Some investors seem to be dumping quality hyperscalers like $Alphabet(GOOG)$ / $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ right along with struggling neoclouds such as CRWV. The hyperscalers have moats that are hard to challenge, while the weaker neocloud providers look more likely to end up getting acquired at fire-sale valuations by the bigger players in the industry.
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Anthropic's IPO filing has chips bouncing, Meta is raising tens of billions for AI, and Tesla is ripping higher on an upgrade plus SpaceX chatter. After last week's CapEx scare, the market suddenly seems willing to buy the AI story again. Sustainable, or just short covering?
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ NOV20 325C, still actionable. Zone: $315.06 to $319.50 Invalidation: close under $310 Objectives: $336, then $355 Up 5.9% to the first objective and 11.9% to the second, against 2.3% risk on the invalidation. That works out to better than 5 to 1 to the second target. Alphabet sold off for a week and then quietly stopped falling on Friday. It slipped from $336.40 on Tuesday to $317.28 on Friday, but Friday held above its low at $316.99 and closed with real volume behind it. That pause is the heart of this swing. A walk back toward $336 comes first, then $355 if buyers keep showing up. A close under $310 would say the pause was only a pause. P.S. Alphabet reports after the close on October 28, so that date is worth watching for
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Wall Street is manufacturing a crisis here. They're seeing problems where there are none, just to manipulate stocks. That kind of manipulation can work in your favor if you wanted the dip, and you got it. This is a $1000 stock.
Sentiment check heading into the next round of earnings. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ and $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ , the two big megacaps everyone is watching, have both seen sentiment climb sharply. The standout for me is $Lam Research(LRCX)$ , the semi fab equipment maker, which shifted from Extremely Bearish to Extremely Bullish over the past five days. $Las Vegas Sands(LVS)$ is the only one still sitting in the Extremely Bearish zone. Pipeline name $Kinder Morgan(KMI)$ spent several days as Extremely Bullish and now sits high in the Bullish zone at 73.
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ Reports earnings after the market close tomorrow, and the weekly option bets are pointing to a 650 to 738 range after the report.
$Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ I'm hoping Muse brings an early Christmas to Meta. I was a power user of Muse and liked it at first, but lately it has felt pretty unpredictable and nonsensical. I'll be watching DAU and MAU numbers. With election season, ad revenue could come in strong. Overall, I'm expecting a pop to $750 on Meta earnings.