To The Moon

English Version： After a sharp selloff, investors tend to fall into one of two camps: those who believe the worst is over and a rebound could come at any moment, and those who fear the decline is only just beginning. U.S. equities now sit squarely between those two views. Major indexes are approaching key technical levels, leadership in technology stocks is starting to weaken, and investors are looking for safe havens. But what happens next will depend on more than how far the market has fallen over the past few days. Two major catalysts will matter most: the U.S. midterm elections and Nvidia’s earnings. $1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr(NVDS)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $标普500(.SPX)$

$Intel(INTC)$   Bearish continuation — prior low broken High significance Intel continued falling in the US session on Monday, 2 November, breaking below Friday's $63.20 low. This is meaningful downside continuation after the earnings shock, with no confirmed reversal yet. 1. Price has broken below the post-sell-off low. - Friday, 30 October: closed at $65.76 on approximately 455.6 million shares. - Monday, 2 November: Yahoo Finance reports a $61.92 close, down 5.84%, with 110.5 million shares traded. The decline continued without Friday's extraordinary volume. This suggests persistent selling, but does not establish another capitulation event or prove that institutional investors are accumulating. 2. The $60 ar

Stocks to Watch Today: AI Debt Concerns Rise, Semiconductor Earnings Take Center Stage | November 3, 2026 November 3 is shaping up to be another important day for U.S. equity investors. Technology stocks have been under pressure, semiconductor shares have experienced renewed selling, and concerns about AI infrastructure spending are becoming increasingly difficult for Wall Street to ignore. Interestingly, AI demand has not suddenly disappeared. Instead, investors are beginning to question whether massive AI investments can generate sufficient returns to justify their costs. In my view, four major themes deserve attention today. 1. AI Financing: Is the Debt Burden Becoming a Bigger Risk? One of the biggest stories comes from $Oracle (ORCL)$. Oracle is reportedly planning to raise approximat

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ trades on the Nasdaq at $196.79, down 32.68% over the past month ahead of its fiscal second-quarter 2027 earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026, after the market close. In this article, we would like to discuss and share the comprehensive breakdown covering Pre-Earnings Context, Q2 FY27 Consensus Targets, Royalty vs. Licensing splits, Valuation Premium rationale vs. risks, and 3 explicit post-earnings execution strategies for current shareholders. 1. Pre-Earnings Performance & Market Context Arm Holdings enters its Q2 FY27 earnings event under intense institutional scrutiny following a steep 32.68% price contraction over the past 30 days, settling at $196.79. To contextualize this selling pressure, market participan

Money Market Fund US$ MMF net 7-day yield: 3.69% 7-day net yield is calculated using calendar days and NAVs rounded to five decimal places. Last week, the Fed held the target range at 3.75%–4.00% at the 28 October FOMC, as widely expected; Chair Warsh signalled no pre-set policy path. The curve twist-steepened after the meeting. US Treasuries rallied into Friday on haven demand amid the tech sell-off: the 2Y fell to 4.59% and the 10Y to 4.93%. Nevertheless, September PCE (+0.5% m/m, 3.6% y/y) kept inflation risks in view. Focus now turns to the 3 November midterms and the 4 November Treasury refunding. S-REITs SRT YTD total return: -9.07% SRT was flat WTD (0.00%). Office and data-centre REITs were the largest sub-sector drags while residential and hotel were the top gainers. MINT was the l

My prediction: The Nasdaq Composite will finish the week up approximately 0.8%, with a Friday closing price around 25,365. After last week's sharp tech selloff, I think some bargain hunting could emerge, particularly if AMD, Qualcomm and Arm deliver solid earnings. However, the market needs more than impressive revenue growth. Investors increasingly want proof that massive AI investments are translating into sustainable profits and stronger cash flows. The midterm elections could create short-term volatility, while Friday's jobs report may influence expectations for the Fed's next move. My view is that technology stocks could experience a relief rally, but the upside may remain limited by high valuations and uncertainty surrounding AI spending. I'm cautiously bullish, but not aggressively

Buying the World Before America Votes: Is VT a Smart Investment Ahead of the US Midterms? Why investing in the world’s stock market may be a better bet than trying to predict the next occupant of the political hot seat. There is something fascinating about investing on the eve of a major political event. Markets are nervous, commentators are making predictions, political divisions are dominating the headlines, and investors are wondering whether tomorrow’s result could make them richer or poorer. With the US midterm elections approaching, one interesting question emerges: could buying shares in Vanguard’s Total World Stock ETF (VT) just before Americans head to the polls be a smart investment move? And, more specifically, what happens if the Democrats win? My answer is that there is a comp

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US markets are entering another important trading session, with investors balancing AI spending concerns, earnings announcements and uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections. Monday’s session ended with mixed results. The S&P 500 slipped 0.52%, while the Nasdaq fell 1.1%. Technology and AI-related shares remained under pressure, suggesting investors are becoming more selective about companies exposed to the AI investment cycle. Here are five stocks I am watching today. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  – The Biggest Earnings Test AMD is at the top of my watchlist ahead of its earnings announcement after today’s market close. The company has guided for approximately $13 billion in quarterly revenue and a non-GAAP gross margin o

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$Apple(AAPL)$ latest earnings report comes at an important moment for the company. John Ternus is taking his first earnings call as CEO, and investors will be looking beyond iPhone sales to understand whether Apple can maintain its growth and profitability in an increasingly expensive technology environment. Apple remains one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, supported by its strong brand, loyal customer base and integrated ecosystem. However, its valuation leaves relatively little room for disappointment, particularly when earnings growth has not always kept pace with expectations. There are several important factors worth watching. 1. Rising Memory Costs Could Pressure Margins One of the biggest challenges facing Apple is t

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Nasdaq: +1.3% this week | Friday close: ~25,768 I’m leaning towards a modest rebound rather than a full risk-on rally. After Friday’s 2.86% fall and Monday’s additional weakness, some bad news and AI valuation anxiety should already be reflected in positioning. The biggest swing factor for me is tech earnings. Strong AMD, Qualcomm and Arm guidance could stabilise semiconductor sentiment, but investors now seem to demand evidence that AI capex is translating into revenue and profits, not merely more spending. The jobs report is the wildcard. A moderate reading that avoids both recession fears and a sharp rise in yields would probably be the best outcome for Nasdaq. My plan: continue DCA rather than chase a bounce. I would keep extra cash available if another valuation-driven selloff create

The Nasdaq is heading into one of the most event-packed weeks of the year. And after last week's tech selloff, investors have plenty of reasons to stay on edge. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.86% on Friday, then slipped another 1.07% on Monday, closing at 25,164.32. Now, three major catalysts are lining up: the U.S. midterm elections, a fresh round of tech earnings, and Friday's jobs report.Could this be the week tech stocks finally bounce back? Or is another selloff on the way? Three Big Events, One Volatile Week 1. U.S. Midterms: Will Politics Move the Market? Americans head to the polls on November 3, with control of Congress at stake. The results could reshape expectations for government spending, tax policy and tech regulation. Markets will be watching closely to see whether the outco

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) will report its fiscal third-quarter (Q3) 2026 financial results on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, after the U.S. market close (around 4:00 PM EST). In this article we would like to share how we are addressing AMD's Q3 2026 earnings preview, AI market dynamics, target price evaluation, and Bull Put Spread option strategies. This include evaluating the impact of Intel’s earnings spillovers, Instinct MI Series accelerator momentum, street target viability, and options strategies ahead of Q3 reporting. 1. Macro Backdrop: Intel Contagion and Sector Pullback The semiconductor index has faced notable headwinds leading into AMD’s Q3 2026 report. An 11% decline in AMD stock over recent weeks was heavily influenced by spillover effects from Intel Corporation’s quarterly rep

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Apple delivered revenue and earnings per share above expectations, but its shares still came under pressure after the report. On November 2, Apple reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results for the period ended September 26. Revenue reached approximately $114.5 billion, up 12% year over year, with EPS of $2.10. CNBC cited LSEG consensus estimates of $113.39 billion and $1.99, respectively, and reported that shares fell approximately 3% at one point in November 2 after-hours trading. This was John Ternus’s first earnings report as CEO. Apple posted a September-quarter revenue record, iPhone sales continued to grow, and services revenue reached an all-time high.[1][2] The next quarter’s outlook, however, contained an important split: revenue growth guidance exceeded expectations, while gros

U.S. stock markets finished mixed on Monday, November 2, 2026, as an early-morning rally faded due to ongoing weakness in technology and artificial intelligence stocks ahead of the U.S. midterm elections and a key jobs report. In this article, we would like to look at the narrative around the dual catalysts: pre-election hedging ahead of the November 3 midterm elections and positioning prior to the October Non-Farm Payrolls job report. 1. Major Index Performance Overview The trading session exhibited a stark divergence between traditional blue-chip value industrial components and tech-heavy growth benchmarks. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to retain modest gains due to strong performance in healthcare, defense, and oil

My market observation today: Most technology stocks are under pressure, including NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). However, not every part of the market is moving in the same direction. KWEB is showing strength, while defensive stocks such as Hasbro are holding up relatively well. What I find interesting is that the market is beginning to distinguish between different types of investments. Investors are becoming more selective about expensive technology stocks, while looking for opportunities in beaten-down markets and companies with more defensive business characteristics. This is an important reminder that when the technology sector falls, it does not automatically mean every stock must fall together. 1️⃣ Why are most technology stocks falling? 💻 The biggest issue is the changing attit

The congressional midterm elections, the biggest political event in the United States this year, finally go to a vote this week. Trump has gone to extraordinary lengths ahead of the election, first capturing Venezuela's president and then assassinating Iran's supreme leader. He had hoped that these unconventional measures would free up more crude oil supply, push oil prices down and bring inflation under control.

English Version： After a sharp selloff, investors tend to fall into one of two camps: those who believe the worst is over and a rebound could come at any moment, and those who fear the decline is only just beginning. U.S. equities now sit squarely between those two views. Major indexes are approaching key technical levels, leadership in technology stocks is starting to weaken, and investors are looking for safe havens. But what happens next will depend on more than how far the market has fallen over the past few days. Two major catalysts will matter most: the U.S. midterm elections and Nvidia’s earnings. $1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr(NVDS)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ $标普500(.SPX)$

$ARM Holdings(ARM)$ trades on the Nasdaq at $196.79, down 32.68% over the past month ahead of its fiscal second-quarter 2027 earnings release scheduled for November 4, 2026, after the market close. In this article, we would like to discuss and share the comprehensive breakdown covering Pre-Earnings Context, Q2 FY27 Consensus Targets, Royalty vs. Licensing splits, Valuation Premium rationale vs. risks, and 3 explicit post-earnings execution strategies for current shareholders. 1. Pre-Earnings Performance & Market Context Arm Holdings enters its Q2 FY27 earnings event under intense institutional scrutiny following a steep 32.68% price contraction over the past 30 days, settling at $196.79. To contextualize this selling pressure, market participan

Money Market Fund US$ MMF net 7-day yield: 3.69% 7-day net yield is calculated using calendar days and NAVs rounded to five decimal places. Last week, the Fed held the target range at 3.75%–4.00% at the 28 October FOMC, as widely expected; Chair Warsh signalled no pre-set policy path. The curve twist-steepened after the meeting. US Treasuries rallied into Friday on haven demand amid the tech sell-off: the 2Y fell to 4.59% and the 10Y to 4.93%. Nevertheless, September PCE (+0.5% m/m, 3.6% y/y) kept inflation risks in view. Focus now turns to the 3 November midterms and the 4 November Treasury refunding. S-REITs SRT YTD total return: -9.07% SRT was flat WTD (0.00%). Office and data-centre REITs were the largest sub-sector drags while residential and hotel were the top gainers. MINT was the l

Stocks to Watch Today: AI Debt Concerns Rise, Semiconductor Earnings Take Center Stage | November 3, 2026 November 3 is shaping up to be another important day for U.S. equity investors. Technology stocks have been under pressure, semiconductor shares have experienced renewed selling, and concerns about AI infrastructure spending are becoming increasingly difficult for Wall Street to ignore. Interestingly, AI demand has not suddenly disappeared. Instead, investors are beginning to question whether massive AI investments can generate sufficient returns to justify their costs. In my view, four major themes deserve attention today. 1. AI Financing: Is the Debt Burden Becoming a Bigger Risk? One of the biggest stories comes from $Oracle (ORCL)$. Oracle is reportedly planning to raise approximat

Buying the World Before America Votes: Is VT a Smart Investment Ahead of the US Midterms? Why investing in the world’s stock market may be a better bet than trying to predict the next occupant of the political hot seat. There is something fascinating about investing on the eve of a major political event. Markets are nervous, commentators are making predictions, political divisions are dominating the headlines, and investors are wondering whether tomorrow’s result could make them richer or poorer. With the US midterm elections approaching, one interesting question emerges: could buying shares in Vanguard’s Total World Stock ETF (VT) just before Americans head to the polls be a smart investment move? And, more specifically, what happens if the Democrats win? My answer is that there is a comp

US markets are entering another important trading session, with investors balancing AI spending concerns, earnings announcements and uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections. Monday’s session ended with mixed results. The S&P 500 slipped 0.52%, while the Nasdaq fell 1.1%. Technology and AI-related shares remained under pressure, suggesting investors are becoming more selective about companies exposed to the AI investment cycle. Here are five stocks I am watching today. 1. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  – The Biggest Earnings Test AMD is at the top of my watchlist ahead of its earnings announcement after today’s market close. The company has guided for approximately $13 billion in quarterly revenue and a non-GAAP gross margin o

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) will report its fiscal third-quarter (Q3) 2026 financial results on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, after the U.S. market close (around 4:00 PM EST). In this article we would like to share how we are addressing AMD's Q3 2026 earnings preview, AI market dynamics, target price evaluation, and Bull Put Spread option strategies. This include evaluating the impact of Intel’s earnings spillovers, Instinct MI Series accelerator momentum, street target viability, and options strategies ahead of Q3 reporting. 1. Macro Backdrop: Intel Contagion and Sector Pullback The semiconductor index has faced notable headwinds leading into AMD’s Q3 2026 report. An 11% decline in AMD stock over recent weeks was heavily influenced by spillover effects from Intel Corporation’s quarterly rep

$Apple(AAPL)$ latest earnings report comes at an important moment for the company. John Ternus is taking his first earnings call as CEO, and investors will be looking beyond iPhone sales to understand whether Apple can maintain its growth and profitability in an increasingly expensive technology environment. Apple remains one of the world’s most valuable technology companies, supported by its strong brand, loyal customer base and integrated ecosystem. However, its valuation leaves relatively little room for disappointment, particularly when earnings growth has not always kept pace with expectations. There are several important factors worth watching. 1. Rising Memory Costs Could Pressure Margins One of the biggest challenges facing Apple is t

Apple delivered revenue and earnings per share above expectations, but its shares still came under pressure after the report. On November 2, Apple reported fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 results for the period ended September 26. Revenue reached approximately $114.5 billion, up 12% year over year, with EPS of $2.10. CNBC cited LSEG consensus estimates of $113.39 billion and $1.99, respectively, and reported that shares fell approximately 3% at one point in November 2 after-hours trading. This was John Ternus’s first earnings report as CEO. Apple posted a September-quarter revenue record, iPhone sales continued to grow, and services revenue reached an all-time high.[1][2] The next quarter’s outlook, however, contained an important split: revenue growth guidance exceeded expectations, while gros

The Nasdaq is heading into one of the most event-packed weeks of the year. And after last week's tech selloff, investors have plenty of reasons to stay on edge. The Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.86% on Friday, then slipped another 1.07% on Monday, closing at 25,164.32. Now, three major catalysts are lining up: the U.S. midterm elections, a fresh round of tech earnings, and Friday's jobs report.Could this be the week tech stocks finally bounce back? Or is another selloff on the way? Three Big Events, One Volatile Week 1. U.S. Midterms: Will Politics Move the Market? Americans head to the polls on November 3, with control of Congress at stake. The results could reshape expectations for government spending, tax policy and tech regulation. Markets will be watching closely to see whether the outco

U.S. stock markets finished mixed on Monday, November 2, 2026, as an early-morning rally faded due to ongoing weakness in technology and artificial intelligence stocks ahead of the U.S. midterm elections and a key jobs report. In this article, we would like to look at the narrative around the dual catalysts: pre-election hedging ahead of the November 3 midterm elections and positioning prior to the October Non-Farm Payrolls job report. 1. Major Index Performance Overview The trading session exhibited a stark divergence between traditional blue-chip value industrial components and tech-heavy growth benchmarks. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to retain modest gains due to strong performance in healthcare, defense, and oil

My market observation today: Most technology stocks are under pressure, including NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). However, not every part of the market is moving in the same direction. KWEB is showing strength, while defensive stocks such as Hasbro are holding up relatively well. What I find interesting is that the market is beginning to distinguish between different types of investments. Investors are becoming more selective about expensive technology stocks, while looking for opportunities in beaten-down markets and companies with more defensive business characteristics. This is an important reminder that when the technology sector falls, it does not automatically mean every stock must fall together. 1️⃣ Why are most technology stocks falling? 💻 The biggest issue is the changing attit

$Intel(INTC)$   Bearish continuation — prior low broken High significance Intel continued falling in the US session on Monday, 2 November, breaking below Friday's $63.20 low. This is meaningful downside continuation after the earnings shock, with no confirmed reversal yet. 1. Price has broken below the post-sell-off low. - Friday, 30 October: closed at $65.76 on approximately 455.6 million shares. - Monday, 2 November: Yahoo Finance reports a $61.92 close, down 5.84%, with 110.5 million shares traded. The decline continued without Friday's extraordinary volume. This suggests persistent selling, but does not establish another capitulation event or prove that institutional investors are accumulating. 2. The $60 ar

My prediction: The Nasdaq Composite will finish the week up approximately 0.8%, with a Friday closing price around 25,365. After last week's sharp tech selloff, I think some bargain hunting could emerge, particularly if AMD, Qualcomm and Arm deliver solid earnings. However, the market needs more than impressive revenue growth. Investors increasingly want proof that massive AI investments are translating into sustainable profits and stronger cash flows. The midterm elections could create short-term volatility, while Friday's jobs report may influence expectations for the Fed's next move. My view is that technology stocks could experience a relief rally, but the upside may remain limited by high valuations and uncertainty surrounding AI spending. I'm cautiously bullish, but not aggressively

My screen this morning is giving us four very different signals. MU: $872.79, -1.35% CRCL: $73.86, +1.82% BYND: $7.52, +8.83% RZLV: $1.48, +1.47% At first glance? Three green. One red. But that is almost useless information. Because these four stocks represent four completely different trades. MU = THESIS TRADE CRCL = EARNINGS SETUP BYND = MOMENTUM / SQUEEZE TRADE RZLV = PROVE-IT SPECULATION And after Friday's violent repricing of growth stocks? I think knowing WHICH game you are playing matters more than whether the stock is green or red today. 🟢 1. MU: THE ONE I WOULD MOST WANT TO OWN ON WEAKNESS Micron is around: $873 after trading near $987 only days ago. That is roughly an 11% reset from that recent high. And unlike some of the speculative names being sold? I do NOT see evidence yet t

🌟🌟🌟The global financial landscape has experienced a sharp tectonic shift.  Spot Gold prices have recently corrected below the psychological crucial USD 4,000 per ounce threshold.  This pullback isn't a failure of Gold's intrinsic value but rather a direct reaction to a hawkish Federal Reserve, rising US bond yields and severe cross market deleveraging.  As corporate earnings faced pressure, institutional fund managers were forced into liquidity driven selling - liquidating their must liquid assets, Gold, to cover margin calls and equity losses elsewhere. Yet beneath this temporary surface noise, a massive structural floor is being laid: global central banks are buying Gold at a historic, unprecedented pace.  Driven by a fierce desire to de-dollarise and diversify away f

Nasdaq: +1.3% this week | Friday close: ~25,768 I’m leaning towards a modest rebound rather than a full risk-on rally. After Friday’s 2.86% fall and Monday’s additional weakness, some bad news and AI valuation anxiety should already be reflected in positioning. The biggest swing factor for me is tech earnings. Strong AMD, Qualcomm and Arm guidance could stabilise semiconductor sentiment, but investors now seem to demand evidence that AI capex is translating into revenue and profits, not merely more spending. The jobs report is the wildcard. A moderate reading that avoids both recession fears and a sharp rise in yields would probably be the best outcome for Nasdaq. My plan: continue DCA rather than chase a bounce. I would keep extra cash available if another valuation-driven selloff create

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