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晶峰
07-20
https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity2/market/2026/deposit-campaign
晶峰
01-10
https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity2/market/2026/deposit-campaign
晶峰
2024-02-17
wow
晶峰
2024-02-14
wow
晶峰
2024-02-13
wow
晶峰
2024-02-10
wow
晶峰
2024-01-16
$蔚来(NIO)$
晶峰
2024-01-14
wow
@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅
晶峰
2024-01-07
New day begins, new idea creadted
晶峰
2024-01-06
wow,wowsee what happen
晶峰
2024-01-05
Hi,morning, come play come, play,
晶峰
2024-01-04
Hi Hi Hi Hi come come come play
晶峰
2024-01-02
wow
@TigerEvents:🐅🌟 TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅
晶峰
2023-12-30
Wow,wow,wow,, win big prizes
晶峰
2023-12-27
Hi come ang play the game ,win prizes
晶峰
2023-12-26
Play the game,win prizes
晶峰
2023-12-24
Hi come,come ,play the game, win prizes
晶峰
2023-12-21
Hi, join us,win prizes
晶峰
2023-12-14
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
晶峰
2023-12-13
$纳指三倍做多ETF(TQQQ)$
Go to Tiger App to see more news
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TIGER TYCOON CHALLENGE IS ON! 🌟🐅","htmlText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? Introducing the Tiger Tycoon Challenge – where fortunes are made, and USD 888 worth of prizes await the boldest players! 🏰🌈🎯 Objective: Build your empire, score big points, and unlock fabulous rewards!💰 Gold Rush: Grab those shiny gold coins every time you pass by it! Cha-ching! 💰💵🏠 Construct & Conquer: Step on an empty tile to construct a building to gain points! 🏰🏆 Prizes Galore: Hit the prize tile to claim your treasure – it could be anything! 🎁✨🔄 Lucky Draw: Land on the draw tile and brace yourself! You might move forward, backward, or even unlock a secret power! 🔄🔮🚀 Airdrop Alert: Keep your eyes on the sky! Periodically, the Tiger Tycoon map will rain down special rewards like stocks, vouchers, and more. Fastest finge","listText":"Hey Tycoons! 🎩💼 Ready to embark on the adventure of a lifetime? 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week Will up again? 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11:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"What is the Q4 2021 earnings forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2208151360","media":"格隆汇","summary":"已披露业绩预告的公司中,属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%","content":"<p><html><head></head><body>In our report, \"Earnings Forecasts and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year,\" we reviewed the guiding role of earnings forecasts in previous years' annual reports in determining market structure.<b>The results showed that sectors with better-than-expected annual report earnings forecasts also performed better at the beginning of the year.</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of annual earnings forecasts draws to a close, we...<b>A summary of the \"better-than-expected\" Q4 2021 earnings forecast has been reviewed.</b>This is for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Main text of the report</b></p><p><h3>I. Sector Overview: All A-share performance improved sequentially.</h3><b>Nearly 60% of companies in the A-share market have released their earnings forecasts.</b>As of 10:00 AM on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies had released their 2021 Q4 earnings forecasts/preliminary reports/annual reports. Of these, 2,417 companies actually released their earnings, representing an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (considering only the 4,161 companies listed before December 31, 2020, i.e., excluding newly listed companies within one year of listing). Among them, 614 of the 891 companies listed on the ChiNext board had completed their disclosures, representing a disclosure rate of 68.91%. After the SME board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board disclosed information, representing a disclosure rate of 56.24%. Of the 215 companies listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, 105 disclosed their information, representing a disclosure rate of 48.84%. Three of the 41 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange disclosed their information, representing a disclosure rate of 7.32%.</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed their earnings forecasts, 55.87% belong to the \"expected profit\" category.</b>Based on the type of earnings forecast, we divide it into two groups: expected profit (including slight increase, turnaround, continued profit, and expected increase) and expected loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss, and expected decrease). Of the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed earnings forecasts (some companies directly disclose preliminary earnings reports and annual reports, which are not included in the earnings forecast statistics), 1,295 are expected to be profitable, accounting for 55.87%. The proportions of companies listed on the main board, ChiNext board, STAR Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange that are expected to be profitable are 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00%, and 100%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the 2021 annual report earnings forecast, the performance growth rate of all A-shares improved sequentially.</b>Looking at companies that have disclosed their earnings forecasts, based on 2020, the median earnings growth rate of all A-shares in Q4 2021 was 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points compared to Q3 2021. The median earnings growth rates of the main board, ChiNext board, and STAR Market were 51.39%, 44.22%, and 56.36%, respectively, representing changes of 29.49, 27.27, and 30.70 percentage points compared to Q3 2021. Based on the disclosed earnings forecasts, the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) leads the entire A-share market in absolute growth, followed by the main board, and finally the ChiNext board. The STAR Market, the main board, and the ChiNext board also saw the largest month-on-month improvement in performance. However, it is worth noting that due to the full implementation of conditional mandatory disclosure of A-share earnings forecasts, only companies with significant earnings fluctuations are required to disclose, while other companies are not subject to mandatory disclosure requirements. Most of the companies that proactively disclose their earnings may have performed well, and the currently published earnings growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>II. Which industries saw improved month-on-month earnings growth?</h3>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies had released their Q4 2021 earnings forecasts/preliminary reports/annual reports and disclosed their actual performance. We used this as a sample to conduct an industry performance analysis based on all A-shares.</p><p><b>Looking at CITIC's Level 1 industries, only coal and banking saw improved earnings growth for two consecutive periods.</b>。 We selected industries with positive earnings growth, sequential improvement, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher. There were 16 industries with positive earnings growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher.<b>The top five industries with the largest month-on-month improvements</b>They are<b>petroleum and petrochemical</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared to Q3, the same in parentheses below),<b>Basic chemical</b>(73.18 points),<b>electronic</b>(47.19 percentage points)<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points)<b>media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive earnings growth, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher,<b>Two consecutive periods of month-on-</b>The industry only has<b>coal</b>and<b>Bank</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Looking at CITIC's Level 2 industries, 43 industries achieved positive revenue growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and had a disclosure rate of 50% or higher. The top 10 industries with the highest sequential growth rates include...<b>Asset Management II, Planting Industry, White Home Appliances II, Multi-sector Holdings II, Insurance II, Hotels and Catering, Other Chemicals II, Industrial Internet, Optoelectronics and Agrochemicals</b>。 Among the CITIC Level II industries with positive earnings growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher, the industries with two consecutive periods of sequential improvement in earnings include:<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>III. Which industries have the largest proportion of stocks exceeding expectations?</h3>After excluding industries with fewer than 5 stocks disclosing earnings forecasts and fewer than 5 stocks with market consensus expectations, we selected stocks in various industries that had already disclosed earnings forecasts, extracted Wind's consensus forecast value for their 2021 earnings growth (Wind's consensus forecast is 180 days), and compared it with the growth rate disclosed in the earnings forecasts.<b>When the growth rate of earnings forecasts exceeds Wind's consensus expectations, we define them as \"stocks with better-than-expected performance\" and calculate the proportion of the number of \"better-than-expected stocks\" to the stocks that have already disclosed earnings forecasts and have market expectations, and rank each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's Level 1 industry,</b>As of 10:00 AM on January 29, 2022,<b>Bank</b>Nineteen companies in the sector have disclosed their earnings forecasts, of which 18 are \"better-than-expected\" stocks, accounting for as much as 94.74%. The sectors with the highest percentage of stocks exceeding expectations in the A-share market also include:<b>Non-bank finance</b>(56.25%)、<b>coal</b>(42.86%)、<b>Basic chemical</b>(41.38%)、<b>non-ferrous metal</b>(41.07%)、<b>Medicine</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industries,<b>National Joint Stock Bank II</b>The proportion of \"better-than-expected stocks\" reached 100%, and<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities II</b>、<b>Other Electronic Components II</b>、<b>Other chemicals II</b>、<b>Other pharmaceuticals</b>、<b>agricultural chemical</b>and<b>logistics</b>The proportion of stocks in the sector that exceeded expectations was also above 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>","source":"gelonghui_highlight","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>What is the Q4 2021 earnings forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhat is the Q4 2021 earnings forecast? Which sectors exceeded expectations?\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">格隆汇</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2022-02-03 11:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body>In our report, \"Earnings Forecasts and Market Structure at the Beginning of the Year,\" we reviewed the guiding role of earnings forecasts in previous years' annual reports in determining market structure.<b>The results showed that sectors with better-than-expected annual report earnings forecasts also performed better at the beginning of the year.</b>。</p><p>Recently, as the disclosure of annual earnings forecasts draws to a close, we...<b>A summary of the \"better-than-expected\" Q4 2021 earnings forecast has been reviewed.</b>This is for investors' reference.</p><p><b>Main text of the report</b></p><p><h3>I. Sector Overview: All A-share performance improved sequentially.</h3><b>Nearly 60% of companies in the A-share market have released their earnings forecasts.</b>As of 10:00 AM on January 29, 2022, a total of 2,417 A-share listed companies had released their 2021 Q4 earnings forecasts/preliminary reports/annual reports. Of these, 2,417 companies actually released their earnings, representing an actual disclosure rate of 58.09% (considering only the 4,161 companies listed before December 31, 2020, i.e., excluding newly listed companies within one year of listing). Among them, 614 of the 891 companies listed on the ChiNext board had completed their disclosures, representing a disclosure rate of 68.91%. After the SME board was merged into the main board, 1,695 of the 3,014 listed companies on the main board disclosed information, representing a disclosure rate of 56.24%. Of the 215 companies listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board, 105 disclosed their information, representing a disclosure rate of 48.84%. Three of the 41 companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange disclosed their information, representing a disclosure rate of 7.32%.</p><p><b>Among the companies that have disclosed their earnings forecasts, 55.87% belong to the \"expected profit\" category.</b>Based on the type of earnings forecast, we divide it into two groups: expected profit (including slight increase, turnaround, continued profit, and expected increase) and expected loss (slight decrease, first loss, continued loss, and expected decrease). Of the 2,318 listed companies that have disclosed earnings forecasts (some companies directly disclose preliminary earnings reports and annual reports, which are not included in the earnings forecast statistics), 1,295 are expected to be profitable, accounting for 55.87%. The proportions of companies listed on the main board, ChiNext board, STAR Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange that are expected to be profitable are 55.10%, 56.34%, 64.00%, and 100%, respectively.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7cf2ee295d4ea89057a998e76b0e9ff\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"680\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>According to the 2021 annual report earnings forecast, the performance growth rate of all A-shares improved sequentially.</b>Looking at companies that have disclosed their earnings forecasts, based on 2020, the median earnings growth rate of all A-shares in Q4 2021 was 50.00%, an improvement of 29.27 percentage points compared to Q3 2021. The median earnings growth rates of the main board, ChiNext board, and STAR Market were 51.39%, 44.22%, and 56.36%, respectively, representing changes of 29.49, 27.27, and 30.70 percentage points compared to Q3 2021. Based on the disclosed earnings forecasts, the Science and Technology Innovation Board (STAR Market) leads the entire A-share market in absolute growth, followed by the main board, and finally the ChiNext board. The STAR Market, the main board, and the ChiNext board also saw the largest month-on-month improvement in performance. However, it is worth noting that due to the full implementation of conditional mandatory disclosure of A-share earnings forecasts, only companies with significant earnings fluctuations are required to disclose, while other companies are not subject to mandatory disclosure requirements. Most of the companies that proactively disclose their earnings may have performed well, and the currently published earnings growth rate may be overestimated.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0b44a543068efb79b4b486ff7c06bc38\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>II. Which industries saw improved month-on-month earnings growth?</h3>As of 10:00 a.m. on January 29, 2022, 2,417 listed companies had released their Q4 2021 earnings forecasts/preliminary reports/annual reports and disclosed their actual performance. We used this as a sample to conduct an industry performance analysis based on all A-shares.</p><p><b>Looking at CITIC's Level 1 industries, only coal and banking saw improved earnings growth for two consecutive periods.</b>。 We selected industries with positive earnings growth, sequential improvement, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher. There were 16 industries with positive earnings growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher.<b>The top five industries with the largest month-on-month improvements</b>They are<b>petroleum and petrochemical</b>(An improvement of 86.34 percentage points compared to Q3, the same in parentheses below),<b>Basic chemical</b>(73.18 points),<b>electronic</b>(47.19 percentage points)<b>home appliance</b>(45.31 percentage points)<b>media (</b>44.37 percentage points). In industries with positive earnings growth, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher,<b>Two consecutive periods of month-on-</b>The industry only has<b>coal</b>and<b>Bank</b>。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a0b05c612dab8dd32048f1130f0aad80\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1005\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Looking at CITIC's Level 2 industries, 43 industries achieved positive revenue growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and had a disclosure rate of 50% or higher. The top 10 industries with the highest sequential growth rates include...<b>Asset Management II, Planting Industry, White Home Appliances II, Multi-sector Holdings II, Insurance II, Hotels and Catering, Other Chemicals II, Industrial Internet, Optoelectronics and Agrochemicals</b>。 Among the CITIC Level II industries with positive earnings growth in Q4 2021, improved sequentially, and a disclosure rate of 50% or higher, the industries with two consecutive periods of sequential improvement in earnings include:<b>White goods II, black goods II, components and biomedicine II.</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ff86779543f4641e57794a1be36dc7d\" tg-width=\"1060\" tg-height=\"1388\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><h3>III. Which industries have the largest proportion of stocks exceeding expectations?</h3>After excluding industries with fewer than 5 stocks disclosing earnings forecasts and fewer than 5 stocks with market consensus expectations, we selected stocks in various industries that had already disclosed earnings forecasts, extracted Wind's consensus forecast value for their 2021 earnings growth (Wind's consensus forecast is 180 days), and compared it with the growth rate disclosed in the earnings forecasts.<b>When the growth rate of earnings forecasts exceeds Wind's consensus expectations, we define them as \"stocks with better-than-expected performance\" and calculate the proportion of the number of \"better-than-expected stocks\" to the stocks that have already disclosed earnings forecasts and have market expectations, and rank each sector according to this ratio.</b></p><p><b>From the perspective of CITIC's Level 1 industry,</b>As of 10:00 AM on January 29, 2022,<b>Bank</b>Nineteen companies in the sector have disclosed their earnings forecasts, of which 18 are \"better-than-expected\" stocks, accounting for as much as 94.74%. The sectors with the highest percentage of stocks exceeding expectations in the A-share market also include:<b>Non-bank finance</b>(56.25%)、<b>coal</b>(42.86%)、<b>Basic chemical</b>(41.38%)、<b>non-ferrous metal</b>(41.07%)、<b>Medicine</b>(41.07%), etc. From the perspective of CITIC's secondary industries,<b>National Joint Stock Bank II</b>The proportion of \"better-than-expected stocks\" reached 100%, and<b>Regional banks</b>、<b>franchise chain</b>、<b>Securities II</b>、<b>Other Electronic Components II</b>、<b>Other chemicals II</b>、<b>Other pharmaceuticals</b>、<b>agricultural chemical</b>and<b>logistics</b>The proportion of stocks in the sector that exceeded expectations was also above 50% (including 50%).</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/793a88eead21e71d3c32b48fce9ead18\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"1155\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7df054055f78ddd1c7bd4f22b6da6f6\" tg-width=\"852\" tg-height=\"1102\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source:<a href=\"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515\">格隆汇</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d37df08fc08f0ac2466b9b49c053bae7","relate_stocks":{"399006":"创业板指","BK1515":"抗疫概念","BK1161":"生物科技","000001.SH":"上证指数","BK1574":"生物医药B类股","09939":"开拓药业-B"},"source_url":"http://www.gelonghui.com/p/508515","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6b8fa6424aebe95f6781d04ef17a1852","article_id":"2208151360","content_text":"我们在《业绩预告与年初市场结构》的报告中,曾回顾了历年年报业绩预告对市场结构的指引性,结果发现年报业绩预告超预期的板块在年初的表现也更为突出。近期随着年报业绩预告披露进入尾声,我们对2021Q4业绩预告“超预期”的情况进行了梳理,供投资者参考。报告正文一、板块情况:全A业绩环比改善全A近六成公司披露业绩预告。截至2022年1月29日上午10时,A股整体共2417家上市公司发布了2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报,其中实际公布业绩2417家,实际披露率58.09%(仅考虑2020年12月31日之前上市的4161家公司,即剔除上市一年之内的新股),其中:创业板891家上市公司有614家披露完毕,披露率68.91%;中小板并入主板后,主板3014家上市公司有1695家披露,披露率为56.24%;科创板215家公司有105家披露,披露率为48.84%;北交所41家公司有3家披露,披露率为7.32%已披露业绩预告的公司中,属于“预盈”类型的公司占比为55.87%。我们按照业绩预告的类型,分为两组:预盈(包含略增、扭亏、续盈、预增)、预亏(略减、首亏、续亏、预减)。已披露业绩预告类型的2318家上市公司中(部分公司直接披露业绩快报与年报,不纳入业绩预告统计),共1295家为预盈,占比达到55.87%;主板、创业板、科创板和北交所的预盈公司占比分别为55.10%、56.34%、64.00%和100%。据2021年报业绩预告,全A业绩增速环比改善。从已披露业绩预告的公司来看,以2020年为基准,全A 2021Q4业绩增速中位数为50.00%,较2021 Q3环比改善29.27个百分点。其中主板/创业板/科创板的业绩增速中位数分别为51.39%/44.22%/56.36%,分别较2021 Q3环比变动29.49/27.27/30.70个百分点。从已披露业绩预告来看,科创板绝对增速领跑全A,其次是主板,最后是创业板,业绩环比改善幅度亦为科创板、主板和创业板。然而,值得注意的是,由于A股业绩预告披露全面实施有条件强制披露,即仅业绩波动较大的公司必须强制披露,其他公司不作强制披露要求。主动披露的公司可能大部分业绩表现较好,当前公布的业绩增速情况或存在高估。二、哪些行业业绩增速环比改善截至2022年1月29日上午10时,2417家上市公司已发布2021Q4业绩预告/快报/年报并披露实际业绩,我们以此为样本,进行基于全部A股的行业业绩分析。按中信一级行业来看,仅有煤炭和银行连续两期业绩增速环比改善。我们筛选出业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业。2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有16个。其中环比改善幅度最大的前五个行业分别为石油石化(较Q3环比改善86.34个百分点,以下括号内皆同)、基础化工(73.18个百分点)、电子(47.19个百分点)、家电(45.31个百分点)和传媒(44.37个百分点)。而在业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业中,连续两期环比改善的行业仅有煤炭和银行。按中信二级行业来看,2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的行业共有43个,环比增幅居于前10的行业包括资产管理Ⅱ、种植业、白色家电Ⅱ、多领域控股Ⅱ、保险Ⅱ、酒店及餐饮、其他化学制品Ⅱ、产业互联网、光学光电和农用化工。而在2021Q4业绩增速为正、环比改善且披露率大于等于50%的中信二级行业中,连续两期业绩环比改善的行业包括白色家电Ⅱ、黑色家电Ⅱ、元器件和生物医药Ⅱ。三、哪些行业超预期个股占比居前剔除业绩预告披露个股数量小于5、有市场一致预期个股数量小于5的行业后,我们以各行业中已披露业绩预告的个股为对象,拉取其2021年业绩增速的Wind一致预期值(wind的一致预测口径为180天),并与业绩预告披露增速进行对比,当业绩预告披露增速大于Wind一致预期值,我们将其定义为“业绩超预期个股”,并计算“业绩超预期个股”数量对已披露业绩预告且有市场预期的个股占比,并按这一比值对各板块进行排序。从中信一级行业来看,截至2022年1月29日上午10时,银行板块有19家公司已披露业绩预告,其中18家公司为“业绩超预期”个股,超预期个股占比高达94.74%。超预期个股数量占比在A股排名靠前的行业还包括非银行金融(56.25%)、煤炭(42.86%)、基础化工(41.38%)、有色金属(41.07%)、医药(41.07%)等。而从中信二级行业来看,全国性股份制银行Ⅱ的“超预期个股”占比达到100%,而区域性银行、专营连锁、证券Ⅱ、其他电子零组件Ⅱ、其他化学制品Ⅱ、其他医药医疗、农用化工和物流板块的超预期个股占比也都在50%以上(包括50%)。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399006":0.9,"09939":0.6,"000001.SH":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1753,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}