To The Moon

Risk Disclaimer: This article is for market commentary purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Leveraging its CUDA ecosystem and first-mover advantage in computing power, Nvidia has long captured over 70% of global revenue from AI accelerator chips. As the biggest beneficiary amid the global AI computing expansion cycle, it has reached a market cap of $5 trillion and forged the core legend of this AI bull market. Yet the pendulum of cycles always reverts to the mean. The confluence of industry sentiment, competitive landscape and technical patterns now signals that the era of steep premium valuation for its stock may be drawing to a close. On the industry cycle front, global AI capital expenditure is shifting from rapid expansion toward prudent validation. After massive pu

English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$

The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The

The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$

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Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So the equity market is still defying all odds, continue to smash records after records in the start of October. Bulls are definitely in LaLaLand and laughing at their bears counterparts. However, majority of the main indices are made up of high capex spend, hyperscaler tech companies with humongous forward estimate ratios. So there is a saying: “Whatever that rise fast, will fall fast too.” With that, I definitely will take this continuous bull run with a cautious approach, hunting down stocks near their support levels or resistance levels to increase my trade probability.[Serious] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s GPUs already power much of the AI boom. Now the company wants Wall Street to view them differently: not simply as technology hardware, but as productive assets that can help support billions of dollars of debt. NVIDIA is working with major financial institutions on an initiative aimed at enabling as much as $500 billion of AI infrastructure financing. The broader idea is to bring institutional capital into AI data centers and make NVIDIA-powered computing infrastructure more financeable. That creates a new question for investors: Can an expensive GPU become collateral — and will it hold enough value for Wall Street to lend against it? 🏗️ Why Does NVIDIA Need Wall Street? The AI boom is becoming extraordinarily capi

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The $150 Billion Buyback. On Mon, 28 Sep 2026, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s CEO Jensen Huang’s announced a record $150 billion share-buyback, the single largest authorization increases in US corporate history. Honestly, it was a direct response to market doubts about NVDA’s valuation and the durability of AI boom - more than a capital-allocation update. Actually, I have touched on the #1 chipmaker’s valuation concerns in my last Thursday post. (click here ! to read) By lifting the company’s remaining repurchase capacity to $235 billion thru’ FY 2028, NVDA effectively told investors that, in management’s view, the be

Longer term, NVIDIA gave preliminary guidance for about 70% revenue growth in FY2028, which is a very strong signal on AI infrastructure demand.  NVIDIA also just authorized an additional $150B share-buyback program, bringing remaining authorization to about $235B Sound good on a long run. 

Recent trading sessions highlighted profound intra-sector bifurcation across the artificial intelligence semiconductor landscape. While NVIDIA (NVDA) exhibited typical high-beta volatility—surging 1.68% intraday before succumbing to a broader sector selloff to close down 0.72%—alternative infrastructure plays such as Arm Holdings (ARM) and Broadcom (AVGO) demonstrated remarkable decoupling, gaining 3.58% and 1.58% respectively. In this article, we would like to share how we look beyond the titan in terms of semiconductor divergence, risk rotation, and how we can do a portfolio weighting for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA, $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ ARM, and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Broad

Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon

The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ New Test Isn’t AI Demand — It’s Expectations Nvidia has become so closely associated with the AI trade that almost every move in the stock gets interpreted through the same lens: AI demand. But Monday’s action raises a different question. When the broader semiconductor group sells off sharply while Nvidia holds up, perhaps the market isn’t simply choosing Nvidia as the “winner.” It may be separating companies with strong execution from companies where expectations have become harder to justify. That distinction could become increasingly important. Nvidia has built an unusually strong position in accelerated computing, but the stock also carries extremely high expectations. At this size, simply delivering good results may not be enou

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Leadership or Last One Standing? Nvidia gained 1.68% on Monday while the broader semiconductor group was getting hit hard. Intel and SK Hynix both dropped around 5%, while SOXL fell about 6%.  That divergence is what caught my attention. Is Nvidia showing genuine relative strength, or is the market simply rotating toward the biggest and most liquid AI name when everything else gets sold? There are still plenty of reasons for investors to focus on Nvidia’s position in the AI infrastructure buildout. But the valuation question hasn’t disappeared, and Michael Burry remains bearish on Nvidia even after reducing his shorter-dated put exposure.  For me, the interesting question isn’t whether Nvidia is strong today. It’s whether that st

All the best.  Always buy the deep.

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ hope so.

CoreWeave’s drop really caught my eye. The company actually beat on earnings, but the lowered full-year guidance clearly scared the market. The stock basically fell off a cliff straight into the high-80s. Here’s how I see it: The revised guidance isn’t ideal, but it doesn’t change the bigger picture — CoreWeave is still one of the fastest-growing names in the AI infrastructure space. Demand for compute isn’t slowing, and CoreWeave still sits in a sweet spot with cloud GPU capacity, especially with how crazy AI workloads are getting. What worries me a bit is the volatility. When expectations are sky-high, even a slight guidance cut can send the stock into a freefall like this. So the question is: is this a real warning sign, or just the market overreacting (again)? Personally, dips like thi

“Is buying below US$90 wise?” If I were to summarise: Yes, it could be a reasonable speculative opportunity — provided you are comfortable with high risk and volatility, and you believe the AI infrastructure growth trajectory continues strong. But no, it is not a “safe” or conservative investment by any means. Here are scenarios: • Best case: The company executes well, continues to scale, reduces losses / turns to profit or stronger free‐cash flow, and the AI cloud infrastructure remains a structural growth story. Then buying at US$90 might yield substantial upside over medium term. • Worst case: Growth slows, spending overruns, competition intensifies (or new technologies reduce their advantage), or macro pressures (interest rates, inflation) bite. Then a US$90 entry could lead to signifi

Risk Disclaimer: This article is for market commentary purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Leveraging its CUDA ecosystem and first-mover advantage in computing power, Nvidia has long captured over 70% of global revenue from AI accelerator chips. As the biggest beneficiary amid the global AI computing expansion cycle, it has reached a market cap of $5 trillion and forged the core legend of this AI bull market. Yet the pendulum of cycles always reverts to the mean. The confluence of industry sentiment, competitive landscape and technical patterns now signals that the era of steep premium valuation for its stock may be drawing to a close. On the industry cycle front, global AI capital expenditure is shifting from rapid expansion toward prudent validation. After massive pu

English version： The first thing I did this week was not look for a new trade. I closed the straddle I had put on Nvidia last week. The table below summarizes the positions before I flattened the trade. The contrast was striking. The NVDA 227.5 call cost 4.39 and had fallen to 0.24, a loss of 94.53%. The put at the same strike and expiration cost 3.97 and had risen to 13.63, a gain of 243.61%. One leg was almost worthless, while the other had nearly tripled. Together they left the account with a profit of $2,530.50. That is the point of a straddle: you are betting on a large move, not on direction. Once the volatility has been realized, you should not overstay the trade. $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$

The latest US inflation data had raised concerns that the Federal Reserve could deliver three rate hikes this year. However, recent CME FedWatch data indicate little risk of an additional hike in October. Combined with the continued decline in Treasury yields, this suggests that risk on trading may dominate in the near term. As the fourth quarter approaches, however, any rally in risk assets could prove to be the “last dance.” Even a sharp advance should not be mistaken for a durable trend. $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2612(ESmain)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 

Weekly Report: Key Views Hello everyone, and welcome to another edition of our Macro Strategy Weekly. Each issue features market strategy insights from selected contributors with relevant professional expertise. We also track how their views perform each week. Here is a preview of this week’s key ideas: 1. Near Term Direction for US Equities Remains Unclear, Pending CPI and TSMC Earnings The baseline scenario for US equities this week remains consolidation near current highs. A downside break is the next most likely outcome, followed by a move to new highs and a higher trading range. All three scenarios remain possible. Easing diplomatic tensions ahead of the election should support market stability and may delay a larger correction, although a modest near term pullback remains a risk. The

The U.S. equity market has reached a near-term high. The hardest task now is not finding opportunities, but determining what the current volatility actually means. A pullback could be a minor interruption within a consolidation phase, or it could mark the start of a decline. An attempt to move higher could quickly reverse, or it could shift the entire trading range to a higher level. This is the crossroads at which U.S. equities now stand. $标普500ETF(SPY)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $标普500波动率指数(VIX)$ $SP500指数主连 2612(ESmain)$

The $150 Billion Buyback. On Mon, 28 Sep 2026, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s CEO Jensen Huang’s announced a record $150 billion share-buyback, the single largest authorization increases in US corporate history. Honestly, it was a direct response to market doubts about NVDA’s valuation and the durability of AI boom - more than a capital-allocation update. Actually, I have touched on the #1 chipmaker’s valuation concerns in my last Thursday post. (click here ! to read) By lifting the company’s remaining repurchase capacity to $235 billion thru’ FY 2028, NVDA effectively told investors that, in management’s view, the be

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$’s GPUs already power much of the AI boom. Now the company wants Wall Street to view them differently: not simply as technology hardware, but as productive assets that can help support billions of dollars of debt. NVIDIA is working with major financial institutions on an initiative aimed at enabling as much as $500 billion of AI infrastructure financing. The broader idea is to bring institutional capital into AI data centers and make NVIDIA-powered computing infrastructure more financeable. That creates a new question for investors: Can an expensive GPU become collateral — and will it hold enough value for Wall Street to lend against it? 🏗️ Why Does NVIDIA Need Wall Street? The AI boom is becoming extraordinarily capi

Weekly Overview Treasuries are the market’s pricing anchor. With the 10-year Treasury yield above 5%, equities, gold, and crypto assets all need to be reassessed in light of high-rate pressure. The Treasury Department’s earlier buybacks failed to reverse the trend in long-dated bonds. A peak in yields still needs confirmation. If oil remains range-bound, and with the two remaining rate hikes expected this year already priced in, the rise in yields may slow. But an escalation in U.S.–Iran tensions or more hawkish statements from the Fed could change that assessment. The conditions for a bond rebound are building. CTAs’ positioning in 10-year Treasuries is low, while speculative net positions in 10-year Treasuries have moved from deeply bearish to neutral, increasing the possibility of a bon

The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points in September, lifting the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%. With inflation pressure prompting a shift in policy, rate expectations have again become a key driver of asset prices. Options positioning on September 25 showed a defensive tilt even as Nasdaq 100 futures rebounded: traders added near-the-money puts. Gold call positions expanded at higher strikes alongside downside protection, while new Bitcoin call positions appeared to reflect a short-term test of the upside. Against the backdrop of the rate hike, traders have not moved uniformly toward risk. The next question is whether prices can confirm the signals at key levels. The charts below show trading volume and open interest across major CME Group futures opti

Recent trading sessions highlighted profound intra-sector bifurcation across the artificial intelligence semiconductor landscape. While NVIDIA (NVDA) exhibited typical high-beta volatility—surging 1.68% intraday before succumbing to a broader sector selloff to close down 0.72%—alternative infrastructure plays such as Arm Holdings (ARM) and Broadcom (AVGO) demonstrated remarkable decoupling, gaining 3.58% and 1.58% respectively. In this article, we would like to share how we look beyond the titan in terms of semiconductor divergence, risk rotation, and how we can do a portfolio weighting for $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ NVIDIA, $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ ARM, and $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Broad

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ So the equity market is still defying all odds, continue to smash records after records in the start of October. Bulls are definitely in LaLaLand and laughing at their bears counterparts. However, majority of the main indices are made up of high capex spend, hyperscaler tech companies with humongous forward estimate ratios. So there is a saying: “Whatever that rise fast, will fall fast too.” With that, I definitely will take this continuous bull run with a cautious approach, hunting down stocks near their support levels or resistance levels to increase my trade probability.[Serious] @PawsAndProfits - Specialist in combining FA and TA for Options

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ New Test Isn’t AI Demand — It’s Expectations Nvidia has become so closely associated with the AI trade that almost every move in the stock gets interpreted through the same lens: AI demand. But Monday’s action raises a different question. When the broader semiconductor group sells off sharply while Nvidia holds up, perhaps the market isn’t simply choosing Nvidia as the “winner.” It may be separating companies with strong execution from companies where expectations have become harder to justify. That distinction could become increasingly important. Nvidia has built an unusually strong position in accelerated computing, but the stock also carries extremely high expectations. At this size, simply delivering good results may not be enou

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$: Leadership or Last One Standing? Nvidia gained 1.68% on Monday while the broader semiconductor group was getting hit hard. Intel and SK Hynix both dropped around 5%, while SOXL fell about 6%.  That divergence is what caught my attention. Is Nvidia showing genuine relative strength, or is the market simply rotating toward the biggest and most liquid AI name when everything else gets sold? There are still plenty of reasons for investors to focus on Nvidia’s position in the AI infrastructure buildout. But the valuation question hasn’t disappeared, and Michael Burry remains bearish on Nvidia even after reducing his shorter-dated put exposure.  For me, the interesting question isn’t whether Nvidia is strong today. It’s whether that st

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Longer term, NVIDIA gave preliminary guidance for about 70% revenue growth in FY2028, which is a very strong signal on AI infrastructure demand.  NVIDIA also just authorized an additional $150B share-buyback program, bringing remaining authorization to about $235B Sound good on a long run. 

Vouchers up for grabs! Find out more here:TigerTrade Welcome to TigerTrade

$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$  November’s Embedded Edge November seasonality remains one of the strongest structural trends in markets. Ten-year averages show the following ETF leaders: • SMH +8.01%, positive in 90% of Novembers • ITB +6.94%, positive in 100% • XBI +6.73%, positive in 80% • XLK +4.59%, positive in 90% • SPY +4.33%, positive in 90% This pattern consistently coincides with cyclical rotations and liquidity chases into growth. Semiconductors, housing, and biotech funds dominate the statistical edge, signalling that capital systematically tilts toward compute and innovation sectors into year-end. Flow Backdrop Locks In T

Dive into the chaos shaking CoreWeave ( $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ ) as shares nosedived to a nail-biting $91 low after a mixed earnings bombshell! 😱 They smashed Q3 revenue expectations with a whopping $1.36 billion haul, fueled by exploding AI demand and killer partnerships. But hold your horses – the full-year outlook got slashed to $5.05-$5.15 billion due to pesky data center delays, sparking a market meltdown and 16% drop in one wild session. Is this a screaming buy-the-dip moment in the red-hot AI infrastructure game, or a red flag signaling rough roads ahead? Let's break it down with fresh insights up to November 12, 2025. 📈🔥 First off, the wins are massive: Revenue backlog skyrocketed from $30 billion to a jaw-dropping $56 billion in just one

🧠 Beyond “Dream Stocks”: Inside the Rise of Neoclouds, CoreWeave, and Nebius The recent market correction has stripped the shine off many once-glamorous names. Share prices have tumbled, especially for so-called “dream stocks” — companies rich in narrative but light on near-term fundamentals, their success hinging entirely on future execution. In this climate, investors naturally wonder: are some of these names being unfairly punished? In my view, Neoclouds — the new generation of AI-focused cloud providers — are not just dream stocks. Their ascent is grounded in something very real: the explosive, sustained demand for AI computing power. These firms hold genuine technical moats and scarce physical assets — namely, top-tier NVIDIA GPUs. More importantly, leading players such as CoreWeave a

$NEBIUS(NBIS)$ earnings are scheduled to be released on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, before market open. Nebius Group (NBIS) Q3 2025 Earnings Analysis Nebius Group's primary driver is its AI-native cloud platform and its role in the booming AI infrastructure market. The company has recently garnered significant investor attention due to its high growth rates and major contract wins. Analyst Expectations (Consensus) Based on analyst forecasts, the consensus for the fiscal Q3 2025 (ending September 2025) is: The company is currently focused on aggressive expansion and capital expenditure, which is why an EPS loss is expected, despite rapid revenue growth. Nebius Group (NBIS) Fiscal Q2 2025 Earnings Summary The Nebius Group (NBIS) fiscal Q2 2025 (ende