Nice Sharing ๐ @Barcode @JC888 @DiAngel @Aqa @koolgal @Shernice่ปๅฌฃ 2000 //@Shyon:For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150. I do not think this automatically
@Shyon:For me, the 25bp BOJ hike is not the biggest issue. What matters is how far the BOJ goes and whether the yen strengthens quickly. Japan has been a major source of low-cost funding, so further hikes could make the yen carry trade less attractive. I would watch closely if USD/JPY moves below 150. I do not think this automatically means global tech stocks will fall. Japanโs rate is still relatively low, and gradual normalization should be manageable. The bigger risk is a sudden carry-trade unwind, forcing investors to reduce exposure across U.S. tech, bonds and other high-beta assets. For now, I am watching BOJ guidance, USD/JPY and whether Japanese investors bring capital back home as domestic yields rise. If these signals move together, this could become a global liquidity story. I would s
@koolgal:๐๐๐On Thursday, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ pulled off a classic automotive magic trick- rising 2.27% just as it revealed its free cash flow has plummeted into the red by a cool USD 1.1 billion. Under normal accounting rules, watching a billion dollars evaporate while the stock price goes up is like watching a car drive off a cliff & expecting it to fly. Yet Wall Street remained calm. To understand why the market didn't panic, it helps to look at Tesla as not just a car company but as an AI robotics one. USD 43.5 billion is a lot of money but the real question is how much money is its Robotaxi going to need to launch it? To make Robotaxis a reality, Elon Musk is buying tens of thousands of specialised AI chips, building massive da
@DiAngel:This Sunday, I m escaping from the terrible and horrible haze in Singapore. Germany - Switzerland - Italy here I come. I know what to expect in Germany as I m going back office to meet current and retired colleagues. I will also be meeting a German friend who is based in Singapore. He is so busy that we don't have the chance to meet here but this will be my 2nd time meeting in Germany. ๐คฃ๐คฃ. Then 24Sept, I will head off to Switzerland. Thereafter, it will be a blind box trip as my Italian friend will decide where to head too - totally based on the weather. 4 or 5Oct, I will be in Milan to meet my Italian colleagues. 6Oct I might go back to Germany office - it is dependent on the outcome of my retired colleague who had a surgery on 15Sept. He will be kept in hospital till en
@koolgal:๐๐๐The Big Friday Vibe Check: Trend Reversal or Ultimate Bull Trap? It is amazing that Nasdaq100 & S&P500 have staged a spectacular comeback despite the Fed being hawkish and raised interest rate by 25bp yesterday. The Bullish Optimist: Look at the momentum. It is a genuine trend reversal. If I don't commit right now, I am going to miss out. The Friday Realist: Step away from the Buy button. It is a textbook bull trap. The moment you roll over for the weekend, you are going to wake up on Monday to a portfolio that is in the red. My Take: There is no shame in taking some chips off the table on a Friday to guarantee a safe weekend. After all, a profit is a profit. Wall Street will be there next Monday, ready to break our hearts or make
@koolgal:๐๐๐If $SK hynix(SKHY)$ actually signs on with $Intel(INTC)$ the biggest impact isn't just the supply chain localisation or $Micron Technology(MU)$ sweating. Those matter but they are the side benefits. The real deal is that Intel is finally proving it can win a heavyweight customer in the open market. That is not just a partnership. That is public endorsement. It shows that Intel is ready, capable and competitive. Exciting times are ahead for Intel and SK Hynix if the deal is signed. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars
@Shyon:$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ Hi Tigers, after the recent pullback in semiconductors, I am continuing to collect Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares(SOXL) gradually. I know SOXL is a 3x leveraged ETF and comes with much higher volatility and decay, so I am not treating it as a short-term trade. For me, the recent weakness is creating a better entry point after the sector became overheated. Instead of chasing when sentiment is strong, I prefer to use pullbacks to build my position step by step. My semiconductor thesis has not changed. AI continues to require more GPUs, CPUs, networking chips, memory and advanced semiconductor infrastructure. The growth of AI data centers is also increasing demand for HBM, DRAM, N
@koolgal:๐๐ $SpaceX(SPCX)$ vs $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : Which is a better buy? Choosing SpaceX right now is like buying a heavily discounted ticket to Mars because the crew hit some minor turbulence. Yes SpaceX is bleeding due to short term insider lockup expirations & over hyped IPO. But under the hood, the fundamentals are actually accelerating. SpaceX recently signed a jaw dropping USD 1.11 billion a month AI compute hosting contract. This marks SpaceX's 4th massive AI infrastructure deal, following its contract with Anthropic at USD 1.25 billion a month & Google's USD 920 million a month. SpaceX is like the Millennium Falcon. It may experience a temporary hyperdrive failure but
@koolgal:๐ $Oracle(ORCL)$ chairman Larry Ellison has committed a huge USD 7.5 billion to Oracle Cloud Infrastructure or OCI. It is a bold declaration that Oracle is deep in the money on AI infrastructure. But for retail investors, do you blind faith follow Ellison's mega move now or keep your wallet zipped until this massive bet starts pumping out cold hard cash flow? Following Ellison now is like buying a ticket for a luxury cruise ship before it even left the dry dock simply because the captain is a legendary billionaire. Oracle is locking in massive data centre partnerships which includes a hyper cloud deal with Microsoft & OpenAI. If you wait until the cash flow materialises, you maybe left buying at the peak. If you wait for the Cash
@Shyon:For me, the 25bp hike is already largely priced in, so the real focus is on Warshโs guidance and the dot plot. I want to see whether the Fed treats this as a one-off adjustment or signals that more tightening may be needed. The direction of the 2026 and 2027 rate projections could matter more than the hike itself. I am also watching the 10-year Treasury yield closely. If the Fed stays hawkish and yields move back above 5%, high-growth tech and other long-duration assets could face more valuation pressure. The dollar could strengthen as well, while gold and Bitcoin may become more volatile depending on liquidity and risk sentiment. Personally, I am not planning to react aggressively to the headline rate decision. I would rather wait for the dot plot and press conference before making any c