To The Moon

Good

This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to

🌟🌟🌟I would pick Grid Hardware & Cooling Infrastructure.  Why?  It does not matter if your power comes from an atom or gas turbine, you still have to step the voltage up, distribute it across the facility and cool the servers. This is the ultimate "Sell the Pans during a Gold Rush" strategy.  $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ owns a huge moat across heavy gas turbines and grid modernisation hardware. Meanwhile $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$ & $Eaton Corp PLC(ETN)$ are growing at a fantastic pace because liquid cooling infrastructure and advanced power distribution units or

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is currently trading around $211.09, pulling back slightly from its recent 52-week high of $236.54 while remaining comfortably above its 52-week low of $164.07. Market capitalization sits near $5.05 trillion, with a P/E ratio hovering around 31.9x. With Q2 earnings reporting on August 26, management guidance points to ~$91.0 billion in revenue, while consensus sits slightly higher at ~$91.9 billion with ~$2.08 adjusted EPS. Gross margins are expected near 75.0%. While fundamental metrics remain exceptionally robust, the narrow margin between management guidance and elevated consensus expectations leaves minimal room for execution stumbles.

[微笑]

I believe most market participants currently recognize that U.S. equities are at an extremely delicate point of equilibrium. Technically, the S&P 500 has already fallen below its 20-day moving average, and bearish sentiment has intensified sharply. At the fundamental level, however, the fragile balance among U.S. Treasuries, U.S. equities, confidence in the U.S. dollar, and inflation expectations remains unchanged. The Treasury’s expansion of its long-term Treasury buyback program may appear to stabilize the market, but in the face of rapidly rising debt and elevated interest costs, the measure looks more like an attempt to buy time than to solve the underlying problem. $标普500(.SPX)$

🌟I would pick B: just a short term safe haven ahead of $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings as my immediate action plan & then when the cloud clears, I would execute the playbook of E: AI remains the main line after a pullback. Why? The headline driven media loves to scream that the Great Rotation has arrived every time tech stumbles.  They want you to believe that funds are permanently fleeing the digital revolution to live inside grocery stores and retail banks forever.  This is just a psychological illusion. Moving funds into safe haven ETFs like $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ & $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ is not a long ter

The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie

While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$   https://seekingalpha.com/article/4939059-byd-overseas-boom-changes-the-entire-thesis?mailingid=47146263&messageid=stocks_sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control&position=stocks_sectors_adunit_control_freeread&serial=47146263.119&source=email_stocks_sectors&ssn=1&utm_campaign=Stocks+%26+Sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control+2026-08-21&utm_content=stocks_sectors&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=Stocks+And+Sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control Looks like the EV automobile market in China is too saturated, leading to BYD ex

Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro

Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in

Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik

The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe

🌟🌟🌟I will be watching $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ most closely this week as Walmart is the macro barometer.  If they warn again about lower income stress, the retail sector will feel the strain most acutely as Walmart is the largest US retailer. If Walmart surprises positively, it will stabilise the entire consumer defensive sector. Higher fuel prices are pressuring margins & household budgets.  Yet high income shoppers & Ecommerce is up and still driving growth. I would also watch $Home Depot(HD)$ closely as the housing market is described as wobbly heading into earnings on August 18.  Home Depot is the interest rate sensitivity stock.  If housing demand continues to weaken, Home Depot's

After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.

Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid

What deserves the most attention in the U.S. equity market this week is not the movement of the S&P 500 Index itself, but rather the structural changes taking place within the index. From a valuation perspective, the S&P 500’s overall price-to-earnings ratio remains at a relatively elevated level. Valuations in information technology, real estate, industrials, health care, and other sectors are all materially above the broader market, indicating that U.S. equities as a whole still lack a clear valuation cushion. From a fund-flow perspective, SPY has recorded cumulative net inflows of approximately USD 21.6 billion since July, but fund-flow divergence across sectors has become increasingly pronounced. Capital is not simply leaving the equity market; rather, it is being reallocated a

🌟🌟🌟I vote C: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ as NVIDIA is the absolute nucleus of the AI ecosystem.  While second line infrastructure companies may struggle with punishing capital costs and data centre construction delays, NVIDIA remains the undisputed toll booth of the entire AI chain. NVIDIA sells the premium, high margin compute blocks with Blackwell & Rubin architectures that everyone else is forced to fight over. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is a pure demand play with ultra heavy capex even though their huge USD 100 billion order book proves that demand is excellent. Even though $SUPER

I’m encouraged by these results because they show AI infrastructure demand remains strong despite the valuation reset. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $104.2 billion backlog and $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ $65–72 billion fiscal 2027 revenue guidance suggest the key constraints are increasingly power, cooling, networking and financing—not a lack of orders. I’m especially interested in SMCI’s margin recovery and CRWV’s revenue visibility. Both are high-beta names with execution and financing risks, so I wouldn’t chase the after-hours rally. NVDA remains my preferred core exposure, while COHR and LITE could benefit from cont

This Week’s Highlights 1. The U.S. Treasury will at least double the size of its liquidity-support buybacks for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap per operation from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. This measure may help stabilize the long-term bond market temporarily and suggests that the Treasury may be seeking to keep long-term yields near 5%. However, Treasury buybacks are not equivalent to the Federal Reserve purchasing bonds with newly created money through quantitative easing. They more closely resemble replacing long-term debt with short-term debt, and therefore cannot fundamentally eliminate the pressure from high deficits, elevated interest costs, and excessive long-term bond supply. If the market instead questions the government’s ability to

I believe most market participants currently recognize that U.S. equities are at an extremely delicate point of equilibrium. Technically, the S&P 500 has already fallen below its 20-day moving average, and bearish sentiment has intensified sharply. At the fundamental level, however, the fragile balance among U.S. Treasuries, U.S. equities, confidence in the U.S. dollar, and inflation expectations remains unchanged. The Treasury’s expansion of its long-term Treasury buyback program may appear to stabilize the market, but in the face of rapidly rising debt and elevated interest costs, the measure looks more like an attempt to buy time than to solve the underlying problem. $标普500(.SPX)$

🌟🌟🌟I would pick Grid Hardware & Cooling Infrastructure.  Why?  It does not matter if your power comes from an atom or gas turbine, you still have to step the voltage up, distribute it across the facility and cool the servers. This is the ultimate "Sell the Pans during a Gold Rush" strategy.  $GE Vernova Inc.(GEV)$ owns a huge moat across heavy gas turbines and grid modernisation hardware. Meanwhile $Vertiv Holdings LLC(VRT)$ & $Eaton Corp PLC(ETN)$ are growing at a fantastic pace because liquid cooling infrastructure and advanced power distribution units or

Good

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is currently trading around $211.09, pulling back slightly from its recent 52-week high of $236.54 while remaining comfortably above its 52-week low of $164.07. Market capitalization sits near $5.05 trillion, with a P/E ratio hovering around 31.9x. With Q2 earnings reporting on August 26, management guidance points to ~$91.0 billion in revenue, while consensus sits slightly higher at ~$91.9 billion with ~$2.08 adjusted EPS. Gross margins are expected near 75.0%. While fundamental metrics remain exceptionally robust, the narrow margin between management guidance and elevated consensus expectations leaves minimal room for execution stumbles.

The market did not take long to choose a short- to medium-term direction. Last week, gold and crypto assets both surged, making it clear that the market had entered a new phase of rebound. The previous trading logic can therefore be carried forward naturally, and risk assets are expected to remain resilient through the period before the fourth quarter. The only factor requiring particular caution is the speed of the advance. The logic chain of crypto assets—gold—risk assets changed slightly during last week’s trading. Following the news that the U.S. Treasury would purchase bonds, gold reacted most quickly. However, in terms of both absolute gains and the pace of appreciation, Bitcoin and Ethereum—whose volatility is inherently higher—soon staged a catch-up move and outperformed the earlie

While the market remained focused on the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike, the U.S. Treasury released a surprising announcement last week. The Treasury announced that it would “at least double” the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations for Treasury securities maturing in 10 to 30 years, raising the cap for each buyback from USD 2 billion to at least USD 4 billion. Relative to the USD 31 trillion U.S. Treasury market, this buyback volume is negligible. Nevertheless, the Treasury’s move conveyed several messages to the market. First, long-term bond yields are too high, and the Treasury intends to exert some control over them. Second, Treasury yields around 5% may represent a psychological threshold for the U.S. Treasury; if yields deviate too far from that level, more fo

🌟I would pick B: just a short term safe haven ahead of $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings as my immediate action plan & then when the cloud clears, I would execute the playbook of E: AI remains the main line after a pullback. Why? The headline driven media loves to scream that the Great Rotation has arrived every time tech stumbles.  They want you to believe that funds are permanently fleeing the digital revolution to live inside grocery stores and retail banks forever.  This is just a psychological illusion. Moving funds into safe haven ETFs like $Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLF)$ & $Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLP)$ is not a long ter

[微笑]

Last night, I shared my latest assessment of gold, equity indices, crypto assets, and the US dollar in the futures livestream room on the Tiger Brokers platform following the release of news regarding US Treasury purchases of government bonds. The central focus of the livestream was how to determine whether the market had shifted from a consolidation phase into a new trending phase by analyzing correlations among different asset classes. For those who were unable to attend, the replay of the video course is available below: Massive US Treasury Rescue Buying! Gold Surges, the Dollar Plunges: What Trading Opportunities Lie Ahead? I will now categorize and summarize the key information and trading-related insights fro

Over the past week, the core narrative shaping global asset pricing revolved around two themes. On the geopolitical front, negotiations between the United States and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz reached an impasse, with both sides engaging in heated exchanges and refusing to yield. According to Bloomberg tanker-tracking data, Middle Eastern crude oil loadings fell from 20 million barrels per day in early July to 12 million barrels per day by the end of July, with the supply disruption shifting from a “risk premium” into a “physical supply shortfall.” On the macroeconomic front, U.S. headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year in July, while core CPI increased 2.5%; month-over-month growth resumed. PPI rose 4.7% year over year, while nonfarm payroll employment unexpectedly declined by 23,000 in

Weekly Outlook Summary The central view this week is as follows: After weaker U.S. employment data, expectations for further rate hikes eased, temporarily supporting U.S. equities and risk assets. However, the rebound in oil prices, the renewed repricing of inflation, and rising Treasury yields are weakening the fundamental support for further gains in high-valuation U.S. equities. In the near term, the market may again become range-bound. The strategic focus should therefore shift from outright directional positioning toward capturing a rebound in volatility, collecting option time value, and implementing strict risk controls. Policy expectations remain the primary market driver. Following the release of the nonfarm payrolls report, market expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hik

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. $BYD Co., Ltd.(BYDDY)$   https://seekingalpha.com/article/4939059-byd-overseas-boom-changes-the-entire-thesis?mailingid=47146263&messageid=stocks_sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control&position=stocks_sectors_adunit_control_freeread&serial=47146263.119&source=email_stocks_sectors&ssn=1&utm_campaign=Stocks+%26+Sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control+2026-08-21&utm_content=stocks_sectors&utm_medium=email&utm_source=seeking_alpha&utm_term=Stocks+And+Sectors_test_aug2026_adunit_control Looks like the EV automobile market in China is too saturated, leading to BYD ex

The anticipated pullback may already be underway: Three strategies for navigating today’s choppy market The U.S. equity market is currently in a highly sensitive, tightly balanced high-level volatility regime. Previously, cooling macro data—including softer-than-expected CPI and PPI readings—helped ease inflation expectations and created an exceptionally favorable backdrop for U.S. equities. Supported by these conditions, the S&P 500 continued advancing and reached fresh highs. However, renewed geopolitical tensions this week have disrupted the previous calm, as a sudden rise in crude oil prices has altered the market landscape once again. At this macroeconomic crossroads, characterized by an unusually large numbe

What deserves the most attention in the U.S. equity market this week is not the movement of the S&P 500 Index itself, but rather the structural changes taking place within the index. From a valuation perspective, the S&P 500’s overall price-to-earnings ratio remains at a relatively elevated level. Valuations in information technology, real estate, industrials, health care, and other sectors are all materially above the broader market, indicating that U.S. equities as a whole still lack a clear valuation cushion. From a fund-flow perspective, SPY has recorded cumulative net inflows of approximately USD 21.6 billion since July, but fund-flow divergence across sectors has become increasingly pronounced. Capital is not simply leaving the equity market; rather, it is being reallocated a

Following the stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls data, the market’s perceived probability of Federal Reserve rate hikes has continued to decline. The market now needs the next payrolls report to establish a new set of expectations. This means that, before the next data release, sentiment is likely to remain constructive. Even without a major trend, the market is likely to stay range-bound. (Note: Chart circulating via social media, original source unknown. Used for discussion purposes only. If you own this content, please DM for proper credit or takedown.) Over the weekend, there were further developments related to the Strait of Hormuz. The market has largely abandoned expectations for meaningful progress in negotiations, and there may not be significant movement even before the mid

After the sharp pullback and subsequent rebound in the previous phase, major asset classes have returned to a relatively calm pattern. However, the fact that some assets have stalled should not be viewed as a positive signal. If they fail to extend their rebound or make new highs over the coming weeks, it may indicate that another leg lower is approaching. The first market to watch is crypto, which we have consistently treated as a leading indicator. Although its reference value has deteriorated meaningfully compared with one to two years ago, it has still shown signs of acting as an early mover in the current market cycle. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum rebounded sharply from late June, but have spent the past six weeks hovering near their lower ranges.

AI hardware stocks have suffered a sharp valuation reset, but the latest earnings show that underlying infrastructure demand remains strong. CoreWeave’s revenue backlog reached $104.2 billion, while Super Micro guided for up to $72 billion in annual revenue. The key bottlenecks are increasingly power, cooling, networking and financing—not a lack of AI orders AI Infrastructure Rebounds After Hours U.S. stocks ended the latest session lower as investors remained cautious ahead of the July CPI report: S&P 500: −0.32% Nasdaq Composite: −0.60% Dow Jones: −0.34% However, several AI infrastructure names rebounded after the close: $CoreWeave(CRWV)$: up more than 14% after hours $Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$: u

🌟🌟🌟I will be watching $Wal-Mart(WMT)$ most closely this week as Walmart is the macro barometer.  If they warn again about lower income stress, the retail sector will feel the strain most acutely as Walmart is the largest US retailer. If Walmart surprises positively, it will stabilise the entire consumer defensive sector. Higher fuel prices are pressuring margins & household budgets.  Yet high income shoppers & Ecommerce is up and still driving growth. I would also watch $Home Depot(HD)$ closely as the housing market is described as wobbly heading into earnings on August 18.  Home Depot is the interest rate sensitivity stock.  If housing demand continues to weaken, Home Depot's

🌟🌟🌟I vote C: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ as NVIDIA is the absolute nucleus of the AI ecosystem.  While second line infrastructure companies may struggle with punishing capital costs and data centre construction delays, NVIDIA remains the undisputed toll booth of the entire AI chain. NVIDIA sells the premium, high margin compute blocks with Blackwell & Rubin architectures that everyone else is forced to fight over. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ is a pure demand play with ultra heavy capex even though their huge USD 100 billion order book proves that demand is excellent. Even though $SUPER