My Investing Muse (03Aug2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies Between July 27 and August 2, 2026, the tide of restructuring swept through industries with quiet force, as Porsche sealed an agreement to shed five thousand more roles toward a nine-thousand total by 2035 amid fading demand. Yet several claimed cuts fell just before the window: Centrica’s thirteen hundred, Telefónica Germany’s eleven hundred store-closing plan, K&L Gates’ ten-percent non-lawyer trim, and Amazon’s cloud software reductions had already echoed days earlier, while Intel’s Data Center moves and Magic Leap’s nearly two-hundred waveguide pivot gained only confirmatory notes within the week. Fresh waves arrived nonetheless—BMW offering voluntary exits for up to eight thousand German administrative and research

News and my thoughts from the past week (03Aug2026) To prevent Japan from selling even more US assets, he joined Japan in a massive coordinated intervention. But instead of selling USD, the US sold EUR. To keep this war going, the US has to bail out major holders of US assets to prevent them from selling... especially Treasuries. - X user Lukas Ekwueme More than 1.2 million leveraged retail trading accounts in South Korea triggered margin calls as ​of July 13th, with an estimated 320,000–360,000 accounts fully liquidated, per Goldman Sachs. This means around 3.4% of the adult ⁠population in South Korea has received margin calls. The KOSPI is currently down another ~18% since July 13th. We believe that the total number of fully liquidated accounts is now above 500,000. - X user The Kobeissi

Market Outlook of S&P500 (03Aug2026) Technical Analysis Overview Source: Yahoo Finance dated 02Aug2026 MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in the long term and uncertain in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages This is showing a bearish trend. Chaikin Money Flow The CMF index shows a score of 0.09, indicating more buying momentum than sell

Earnings Calendar (03Aug2026) In the coming week we have some highly anticipated earnings that included Palantir, Pfizer, McDonald’s, Walt Disney, Uber and SpaceX. McDonald’s earnings are a global bellwether for consumer health and economic conditions. Same-store sales can show whether lower- and middle-income consumers are under budget pressure, while weaker foot traffic may point to inflation-driven pullbacks in value meals and discretionary dining. Menu prices also provide insight into commodity and labour cost pressures, including inputs such as beef and dairy. In a downturn, a shift by higher-income consumers from sit-down restaurants to fast food may signal weaker consumer sentiment. - from Google Gemini. McDonald’s price has fallen by 10.65% from a year ago. Technical analysis has a

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 03Aug2026) Key macroeconomic releases in the coming week will provide important signals on growth, inflation, labour-market conditions, and energy demand. Manufacturing and Inflation Indicators The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for July is expected at 53.8, indicating continued expansion in global manufacturing activity. The ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Manufacturing Prices Index for July will also be released. The previous ISM Manufacturing Prices reading of 73.0 pointed to inflationary pressure, which could eventually be passed on to consumers. Labour-Market Data Several labour-market indicators will be closely watched by the Federal Reserve ahead of its upcoming interest-rate decision: JOLTS job openings for June will be announced, follow

My Investing Muse (27Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies (by Gemini & Grok) Key corporate and market stress signals (week of ~July 20, 2026): Major Layoffs British American Tobacco: ~9,000 roles (~20% of non-US workforce). Microsoft: ~4,800 global positions. Telefónica Germany: up to 1,100 roles (~16%). Verizon: ~3,000 affected (mostly store transfers + corporate cuts). Samsung: 800+ U.S. roles affected (many relocation offers). Entain: 500 positions. Closures/Restructuring Metro (Singapore): exiting Paragon and Causeway Point stores. Volkswagen: cutting model lines by up to 50% and reviewing European plants. Bankruptcies U.S. larger corporates: S&P reports 372 filings YTD—a 16-year high, led by industrial, consumer, and healthcare. Small businesses: Subchapter V filings u

News and my thoughts from the past week (27Jul2026) META $12 billion bond offer comes in at 7.6% on “weak demand”. So much pain coming to Oracle. On Monday, whose bonds are rapidly selling off at 7.9% to 8.1% while Meta was around 6.7%. - X user Roger Will this save Oracle? Are people leaving a sinking ship in BlackRock? JUST IN: OpenAI caught one of its AI agents leaving instructions for future versions to escape internal controls. - X user Watcher Guru Nike is planning to cut off thousands of online distributors in China beginning in January as the sneaker giant looks to clean up what’s become a messy digital marketplace and get the region back to growth, the company said Tuesday. Starting next year, Nike’s online footprint will shift primarily to the retailer’s official website and app,

Market Outlook of S&P500 (27Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 200-day (MA200) moving average but below the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and bearish in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. We had some issues with the charts from both Yahoo Finance and Investing. Pardon missing the other indicators like Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Exponential

Earnings Calendar (27Jul2026) This week features several major earnings releases, including Baker Hughes, PayPal, Coca-Cola, Boeing, UPS, Visa, Apple, Amazon, ExxonMobil, Moderna, and Chevron. We begin with UPS. Here is how UPS earnings serve as an economic reference (Google): UPS is a reliable economic bellwether because its logistics network handles about 6% of U.S. GDP and 3% of global GDP. By moving raw materials, finished goods, and e-commerce orders, its earnings offer a timely snapshot of broad economic health.Rising package volumes and express shipping suggest stronger business investment, retail activity, and consumer confidence. Falling volumes or a shift to cheaper delivery options can signal tighter spending, inventory slowdowns, and economic. UPS Valuation and M

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 27Jul2026) Consumption and Consumer Sentiment June’s Durable Goods orders are forecast to rise by 1.6%, a notable improvement from the previous reading of -4.5%. This rebound is a positive indicator for consumption and suggests stronger demand momentum. The CB Consumer Confidence reading for July is forecast at 92.1. This points to weaker consumer confidence and lower market optimism, which may influence future consumption patterns. Energy Demand Indicator Crude oil inventories remain an important reference point for assessing producer expectations and future consumption. If inventories come in above expectations, it may suggest stronger supply conditions; if they fall below expectations, it could point to firmer demand. Federal Reserve Interest

We can offer sympathy, but will the market offer mercy? Remember to hedge.

My Investing Muse (20Jul2026) Layoffs, closures and Delinquencies GOOGLE WORKERS ARE BRACING FOR LAYOFFS. 4,500 signed a petition demanding guaranteed severance and an end to performance quotas. 100+ rallied at HQ to deliver it to CEO Sundar Pichai. 4 in 10 tech workers now say they fear being laid off within a year. - X user Layoff Hedge "Millions of Americans want jobs but can't find them, and the number now exceeds the Great Financial Crisis," per Benzinga The total number of job cuts attributed to AI are 87,714 2026, per Challenger and Gray. This is 22% of all 2026 layoffs. - X user Unusual Whale "Midsize companies that employ millions of workers are now shedding jobs and relocating overseas to cut costs," per WSJ Summary of news (compiled by Gemini) The week starting July 13, 2026, sa

News and my thoughts from the past week (20Jul2026) Meta is having a moment... again. Facebook, Instagram, and Messenger are glitching for users around the world, with desktop Facebook logins failing and Instagram throwing up “something went wrong” messages. The apps appear to be working for some people, so this isn’t a total blackout, just enough chaos to make everyone wonder whether they’ve been hacked. Nope. Meta is simply falling apart again. Source: The Independent / Writer: Ian The US is spending $50 billion on data center construction, exceeding the combined spending on airports, ports, and mass transit, per Bloomberg. "We replaced Salesforce with a vibe-coded CRM built for our own workflows. The custom system integrated our AI agents more effectively, worked better for the team, an

Market Outlook of S&P500 (20Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 just completed a crossover and is on a downtrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.16, indicating that the market has more buying momentum than selling momentum. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above 200-day (MA200) moving average but just cut the 50-day (MA50) moving average. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the long term and a probable trend change in the short term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upward, indicating a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. E

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 20Jul2026) Several major data releases are due in the coming week, each offering insight into demand conditions, labour-market momentum, the housing sector, and the broader economic outlook. Crude oil inventories: Markets typically view this release as a gauge of consumption trends, particularly from the perspective of major oil companies. Initial jobless claims: The latest claims data will be released after a previous reading of 208,000. This remains one of the key labour-market indicators the Federal Reserve monitors when assessing upcoming interest-rate decisions. New home sales: June new home sales will be released following a previous reading of 580,000 units. The data will serve as an important barometer for the health of th

Economic Preview: Key Data Releases (week of 20Jul2026) Several major data releases are due in the coming week, each offering insight into demand conditions, labour-market momentum, the housing sector, and the broader economic outlook. Crude oil inventories: Markets typically view this release as a gauge of consumption trends, particularly from the perspective of major oil companies. Initial jobless claims: The latest claims data will be released after a previous reading of 208,000. This remains one of the key labour-market indicators the Federal Reserve monitors when assessing upcoming interest-rate decisions. New home sales: June new home sales will be released following a previous reading of 580,000 units. The data will serve as an important barometer for the health of the real estate m

News and my thoughts from the past week (13Jul2026) From X user Katie Miller: OpenAI’s last 24 hours: > Top Exec unexpectedly departs > Shuts down browser tool after 9 months > Sued for trade theft by Apple > Caught selling product to China against sanctions OpenAI is shutting down Atlas, its standalone AI browser, less than a year after launch. The company announced the deprecation alongside ChatGPT Work, a desktop superapp that folds browser capabilities into the main ChatGPT app. Atlas joins Sora and the shelved adult mode as products OpenAI has quietly walked away from in recent months. - X user Hedgie A Brown University economics professor made his take-home midterm harder than usual, figuring unlimited time justified it. 86 students enrolled, up from a typical 8 to 30.

Market Outlook of S&P500 (13Jul2026) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator for the S&P 500 is on an uptrend. Chaikin Money Flow The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stands at 0.14, indicating the market has more buying momentum than selling. Moving Averages Examining the moving averages, the most recent price action shows that the last candlestick has been above the 50-day (MA50) and 200-day (MA200) moving averages. This pattern indicates a bullish shift in both the short and long term. Notably, both the MA50 and MA200 lines have continued to trend upwards, which indicates a bullish outlook in both the short and long term. Exponential Moving Averages The exponential moving average (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook