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安妮1022

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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-08-11
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-08-09
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-08-04
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-07-29
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$up
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-07-09
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$Up up up
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2022-06-21
  $Unity Software Inc.(U)$😊
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2021-09-01
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2021-08-25
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  Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity
  格隆汇8月25日丨京东健康(6618.HK)涨12.66%，报82.75港元，三日累涨逾42%，总市值2637亿港元。　　京东健康公布2021年中期业绩，收入约人民币136.38亿元，同比增长55.4%;毛利33.07亿元，同比增长49.1%；期间亏损4.54亿元，同比减少91.5%；期间非国际财务报告准则盈利6.67亿元，同比增长79.9%；公司所有者应占亏损约4.55亿元，同比减少约91.51%。
  Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2021-08-22
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  The future of Chinese concept stocks
  中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值。中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。
  The future of Chinese concept stocks
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- 安妮1022安妮1022
  ·2021-08-21
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09:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2162332140","media":"金融界网站","summary":"格隆汇8月25日丨京东健康(6618.HK)涨12.66%，报82.75港元，三日累涨逾42%，总市值2637亿港元。　　京东健康公布2021年中期业绩，收入约人民币136.38亿元，同比增长55.4%;毛利33.07亿元，同比增长49.1%；期间亏损4.54亿元，同比减少91.5%；期间非国际财务报告准则盈利6.67亿元，同比增长79.9%；公司所有者应占亏损约4.55亿元，同比减少约91.51%。","content":"<p><html><body><div>Gelonghui, August 25 |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">JD Health</a>(6618.HK) rose 12.66% to HK$82.75, up more than 42% in three days, with a total market capitalization of HK$263.7 billion. JD Health announced its 2021 interim results, with revenue of approximately RMB 13.638 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.4%; Gross profit was 3.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.1%; The company incurred a loss of 454 million yuan during the period, a decrease of 91.5% year-on-year; Non-IFRS profit for the period was RMB 667 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.9%; The loss attributable to owners of the company was approximately RMB 455 million, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 91.51%.</p><p><div></div></div></body></html></p>","source":"jinrongjie_stock","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Hong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nHong Kong Stocks in Focus | JD Health (6618.HK) Rises Over 42% in Three Days; Interim Revenue Up 55.4% Year-on-Year; Annual Activity\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">金融界网站</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-25 09:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><body><div>Gelonghui, August 25 |<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/06618\">JD Health</a>(6618.HK) rose 12.66% to HK$82.75, up more than 42% in three days, with a total market capitalization of HK$263.7 billion. JD Health announced its 2021 interim results, with revenue of approximately RMB 13.638 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 55.4%; Gross profit was 3.307 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.1%; The company incurred a loss of 454 million yuan during the period, a decrease of 91.5% year-on-year; Non-IFRS profit for the period was RMB 667 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 79.9%; The loss attributable to owners of the company was approximately RMB 455 million, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 91.51%.</p><p><div></div></div></body></html></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"http://hk.jrj.com.cn/2021/08/25095033314604.shtml\">金融界网站</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b904424fda58da24219d03c64923c79e","relate_stocks":{"06618":"京东健康"},"source_url":"http://hk.jrj.com.cn/2021/08/25095033314604.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2162332140","content_text":"格隆汇8月25日丨京东健康(6618.HK)涨12.66%，报82.75港元，三日累涨逾42%，总市值2637亿港元。　　京东健康公布2021年中期业绩，收入约人民币136.38亿元，同比增长55.4%;毛利33.07亿元，同比增长49.1%；期间亏损4.54亿元，同比减少91.5%；期间非国际财务报告准则盈利6.67亿元，同比增长79.9%；公司所有者应占亏损约4.55亿元，同比减少约91.51%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"06618":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5918,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832614488,"gmtCreate":1629619510444,"gmtModify":1676530081055,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/832614488","repostId":"1182861188","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1182861188","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1629595474,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1182861188?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-22 09:24","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"The future of Chinese concept stocks","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1182861188","media":"全球宏观投机","summary":"中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值。中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。","content":"<p><b>What is a global macro perspective?</b></p><p>Global macroeconomics, as a distinctive investment and trading category, focuses on seeking medium-term opportunities for large-scale asset price movements from the perspectives of global and national economic cycles, financial conditions, and geopolitics. These price movements can be upward or downward. The application of global macroeconomic thinking to asset allocation is most typically exemplified by the Yale Endowment during the Swensen era; The most typical example for more flexible and adaptable trading is the quantum fund managed by Druckenmiller and Soros.</p><p>Following the financial crisis, global macroeconomic trading methods have been greatly questioned because the performance of funds of this style has been unsatisfactory in recent years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56d17afac58a03d34f987776cb9caeb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 1: Poor performance of macro hedge funds</b></p><p><b>Unique macroeconomic factors of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>We refer to the biases in investors' brains that actually affect asset prices as macroeconomic factors, or price drivers. Experienced investors know that many factors influence asset prices, many of which are micro-level or industry-specific. The term \"macro\" does not mean that only macroeconomic data or events necessarily affect prices, but rather refers to various variables that have a real impact on prices over a long period of time. For example, some studies have found that the impact of Beijing's smog on investor sentiment is generally low on smoggy days, making it easier for investors to sell rather than buy. However, this is not the macroeconomic factor we are talking about, because its impact on asset prices is not consistently effective. However, the expected profit growth rate of a company is a macroeconomic factor affecting stock prices, because almost at any time this variable will affect investors' perception of stocks and the market, thereby prompting investors to make buying and selling behaviors.</p><p>So, what are the macroeconomic factors affecting Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>First, we examine the relationship between China's economic cycle, financial conditions, and Chinese concept stocks. We have found that Chinese concept stocks are as closely related to the Chinese economic cycle as the A50 stock index, and in terms of market performance, the correlation between Chinese concept stocks and the A50 is also slightly stronger.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a12ca677a0fd4785103236eb19cfe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 2: China's economic fundamentals and Chinese concept stock indices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13e3524abfeebfafd9bb4c4c966d6998\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 3 Chinese concept stocks, A50 and ChiNext</b></p><p>The stronger correlation between Chinese concept stocks and large-cap stocks indicates that these companies are more closely related to the economic cycle. At the same time, investors' evaluation of stocks largely relies on their judgment of the economic outlook.</p><p>Secondly, we examine the relationship between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq index. On average, the linear correlation coefficient between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq reached 0.7 over the past five years, while the correlation coefficient has recently dropped to 0.44. The recent significant deviation of Chinese concept stocks from the Nasdaq indicates that other macroeconomic factors are dominating price movements.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4efa4c73e5ae6b81ddfa0938211f2231\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"498\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 4 shows that the deviation between the Chinese concept stock index and the Nasdaq has reached a historical high.</b></p><p>Third, what are the reasons for the current sharp decline in Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>Clearly, a series of recent regulatory policies introduced by China have significantly increased market uncertainty. The characteristics of Chinese concept stocks are completely similar to those of A-shares, and they are very sensitive to changes in economic and regulatory policies. However, the recent sharp drop in Chinese concept stocks has added an additional layer of uncertainty: Sino-US relations have severely impacted the performance of Chinese concept stocks, thus becoming a truly long-term macroeconomic factor affecting prices.</p><p>From this perspective, the future of Chinese concept stocks is full of turbulence because geopolitical uncertainty is the worst kind of uncertainty, and it is difficult to plan in advance. Once it occurs, the market fluctuates very quickly. At the same time, the development process of uncertainty is also very tortuous. For example, if the China Securities Regulatory Commission expresses its goodwill towards the financial market and stabilizes expectations in the capital market tonight, the market will rebound sharply. It is often difficult to assess the stage at which uncertainty develops and when it is confirmed to have ended.</p><p>So has the current uncertainty disappeared? In the short term, market tensions should have eased, which may support a rebound in Chinese concept stocks. However, in the medium to long term, regulatory policies and geopolitical changes in both China and the United States have become a fundamental variable influencing investment in Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>The future of Chinese concept stocks</p><p>A significant portion of Chinese companies listed in the US are among the most promising growth companies in China. This is Bill Huang's main reason for betting on these stocks, for example.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>China's paid music market is still in its infancy, and there are countless consumption scenarios where paid music can be introduced. But this is indeed a long and tortuous process. From this perspective, there are still some excellent listed companies in the Chinese concept stock market, some of which will inevitably become great companies in the future, and their stocks will also create tremendous appreciation.</p><p>However, Chinese concept stocks face two huge challenges: first, the impact of China's economic policies, which have become more frequent recently, and second, the impact of geopolitics. The capital market will become a battleground for the competition between China and the United States, and Chinese concept stocks will become victims. In professional terms, the future uncertainty of Chinese concept stocks has been amplified, resulting in low valuations. Similarly, Hong Kong stocks are the lowest-valued market in the world because they face a unique environment of uncertainty: the economies, finance, policies, and geopolitics of both China and the United States can affect Hong Kong stocks at any time and significantly.</p><p>In short, the future of Chinese concept stocks lies in their Hong Kong-listed nature and marginalization, a process that may continue until a new stage emerges in Sino-US geopolitical relations.</p><p>Bill Huang witnessed the most glorious period of Chinese concept stocks and personally experienced the beginning and end of that glorious period. For the capital market, we are already dead in the long run, so there is no need to discuss long-term issues.</p>","source":"qqggdh","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The future of Chinese concept stocks</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe future of Chinese concept stocks\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">全球宏观投机</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-22 09:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>What is a global macro perspective?</b></p><p>Global macroeconomics, as a distinctive investment and trading category, focuses on seeking medium-term opportunities for large-scale asset price movements from the perspectives of global and national economic cycles, financial conditions, and geopolitics. These price movements can be upward or downward. The application of global macroeconomic thinking to asset allocation is most typically exemplified by the Yale Endowment during the Swensen era; The most typical example for more flexible and adaptable trading is the quantum fund managed by Druckenmiller and Soros.</p><p>Following the financial crisis, global macroeconomic trading methods have been greatly questioned because the performance of funds of this style has been unsatisfactory in recent years.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a56d17afac58a03d34f987776cb9caeb\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 1: Poor performance of macro hedge funds</b></p><p><b>Unique macroeconomic factors of Chinese concept stocks</b></p><p>We refer to the biases in investors' brains that actually affect asset prices as macroeconomic factors, or price drivers. Experienced investors know that many factors influence asset prices, many of which are micro-level or industry-specific. The term \"macro\" does not mean that only macroeconomic data or events necessarily affect prices, but rather refers to various variables that have a real impact on prices over a long period of time. For example, some studies have found that the impact of Beijing's smog on investor sentiment is generally low on smoggy days, making it easier for investors to sell rather than buy. However, this is not the macroeconomic factor we are talking about, because its impact on asset prices is not consistently effective. However, the expected profit growth rate of a company is a macroeconomic factor affecting stock prices, because almost at any time this variable will affect investors' perception of stocks and the market, thereby prompting investors to make buying and selling behaviors.</p><p>So, what are the macroeconomic factors affecting Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>First, we examine the relationship between China's economic cycle, financial conditions, and Chinese concept stocks. We have found that Chinese concept stocks are as closely related to the Chinese economic cycle as the A50 stock index, and in terms of market performance, the correlation between Chinese concept stocks and the A50 is also slightly stronger.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/300a12ca677a0fd4785103236eb19cfe\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"461\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 2: China's economic fundamentals and Chinese concept stock indices</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/13e3524abfeebfafd9bb4c4c966d6998\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"449\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 3 Chinese concept stocks, A50 and ChiNext</b></p><p>The stronger correlation between Chinese concept stocks and large-cap stocks indicates that these companies are more closely related to the economic cycle. At the same time, investors' evaluation of stocks largely relies on their judgment of the economic outlook.</p><p>Secondly, we examine the relationship between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq index. On average, the linear correlation coefficient between Chinese concept stocks and the Nasdaq reached 0.7 over the past five years, while the correlation coefficient has recently dropped to 0.44. The recent significant deviation of Chinese concept stocks from the Nasdaq indicates that other macroeconomic factors are dominating price movements.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4efa4c73e5ae6b81ddfa0938211f2231\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"498\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><b>Figure 4 shows that the deviation between the Chinese concept stock index and the Nasdaq has reached a historical high.</b></p><p>Third, what are the reasons for the current sharp decline in Chinese concept stocks?</p><p>Clearly, a series of recent regulatory policies introduced by China have significantly increased market uncertainty. The characteristics of Chinese concept stocks are completely similar to those of A-shares, and they are very sensitive to changes in economic and regulatory policies. However, the recent sharp drop in Chinese concept stocks has added an additional layer of uncertainty: Sino-US relations have severely impacted the performance of Chinese concept stocks, thus becoming a truly long-term macroeconomic factor affecting prices.</p><p>From this perspective, the future of Chinese concept stocks is full of turbulence because geopolitical uncertainty is the worst kind of uncertainty, and it is difficult to plan in advance. Once it occurs, the market fluctuates very quickly. At the same time, the development process of uncertainty is also very tortuous. For example, if the China Securities Regulatory Commission expresses its goodwill towards the financial market and stabilizes expectations in the capital market tonight, the market will rebound sharply. It is often difficult to assess the stage at which uncertainty develops and when it is confirmed to have ended.</p><p>So has the current uncertainty disappeared? In the short term, market tensions should have eased, which may support a rebound in Chinese concept stocks. However, in the medium to long term, regulatory policies and geopolitical changes in both China and the United States have become a fundamental variable influencing investment in Chinese concept stocks.</p><p>The future of Chinese concept stocks</p><p>A significant portion of Chinese companies listed in the US are among the most promising growth companies in China. This is Bill Huang's main reason for betting on these stocks, for example.<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TME\">Tencent Music</a>China's paid music market is still in its infancy, and there are countless consumption scenarios where paid music can be introduced. But this is indeed a long and tortuous process. From this perspective, there are still some excellent listed companies in the Chinese concept stock market, some of which will inevitably become great companies in the future, and their stocks will also create tremendous appreciation.</p><p>However, Chinese concept stocks face two huge challenges: first, the impact of China's economic policies, which have become more frequent recently, and second, the impact of geopolitics. The capital market will become a battleground for the competition between China and the United States, and Chinese concept stocks will become victims. In professional terms, the future uncertainty of Chinese concept stocks has been amplified, resulting in low valuations. Similarly, Hong Kong stocks are the lowest-valued market in the world because they face a unique environment of uncertainty: the economies, finance, policies, and geopolitics of both China and the United States can affect Hong Kong stocks at any time and significantly.</p><p>In short, the future of Chinese concept stocks lies in their Hong Kong-listed nature and marginalization, a process that may continue until a new stage emerges in Sino-US geopolitical relations.</p><p>Bill Huang witnessed the most glorious period of Chinese concept stocks and personally experienced the beginning and end of that glorious period. For the capital market, we are already dead in the long run, so there is no need to discuss long-term issues.</p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> source：<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg\">全球宏观投机</a></p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc9de4d397ebba7835e00e3691884586","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","TTTN":"老虎中美互联网巨头ETF"},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/0zufFWNGXYzP0f-XCuVHMg","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1182861188","content_text":"什么是全球宏观视角\n全球宏观作为一种富有特色的投资和交易类别，侧重从全球以及各国经济周期、金融条件和地缘政治的视角寻求中期的大型资产价格运动机会，这个价格变动方向，可以向上，也可以向下。全球宏观思路用于资产配置，最典型的是斯文森时代的耶鲁捐赠基金；而用于更加灵活多变的交易，最典型的是德鲁肯米勒和索罗斯共同管理时代的量子基金。\n金融危机以后，全球宏观交易方式受到很大的质疑，原因在于这种风格的基金近些年的表现不如人意。图一   宏观对冲基金表现不佳\n中概股的独特宏观因子\n我们把实际影响资产价格的投资者大脑中的偏见称之为宏观因子，或者价格驱动因素。略有经验的投资者都知道，影响资产价格的因素非常多，很多都是微观或者产业因素。我们命名为宏观，并不是说一定是宏观经济数据或者事件才会影响价格，而是泛指各种持续长期对价格产生真实影响的变量。比如，有人研究了北京雾霾对投资者情绪的影响，雾霾天投资者情绪总体偏低，更容易卖出而不是买进。但是这并不是我们所讲的宏观因子，因为它对资产价格的影响不是持续有效的。但是，公司盈利增速预期就是影响股票价格的宏观因子，因为几乎在任何时候，这个变量都会影响投资者对股票和市场的感知，从而促使投资者做出买卖行为。\n那么，影响中概股的宏观因子有哪些呢？\n首先考察中国经济周期、金融条件与中概股的关系。我们发现，中概股与中国经济周期关联之紧密，完全不亚于A50股票指数，而在市场表现方面，中概股与A50的相关性也略强。图二 中国经济基本面与中概股指数图三 中概股、A50与创业板\n我中概股与大股票相关性更强，说明这些公司与经济周期的关联度更高，同时，投资者对股票的评估很大程度上面依赖于经济前景的判断。\n其二、我们考察中概股与纳斯达克指数的关系。平均看，过去五年，中概股与纳指的线性相关系数达到了0.7，而最近的相关系数下降到0.44。中概股近期的大幅偏离纳指，说明是其他宏观因子主导了价格运动。图四中概股指数与纳指的偏离达到历史极值\n其三、中概股目前大跌的原因是什么？\n显然是中国最近出台的一系列监管政策，使得市场的不确定性大增。中概股这个特征跟A股完全类似，对经济政策、监管政策的变化非常敏感。但是，中概股这次大跌多了一层额外的不确定性：中美关系严重影响中概股的表现，从而成为一个真正长期影响价格的宏观因子。\n从这个角度讲，中概股未来充满颠簸，因为地缘政治的不确定性是最坏的不确定性，很难事先规划，一旦发生，市场波动的速度极快，同时，不确定性发展过程也非常曲折，比如今晚中国证监会表达对金融市场以及稳定资本市场预期的善意，这个时候市场就会猛烈的反弹。通常很难评估不确定性发展的阶段以及何时确认结束。\n那么当下的不确定性消失了吗？短期市场的紧张情绪应该得到了缓和，可能支持中概股有一波反弹，但是就中长期来看，中美两国的监管政策、地缘政治的变化，已经成为了中概股投资的一个基本影响变量。\n中概股的未来\n中概股的公司相当部分是中国最具成长性的公司。这是比尔黄押注这些股票的主要理由，比如腾讯音乐，中国的音乐付费市场才刚刚启动，还有无数消费场景可以引入付费音乐。但这的确是一个长期充满曲折的过程。从这个角度讲，中概股依然有一些非常优秀的上市公司，其中必然有一些在未来成为伟大的公司，其股票也会创造极大的增值。\n然而，中概股面临两个巨大的挑战：一是中国经济政策的冲击，这种冲击在最近开始变得频繁，二是地缘政治的冲击。资本市场会成为中美角逐的一个战场，而中概股会成为其中的受害者，从专业的术语讲：中概股未来的不确定性已经放大，带来的结果就是估值偏低。而与其类似的是港股，港股是世界上估值最低的市场，因为港股面临独特的不确定性环境：中美两国的经济、金融、政策和地缘政治都可以随时和大幅影响港股。\n一句话，中概股的未来就是港股化和边缘化，这个过程可能要持续到中美地缘政治关系出现新阶段为止。\n比尔黄见证了中概股最辉煌的时期和亲历了辉煌开始结束。对资本市场而言，长期我们都已经死了，所以不需要去讨论长期的问题。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,"TTTN":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":836476740,"gmtCreate":1629518877780,"gmtModify":1676530064436,"author":{"id":"3569319906313275","authorId":"3569319906313275","name":"安妮1022","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaea1956e8190b9ea1701017815730b6","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569319906313275","idStr":"3569319906313275"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"?","listText":"?","text":"?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/836476740","repostId":"1169407618","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":5230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}