化看，杠杆游戏基本可以认为，加息节奏较此前大大加快。\n虽然目前还没有加息的信号，但提前到来是可能的。同时，鲍威尔已经准备讨论缩减购债，鹰派显露无疑，那么美元短期内有支撑，人民币汇率震荡为主。\n但因为中美流动性总体宽松。如我们的M2，5月末227.54万亿元，同比增长8.3%，增速比上月末高0.2个百分点。\n同时无论中美央行，与市场的沟通都较为充分、透明，谁都不会货币政策突然转向。\n所以股市总体不会恐慌，趋势性下跌不会出现。\n4、内需还是有点弱，外需支撑生产高景气，房地产和投资这个时候不能太凉。\n6月16日是很有意思的一天，美国通报他们的议息会议部分声明，我们发布了多项经济指标。\n我们可以看，工业生产其实略走弱，外需仍是重要支撑。\n首创证券统计发现，比如5月规上工业增加值两年平均增速为6.6%，较前值略降0.2个百分点。\n\n图表来源|首创证券（特此感谢）\n出口交货值复合增速有较大回落，与5月出口大幅回落相呼应，但如果没有出口的高增长，工业数据会下滑更多。\n总体来说，外需见顶回落，生产和出口下一步略有影响是一定的。\n而固投方面，同比增长15.4%。但房屋新开工面积连续两个月负增长，竣工面积本月大幅提速，同比转正为5.0%，短期内房地产投资仍有支撑，长期存在一定的压力。\n同时债务管理的加强，固定投资的回落大概率。\n\n5月社零销售增长12.4%，小幅低于市场预期的12.8%，前值为17.7%。\n总的来说，杠杆游戏认为，内需马马虎虎，出口见顶，那么，房地产打压归打压，不能搞得太难看。\n5、三季度美国是否有流动性拐点，值得注意。\n无论全球房价，还是大宗商品，以及美国股市，资产价格大涨本质这一轮都是流动性主导的。\n现在问题来了，三季度美国流动性是否有拐点？上文杠杆游戏写了，美联储有缩量的信号，超额准备金利率略有提高。\n\n图表来源|浙商证券（特此感谢）\n3季度杠杆游戏认为，第一幅度小，第二是个试探，同时我国央行上一轮的出牌已经证明，“以我为主”——只要美国不加息，资金回美追求高收益的世界趋势，应该不会到来。\n单这个角度说，2021年，我国股市不至于看空；楼市，只是对投机表现出异常严厉的态度，如上所述，经济的稳定还需要它。\n需要注意的是，3季度，比如7、8月，美联储始正式讨论削减QE，2021年底或2022年初开始削减QE，这些基本已在市场预期内。\n尽管如此，这对任何国家的货币政策，起码都是掣肘。\n6、结论：2021年股市基本不会受美国影响，楼市以我为主。前者杠杆游戏的意思是，不要担心流动性。\n后者我的意思是，楼市打击投机，将贯穿2021年始终。但地方对楼市的操盘能力，也是越来越纯熟，保障一定的价格和销量，从来都有自己办法。\n何况，水又没减少。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"513500":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"QID":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"OEF":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"DJX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3718,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168163030,"gmtCreate":1623966252920,"gmtModify":1703824707584,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/168163030","repostId":"1129014312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129014312","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623938489,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129014312?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-17 22:01","market":"other","language":"zh","title":"Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129014312","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月17日，中概教育股持续走低，好未来跌近9%，高途跌超7%、新东方跌超4%。\n\n继6月15日教育部宣布成立校外教育培训监管司之后，国务院教育督导委员会办公室昨天发布校外培训风险提示——\n一、警惕虚假","content":"<p>On June 17, Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>It fell nearly 9%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>Down more than 7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell by more than 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65ee918473ddb65b54c850140dccdc2f\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Following the Ministry of Education's announcement on June 15 of the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Off-Campus Education and Training, the Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee issued a risk warning for off-campus training yesterday.</p><p>I. Be wary of false advertising that induces payment. In order to attract students, some training institutions sell courses at prices significantly below cost, mislead students into registering with inappropriate language, and even fabricate the original price of courses that have never been sold. Then, they make false advertisements with underlined or discounted prices to attract parents to pay training fees.</p><p>Second, be wary of illegally charging fees under false pretenses. Before paying any fees, parents should carefully review all fees disclosed to the public by the training institution. Fees that exceed the disclosed scope or exceed 3 months or 60 class hours at a time should be carefully identified and proceeded with caution.</p><p>Third, be wary of creating gimmicks and charging exorbitant fees. Some training institutions take advantage of parents' and children's anxiety before exams, using the gimmicks of test-setting research centers, test-setting experts, and even test-setters to organize so-called \"confidential training\" and \"internal training,\" charging high fees.</p><p>At this time, semester exams are approaching and summer vacation is just around the corner, which is usually the peak season for off-campus training institutions to promote and enroll students. The Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee has made a special appearance to remind parents to \"keep their eyes open and avoid being deceived,\" which naturally further clarifies the regulatory attitude of relevant government departments towards the after-school tutoring market.</p><p>In fact, since the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC and CPPCC) launched a criticism of after-school training institutions this year, relevant government departments have become increasingly intensive in their supervision and rectification of after-school training. In particular, around the time the 19th meeting of the Central Commission for Comprehensively Deepening Reform reviewed and approved the \"Opinions on Further Reducing the Homework Burden and Off-Campus Training Burden of Students in the Compulsory Education Stage\" in May, the State Administrations for Market Regulation at all levels imposed the maximum penalties on a number of training institutions for illegal activities such as false advertising and price fraud. For a time, the after-school tutoring market was in a state of panic.</p><p>The recent establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training indicates that the specific regulatory measures of the education department will be fully implemented, and the resulting panic in the capital market is understandable. However, in this round of panic, the reports from foreign media have been even more damaging.</p><p>Yesterday, foreign media reported that China is preparing a harsher-than-expected crackdown on the $120 billion after-school tutoring industry, including a trial ban on holiday tutoring and restrictions on advertising. The new regulations, which could be announced as early as next week and take effect next month, aim to alleviate pressure on schoolchildren and increase the country's birth rate by reducing the cost of living for families.</p><p>Foreign media, citing sources, reported that Beijing, Shanghai, and other major cities are piloting a ban on online and offline tutoring during summer and winter vacations. The trial holiday ban also added plans to ban online and offline tutoring on weekends during the semester, which could reduce the annual revenue of off-campus tutoring businesses by as much as 70 to 80%.</p><p>In fact, the above rumors had been circulating for a long time, and even triggered executives of some US-listed education companies to sell their shares. However, the education authorities have remained tight-lipped about such rumors, neither clarifying nor responding. With the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training, the rumors are about to be debunked.</p><p>In fact, the capital market has already stopped predicting the future of Chinese education stocks listed in the US: June 11th...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citi</a>The announcement stated that New Oriental's rating was downgraded to \"sell\"; On June 7, Credit Suisse downgraded New Oriental's rating from \"outperform\" to \"neutral\" and lowered its target price from $14 to $9.30.</p><p>As for the trend of China's after-school tutoring industry,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">Guotai Junan Securities</a>The report suggests that new policies regarding the after-school education and training industry are expected to be introduced in the future, which will bring about changes in the industry's development. It is believed that problems such as false advertising and excessive advertising within the industry can be effectively eradicated in the long run, and relevant companies will be guided in the right direction of development. Therefore, in the long run, it will benefit the business development of leading companies, but in the short term, it will impose certain constraints on their business expansion.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nChinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline, with TAL Education Group falling nearly 9%.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-17 22:01</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On June 17, Chinese education stocks listed in the US continued to decline.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TAL\">TAL Education Group</a>It fell nearly 9%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOTU\">Gaotu</a>Down more than 7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EDU\">New Oriental</a>It fell by more than 4%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/65ee918473ddb65b54c850140dccdc2f\" tg-width=\"478\" tg-height=\"189\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Following the Ministry of Education's announcement on June 15 of the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Off-Campus Education and Training, the Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee issued a risk warning for off-campus training yesterday.</p><p>I. Be wary of false advertising that induces payment. In order to attract students, some training institutions sell courses at prices significantly below cost, mislead students into registering with inappropriate language, and even fabricate the original price of courses that have never been sold. Then, they make false advertisements with underlined or discounted prices to attract parents to pay training fees.</p><p>Second, be wary of illegally charging fees under false pretenses. Before paying any fees, parents should carefully review all fees disclosed to the public by the training institution. Fees that exceed the disclosed scope or exceed 3 months or 60 class hours at a time should be carefully identified and proceeded with caution.</p><p>Third, be wary of creating gimmicks and charging exorbitant fees. Some training institutions take advantage of parents' and children's anxiety before exams, using the gimmicks of test-setting research centers, test-setting experts, and even test-setters to organize so-called \"confidential training\" and \"internal training,\" charging high fees.</p><p>At this time, semester exams are approaching and summer vacation is just around the corner, which is usually the peak season for off-campus training institutions to promote and enroll students. The Office of the State Council Education Supervision Committee has made a special appearance to remind parents to \"keep their eyes open and avoid being deceived,\" which naturally further clarifies the regulatory attitude of relevant government departments towards the after-school tutoring market.</p><p>In fact, since the National People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (NPC and CPPCC) launched a criticism of after-school training institutions this year, relevant government departments have become increasingly intensive in their supervision and rectification of after-school training. In particular, around the time the 19th meeting of the Central Commission for Comprehensively Deepening Reform reviewed and approved the \"Opinions on Further Reducing the Homework Burden and Off-Campus Training Burden of Students in the Compulsory Education Stage\" in May, the State Administrations for Market Regulation at all levels imposed the maximum penalties on a number of training institutions for illegal activities such as false advertising and price fraud. For a time, the after-school tutoring market was in a state of panic.</p><p>The recent establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training indicates that the specific regulatory measures of the education department will be fully implemented, and the resulting panic in the capital market is understandable. However, in this round of panic, the reports from foreign media have been even more damaging.</p><p>Yesterday, foreign media reported that China is preparing a harsher-than-expected crackdown on the $120 billion after-school tutoring industry, including a trial ban on holiday tutoring and restrictions on advertising. The new regulations, which could be announced as early as next week and take effect next month, aim to alleviate pressure on schoolchildren and increase the country's birth rate by reducing the cost of living for families.</p><p>Foreign media, citing sources, reported that Beijing, Shanghai, and other major cities are piloting a ban on online and offline tutoring during summer and winter vacations. The trial holiday ban also added plans to ban online and offline tutoring on weekends during the semester, which could reduce the annual revenue of off-campus tutoring businesses by as much as 70 to 80%.</p><p>In fact, the above rumors had been circulating for a long time, and even triggered executives of some US-listed education companies to sell their shares. However, the education authorities have remained tight-lipped about such rumors, neither clarifying nor responding. With the establishment of the Department of Supervision of Extracurricular Education and Training, the rumors are about to be debunked.</p><p>In fact, the capital market has already stopped predicting the future of Chinese education stocks listed in the US: June 11th...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/C\">Citi</a>The announcement stated that New Oriental's rating was downgraded to \"sell\"; On June 7, Credit Suisse downgraded New Oriental's rating from \"outperform\" to \"neutral\" and lowered its target price from $14 to $9.30.</p><p>As for the trend of China's after-school tutoring industry,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601211\">Guotai Junan Securities</a>The report suggests that new policies regarding the after-school education and training industry are expected to be introduced in the future, which will bring about changes in the industry's development. It is believed that problems such as false advertising and excessive advertising within the industry can be effectively eradicated in the long run, and relevant companies will be guided in the right direction of development. Therefore, in the long run, it will benefit the business development of leading companies, but in the short term, it will impose certain constraints on their business expansion.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/428db54350354f66d13560331e078b53","relate_stocks":{"TAL":"好未来","EDU":"新东方","GOTU":"高途"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129014312","content_text":"6月17日，中概教育股持续走低，好未来跌近9%，高途跌超7%、新东方跌超4%。\n\n继6月15日教育部宣布成立校外教育培训监管司之后，国务院教育督导委员会办公室昨天发布校外培训风险提示——\n一、警惕虚假宣传诱导缴费。部分培训机构为招揽生源，以明显低于成本的价格售卖课程、以不当用语误导学生报名，甚至虚构从未成交的课程原价，然后以划线价、折扣价进行虚假宣传，吸引家长缴纳培训费用。\n二、警惕巧立名目违规收费。在缴纳费用前，家长要详细了解培训机构向社会公示的所有收费项目，对超出公示范围、一次性超过3个月或60课时的收费，需仔细辨别，谨慎操作。\n三、警惕炮制噱头高额收费。部分培训机构利用家长和孩子考前的急切心理，假借命题研究中心、命题专家甚至命题人的噱头，组织所谓的“保密培训”“内部培训”等，收取高额费用。\n此时，正值学期考试临近、暑假将至，原本是校外培训机构促销、招生的旺季。国务院教育督导委员会办公室特别“出面”提醒广大家长“擦亮眼睛，避免上当受骗”，自然进一步明确了政府相关部门对于校外培训辅导市场的监管态度。\n事实上，自今年全国“两会”掀起对校外培训机构的口诛笔伐以来，政府有关部门对于校外培训的监管与整顿愈发密集。特别是5月，中央全面深化改革委员会第十九次会议审议通过了《关于进一步减轻义务教育阶段学生作业负担和校外培训负担的意见》前后，各级市场监管总局以涉及虚假宣传、价格欺诈等违法行为，对一批培训机构的进行了顶格处罚。一时之间，校外培训市场可谓风声鹤唳。\n近日，校外教育培训监管司的成立，表明教育部门具体的监管措施将全面落实，由此引发的资本市场恐慌也在情理之中。但是，在这一轮恐慌中，境外媒体的报道则更具杀伤力。\n昨天，有境外媒体报道称，中国准备对1200亿美元的课外辅导行业进行比预期更为严厉的打击，包括试行禁止假期补习和限制广告。其中，新规定最早可能在下周公布，并于下个月生效，旨在缓解学童的压力并通过降低家庭生活成本来提高国家的出生率。\n境外媒体援引消息人士说法，北京、上海和其他主要城市在暑假和寒假期间试行禁止线上和线下辅导。试行假期禁令还增加了在学期期间禁止在周末进行线上和线下辅导的计划，这可能会使校外辅导企业的年收入减少多达70至80%。\n其实，上述传言在坊间早已流传，甚至引发了一些美股上市教育企业高管抛售持有的股票。但是，教育主管部门对于此类传言都是讳莫如深，既未予澄清，也不予答复。随着校外教育培训监管司的成立，传言也即将揭开盖子。\n事实上，对于美股中概教育股的未来预期，资本市场已经收手：6月11日，花旗公告称，将新东方评级下调至卖出；6月7日，瑞信下调新东方的评级，从跑赢大盘下调至中性，目标价从14美元下调至9.3美元。\n至于中国校外培训行业的走势，国泰君安发表报告认为，预计未来会出台关于校外教培行业的新政策，行业的发展将迎来改变。相信行业内虚假宣传、过度宣传等行业乱象长远能被有效根除，相关的企业将被引导走向正确的发展方向。因此，从长远来看会有利于头部企业的业务发展，但在短期内会对企业的业务拓展造成一定的约束。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GOTU":0.9,"TAL":0.9,"EDU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3332,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112309903,"gmtCreate":1622849775602,"gmtModify":1704192258898,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112309903","repostId":"1149890763","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149890763","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622813612,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1149890763?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 21:33","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Opening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149890763","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"6月4日（周五），美股全线高开。道琼斯指数开盘上涨104.39点，涨幅0.30%，报34681.43点；标普500指数开盘上涨19.41点，涨幅0.46%，报4212.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨","content":"<p>On Friday, June 4, US stocks opened higher across the board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 104.39 points higher, or 0.30%, at 34,681.43. The S&P 500 opened up 19.41 points, or 0.46%, at 4212.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 83.22 points higher, or 0.61%, at 13,697.73.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e2f90afbeaff431b4424d407fb52bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">Ninth City</a>The stock surged over 20% after the company announced the acquisition and investment in Canadian cryptocurrency mining farms Montcrypto and Skychain.</p><p>The automotive sector rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>It continued to rise by 2%. Ford Motor Company said on Thursday that total sales in May rose 4.1% year-over-year, while retail sales fell 11.2%, and electric vehicle sales surged 184% year-over-year in May. At the same time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>Up 1.15%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCC.U\">Churchill Capital</a>IV rose 3.6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 1.2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 1.8%.</p><p>The semiconductor sector generally rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>It rose 1.4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">DocuSign</a>The stock rose more than 8% after the company's second-quarter revenue expectations exceeded market consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">American Steel</a>It rose 3%, previously<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Its price target has been raised to $30.</p><p>Pershing Place's SPACs<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSTH.U\">Pershing Square Tontine Holdings</a>After falling more than 11%, the company announced today that it will acquire a 10% stake in Universal Music to achieve its IPO.</p><p>The highly volatile retail investor concept stocks rebounded slightly at the start of trading, but as of press time...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>Up 2.5%.</p><p>Newly popular stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">Workhorse</a>It fell more than 5%, but closed up more than 28% yesterday.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Opening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nOpening: US stocks opened higher across the board, retail investor concepts rebounded, and auto stocks collectively rose.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 21:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday, June 4, US stocks opened higher across the board. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 104.39 points higher, or 0.30%, at 34,681.43. The S&P 500 opened up 19.41 points, or 0.46%, at 4212.26. The Nasdaq Composite Index opened 83.22 points higher, or 0.61%, at 13,697.73.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7e2f90afbeaff431b4424d407fb52bac\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NCTY\">Ninth City</a>The stock surged over 20% after the company announced the acquisition and investment in Canadian cryptocurrency mining farms Montcrypto and Skychain.</p><p>The automotive sector rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/F\">Ford Motor</a>It continued to rise by 2%. Ford Motor Company said on Thursday that total sales in May rose 4.1% year-over-year, while retail sales fell 11.2%, and electric vehicle sales surged 184% year-over-year in May. At the same time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TM\">Toyota</a>Up 1.15%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CCC.U\">Churchill Capital</a>IV rose 3.6%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">XPeng Automotive</a>Up 1.2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">Nio</a>Automobiles rose 1.8%.</p><p>The semiconductor sector generally rose.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MU\">Micron Technology</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XLNX\">Xilinx</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QCOM\">Qualcomm</a>It rose 1.4%.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DOCU\">DocuSign</a>The stock rose more than 8% after the company's second-quarter revenue expectations exceeded market consensus.</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/X\">American Steel</a>It rose 3%, previously<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">UBS</a>Its price target has been raised to $30.</p><p>Pershing Place's SPACs<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PSTH.U\">Pershing Square Tontine Holdings</a>After falling more than 11%, the company announced today that it will acquire a 10% stake in Universal Music to achieve its IPO.</p><p>The highly volatile retail investor concept stocks rebounded slightly at the start of trading, but as of press time...<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 4%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>Up 2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>Up 2.5%.</p><p>Newly popular stocks<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WKHS\">Workhorse</a>It fell more than 5%, but closed up more than 28% yesterday.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff6e3231d788a5a6d28cf7965385cc7f","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149890763","content_text":"6月4日（周五），美股全线高开。道琼斯指数开盘上涨104.39点，涨幅0.30%，报34681.43点；标普500指数开盘上涨19.41点，涨幅0.46%，报4212.26点；纳斯达克综合指数开盘上涨83.22点，涨幅0.61%，报13697.73点。第九城市大涨超20%，公司宣布收购及投资加拿大数字货币矿场Montcrypto及Skychain。汽车板块走高，福特汽车续涨2%。福特汽车周四表示，5月总销量同比增长4.1%，零售销量下降11.2%，5月电动车销量同比大增184%。同时，特斯拉涨2%，丰田汽车涨1.15%，Churchill Capital IV涨3.6%，小鹏汽车涨1.2%，蔚来汽车涨1.8%。半导体板块普涨，美光科技、英伟达涨2%，赛灵思、高通涨1.4%。DocuSign涨超8%，公司第二季度营收预期好于市场共识。美国钢铁涨3%，此前瑞银将其目标价上调至30美元。潘兴广场旗下SPAC公司Pershing Square Tontine Holdings跌超11%，今日宣布将收购环球音乐10%股权实现上市。波动剧烈的散户概念股开盘之初稍稍回弹，截至发稿，AMC院线涨超4%，游戏驿站涨2%，3B家居涨2.5%。新晋热门股Workhorse跌超5%，昨日收涨超28%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3726,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112974240,"gmtCreate":1622849657880,"gmtModify":1704192255319,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"???","listText":"???","text":"???","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/112974240","repostId":"1146370478","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1146370478","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622821732,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1146370478?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-04 23:48","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"AMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1146370478","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"周五，部分热门散户抱团股反弹。截至发稿，AMC院线涨超5%，3B家居涨近1%，游戏驿站转涨。市场消息称，美国银行向散户抱团股认输，已经决定不再试图弄懂其中一些股票，终止覆盖游戏驿站评级，且将对Bed ","content":"<p>On Friday, some popular retail stocks rebounded. As of press time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose nearly 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>The price has turned upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6841497c597c7b54d4f4129311870d3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Market sources say,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Admitting defeat to retail investors, the company has decided to stop trying to understand some of these stocks, terminate its coverage of GameStation ratings, and change its rating for Bed Bath & Beyond to no rating. Previously, the bank had an underperform rating on GameStation and a buy rating on BBBY.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>AMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAMC Cinemas rose over 5% as Bank of America conceded defeat to stocks favored by retail investors.\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 23:48</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>On Friday, some popular retail stocks rebounded. As of press time,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Cinemas</a>It rose more than 5%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BBBY\">3B Home</a>It rose nearly 1%.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">Game Station</a>The price has turned upward.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6841497c597c7b54d4f4129311870d3\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p>Market sources say,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>Admitting defeat to retail investors, the company has decided to stop trying to understand some of these stocks, terminate its coverage of GameStation ratings, and change its rating for Bed Bath & Beyond to no rating. Previously, the bank had an underperform rating on GameStation and a buy rating on BBBY.</p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/765eea7b8efcd21c54c30bb5f35bff0d","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","AMC":"AMC院线"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1146370478","content_text":"周五，部分热门散户抱团股反弹。截至发稿，AMC院线涨超5%，3B家居涨近1%，游戏驿站转涨。市场消息称，美国银行向散户抱团股认输，已经决定不再试图弄懂其中一些股票，终止覆盖游戏驿站评级，且将对Bed Bath & Beyond评级改为无评级。此前该行对游戏驿站评级为弱于大盘，对BBBY评级为买入。 ","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BBBY":0.9,"GME":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3530,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":137107788,"gmtCreate":1622322315244,"gmtModify":1704182916420,"author":{"id":"3567486329036828","authorId":"3567486329036828","name":"dong114","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a123b3f44d0b293a9717c62600ddbc3","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3567486329036828","idStr":"3567486329036828"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/137107788","repostId":"1166516864","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3694,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}