Kelvin 梁
09-29 21:58

$UPST 20261009 20.0 PUT$ Upstart Holdings (UPST) — Outlook

Conclusion: the fundamental trajectory is improving, but the market is pricing in a lot of doubt — the stock is in a clear downtrend, sitting near its 52-week low, while consensus estimates still point to strong earnings growth. The gap between the two is the core tension: either the market is discounting a credit/funding deterioration that hasn't shown up in reported numbers yet, or the selloff has created a valuation setup that leaves a reasonable margin of safety. On the data available, the risk-reward skew looks modestly positive on a 12-month view, but it is not a low-volatility position.
UPST PUT
09-29 21:54
US20261009 20.0
SidePrice | FilledRealized P&L
Sell
Open
0.08
3Lot(s)
+25.00%
Holding
Upstart Holdings, Inc.
# Trade Feed: Who is your favorite trader?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Report

Comment（1）

  • Top
  • Latest
  • wubbix
    ·09-29 22:32
    20 put IV feels more mid-range than juicy here, so the edge is mostly the chart. Near 52-week lows, that premium is fine but not exactly fat
    Reply
    Report