To The Moon

hey everyone, Wonton Investor here. let's talk about the part of the AI trade that everyone's excited about right now, which is optics and power. over the past few months i've been buying into the "plumbing" of AI data centres - optical modules (AAOI, LITE), connectivity chips (MXL), timing chips (SITM) and storage (STX, WDC). the reason is pretty simple. once a data centre has enough GPUs, the limit stops being how smart each chip is and starts being how fast the chips can talk to each other. copper wire runs out of distance and bandwidth, so you have to go optical, and the companies making that "nervous system" become the interesting ones. and this earnings season, every single one of my six names beat and raised. so you'd think i'd be super bullish. and i am on the demand. but i've actu

Alphabet paid a US$5.2 billion EU fine, and it built up US$3.2 billion of chip systems it will sell to customers later. Even after adding both back, free cash flow is still slightly negative. Over the last 12 months it was US$19.7 billion, against US$73.3 billion for 2025.,the spending is not slowing. Alphabet expects US$195 billion to US$205 billion of capex this year, and says 2027 will “increase significantly” from there. That spending comes back as a cost later. About 65% of it went into servers and networking, which Alphabet writes off over six years. Depreciation was US$8.4 billion this quarter, up from US$5.6 billion a year ago. The chief financial officer said it will “continue to weigh on the P&L”. In plain words, today’s capex is tomorrow’s expense, and most of it has not sta

$Micron Technology(MU)$  

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Micron has fallen from almost $1,000 to around $896 pre-market. Again. And I can already feel the frustration among MU investors. SK Hynix posts extraordinary numbers. Memory remains scarce. AI data-centre demand remains enormous. SanDisk reports explosive datacentre growth. Micron itself is producing extraordinary margins. Yet MU falls. So naturally investors are asking: WHAT IS WRONG WITH MICRON? My answer? Less than the stock price suggests. But something HAS changed. Wall Street has moved one level higher in the AI supply chain. The question is no longer: “Is memory demand strong?” We already know it is. The new question is: “CAN THE COMPANIES BUYING ALL THIS MEMORY KEEP SPENDING?” An

#amzn $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  

I would hold on to the mega caps and ride out the current market volatility. However will hold sufficient reserve to enter market when right opportunity appears.

Hold big pharma and oil, sell the rest to rebalance especially during earnings season

share market is a place to make money or to make your money work for you. so buy low sell high is the formula. when earning results come some companies meet the expectations some miss the expectations my strategy is sell n take profit of 20-30% if results good n counter rally buy when the stock pullback if the counter did not meet the expectations then goes down buy 15%-25%  so when the horse run you make your money

stock market

SNDK: I’d trim, not chase the beat. SanDisk delivered a strong Q1 FY27: $11.03B revenue and $49.51 adjusted EPS; Q2 guidance is higher. But great results are not automatically a great entry price. The risk is that AI-storage growth and elevated NAND pricing are already priced for near-perfect execution. I’d watch whether data-center demand converts into durable margins, pricing holds as supply responds, and weakness in consumer NAND spreads. Consumer revenue fell 39% year over year—a reminder that not every segment shares the boom. My approach is to take partial profits after a strong run and keep a smaller position only if the thesis still holds. I’d buy a dip only if guidance and pricing remain firm—not just because the chart looks cheaper. A beat can still disappoint when expectations a

$Alphabet(GOOG)$ I will hold on and keep for long term. This company is a long term investment for me. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ Wait for the result and I will go in and buy more.

bo bian

**I hold MSFT and refuse to sell before earnings.** Microsoft remains one of the strongest compounders in the market. Azure continues to accelerate on AI demand, with growth expected in the mid-40s percent range and capacity still the main constraint rather than customer appetite. Copilot adoption is expanding enterprise-wide, supporting higher monetization across Microsoft 365 and the broader Intelligent Cloud business. The company’s scale, distribution, and balance sheet give it durable advantages that short-term volatility cannot erase. Selling ahead of the print would force me to time both the exit and a potential re-entry perfectly. History shows Microsoft often beats expectations and raises guidance, rewarding patient holders. Even if the stock reacts modestly or dips on elevated exp

hold first, if drop then I buy

lost some

Buy

I would trim some before earnings. As I still believe in the long term potential of MSFT, AMZN, META and Googl, I would do a bull put spread if it drops and and bear call spread if it rise. I will monitor further if I want to close the legs early or be assigned or call the stock away. I would also build up the war chest if I can. This is ideal plan. More offen, it is difficult to carry out as physiological, it takes conviction

hold if can stomach the drastic decline, what goes down will ...

Screwed up earrings season

“Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy.” This timeless investment principle is especially relevant when identifying quality stocks with strong long-term growth potential. When the market is driven by fear and panic, it may create opportunities to accumulate fundamentally strong companies at attractive valuations. Conversely, when euphoria takes over and everyone rushes to buy, it is time to remain cautious, assess valuations, and avoid being swept up by the crowd. The key is to invest in quality, not just cheap prices. Focus on companies with strong fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, healthy balance sheets, and the ability to generate consistent earnings and cash flow. For long-term investors, market volatility is not necessarily th

hey everyone, Wonton Investor here. let's talk about the part of the AI trade that everyone's excited about right now, which is optics and power. over the past few months i've been buying into the "plumbing" of AI data centres - optical modules (AAOI, LITE), connectivity chips (MXL), timing chips (SITM) and storage (STX, WDC). the reason is pretty simple. once a data centre has enough GPUs, the limit stops being how smart each chip is and starts being how fast the chips can talk to each other. copper wire runs out of distance and bandwidth, so you have to go optical, and the companies making that "nervous system" become the interesting ones. and this earnings season, every single one of my six names beat and raised. so you'd think i'd be super bullish. and i am on the demand. but i've actu

Alphabet paid a US$5.2 billion EU fine, and it built up US$3.2 billion of chip systems it will sell to customers later. Even after adding both back, free cash flow is still slightly negative. Over the last 12 months it was US$19.7 billion, against US$73.3 billion for 2025.,the spending is not slowing. Alphabet expects US$195 billion to US$205 billion of capex this year, and says 2027 will “increase significantly” from there. That spending comes back as a cost later. About 65% of it went into servers and networking, which Alphabet writes off over six years. Depreciation was US$8.4 billion this quarter, up from US$5.6 billion a year ago. The chief financial officer said it will “continue to weigh on the P&L”. In plain words, today’s capex is tomorrow’s expense, and most of it has not sta

$Micron Technology(MU)$   Micron has fallen from almost $1,000 to around $896 pre-market. Again. And I can already feel the frustration among MU investors. SK Hynix posts extraordinary numbers. Memory remains scarce. AI data-centre demand remains enormous. SanDisk reports explosive datacentre growth. Micron itself is producing extraordinary margins. Yet MU falls. So naturally investors are asking: WHAT IS WRONG WITH MICRON? My answer? Less than the stock price suggests. But something HAS changed. Wall Street has moved one level higher in the AI supply chain. The question is no longer: “Is memory demand strong?” We already know it is. The new question is: “CAN THE COMPANIES BUYING ALL THIS MEMORY KEEP SPENDING?” An

🌟🌟🌟Everyone, deep breaths.  The Singapore market is having a bit of a moment right now, thanks largely to that recent Citi analyst commentary triggering a wave of nervous selling.  But while some are hitting the panic button, I am sitting tight and holding $OCBC Bank(O39.SI)$  straight through its upcoming Q3 2026 earnings report on Friday, November 6 2026. Before this Citi induced dip, OCBC was the absolute crown jewel and top performer of the Singapore market, aggressively testing its 52 week high of SGD 32.57.  One analyst comment does not mean it is time to sell.  Even though the stock took a short term hit, dropping 9.73% in October, OCBC is still up a phenomenal 46.25% year todate. Wh

Earnings Night: I Don’t Let One Report Decide My Investment Whenever a company is about to report earnings, I think the real question is not simply whether the stock will go up or down the next day. Nobody knows that with certainty. The more important question is whether I am comfortable with what could happen if the market reacts very differently from what I expect. Personally, I would not automatically sell just because earnings are coming, nor would I blindly hold every position and hope for the best. My decision would depend on why I bought the stock, how much it has already run up, and how much downside I can realistically accept. 1. If I bought for the long term, I would not panic over one night If I invested in a company because I believe its business can grow over the next three to

🟢 Hold, 🔴 Sell, or 🟡 Wait? Why My Earnings Night Strategy relies on Implied Volatility and Asymmetric Risk Whenever earnings season arrives, retail investors often split into two emotional camps: those who gamble on a massive post-earnings gap-up, and those who panic-sell early to avoid a potential crash. However, approaching earnings with a binary “Hold or Sell” mindset treats the market like a casino. For me, navigating earnings night is strictly an exercise in probability, position sizing, and managing Asymmetric Risk. If I had to summarize my core stance, it is: 🟡 Wait for tactical entries, but 🟢 Hold long-term high-conviction compounders—provided position size is controlled. Here is the exact playbook and mental framework I execute during earnings season. 1. The Trap of Binary Thinkin

This is the part of earnings season I love. Within roughly 48 hours, we get results from: Microsoft. Alphabet. Amazon. Intel. Strategy. Coinbase. SanDisk. But I would make a mistake if I treated all seven the same. Some I would be comfortable holding. Some I would deliberately reduce. And for some, I would rather own the stock that reacts to their earnings than gamble on the reporter itself. My rule: The bigger the information gap, the smaller my pre-earnings position. Here is how I am approaching them. 🟢 1. GOOGL: MY FAVOURITE MEGA-CAP ASYMMETRY Alphabet enters tonight's report from a very different position from Microsoft. GOOG has already corrected from roughly $338.50 toward $314-$315. That matters. Expectations have come down. I want three things: Search resilience Google Cloud accele

hey everyone, Wonton Investor here. let's talk about Coinbase again. some of you on here might remember my two earlier $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$  posts. in December 2024 i pitched it as a Peter Lynch cyclical, a business whose earnings swing with the crypto cycle, so the trick is to buy it when things look dead. i said i'd only buy at a 20% discount to my ~$180 intrinsic value estimate, so under $150. then in mid-2025, after the GENIUS Act passed and the big institutions started building on Coinbase, i wrote that i was doubling down and that COIN had gone from a cyclical buy to a long-term foundational hold. this is the follow-up i promised back then. it's mostly an accountability post. getting lucky, then getting greedy on Libe

Whenever a company is about to report, investors face the same question: Earnings tonight—do you hold or sell? Some investors hold with confidence: “I'm in it for the long term. One night won't change my view.” Some trim their positions: “Lock in some gains and sleep better.” Others keep cash ready: “If it drops, I'll buy more!” One earnings report can send a stock soaring—or falling—overnight. So, what's your move? 🟢 Hold: Stay invested and ride through earnings 🔴 Sell: Trim your position and avoid the volatility 🟡 Wait: Stay on the sidelines and decide after earnings 💬 Not sure what to write? Start here 👇 Pick any angle that speaks to you: ① Share a stock you're holding through earnings Why are you confident enough to hold? What will you be watching in the report? ② Tell us about an unfo

$Micron Technology(MU)$  

This AI and semiconductor correction is exactly the type of market that tests my discipline. Prices have fallen enough to become tempting, but I don’t think this is the moment to blindly shout “BUY THE DIP!” and throw all my cash into the market. I’m still cautious. At the same time, I also don’t want fear to stop me from accumulating quality AI and semiconductor exposure when valuations are being reset. So instead of trying to predict the exact bottom, I’ve started collecting gradually, mainly $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ and $ARM Holdings(ARM)$ , while keeping higher-risk names like $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ and

**I hold MSFT and refuse to sell before earnings.** Microsoft remains one of the strongest compounders in the market. Azure continues to accelerate on AI demand, with growth expected in the mid-40s percent range and capacity still the main constraint rather than customer appetite. Copilot adoption is expanding enterprise-wide, supporting higher monetization across Microsoft 365 and the broader Intelligent Cloud business. The company’s scale, distribution, and balance sheet give it durable advantages that short-term volatility cannot erase. Selling ahead of the print would force me to time both the exit and a potential re-entry perfectly. History shows Microsoft often beats expectations and raises guidance, rewarding patient holders. Even if the stock reacts modestly or dips on elevated exp

SNDK: I’d trim, not chase the beat. SanDisk delivered a strong Q1 FY27: $11.03B revenue and $49.51 adjusted EPS; Q2 guidance is higher. But great results are not automatically a great entry price. The risk is that AI-storage growth and elevated NAND pricing are already priced for near-perfect execution. I’d watch whether data-center demand converts into durable margins, pricing holds as supply responds, and weakness in consumer NAND spreads. Consumer revenue fell 39% year over year—a reminder that not every segment shares the boom. My approach is to take partial profits after a strong run and keep a smaller position only if the thesis still holds. I’d buy a dip only if guidance and pricing remain firm—not just because the chart looks cheaper. A beat can still disappoint when expectations a

“Be greedy when others are fearful, and be fearful when others are greedy.” This timeless investment principle is especially relevant when identifying quality stocks with strong long-term growth potential. When the market is driven by fear and panic, it may create opportunities to accumulate fundamentally strong companies at attractive valuations. Conversely, when euphoria takes over and everyone rushes to buy, it is time to remain cautious, assess valuations, and avoid being swept up by the crowd. The key is to invest in quality, not just cheap prices. Focus on companies with strong fundamentals, sustainable competitive advantages, healthy balance sheets, and the ability to generate consistent earnings and cash flow. For long-term investors, market volatility is not necessarily th

🌟🌟🌟Garuda, Indonesia's mythical golden eagle meets Merlion, Singapore's iconic sealion:  Introducing 3 Indonesian SDRs  that allows savvy investors to utilise Singapore's robust financial infrastructure to capture deep value in Indonesia's largest corporate titans. However this meeting of icons is currently facing a turbulent testing ground. The MSCI Warning and Immediate Market Impact  Global index provider MSCI has issued a stark warning regarding the potential reclassification of Indonesia from an Emerging Market to a Standalone Market.  The warning stems from concerns over opaque share ownership structures, suspected coordinated trading and gaps in local regulatory enforcement. If this decoupling officially takes place, it will trigger an automated, huge capital fli

share market is a place to make money or to make your money work for you. so buy low sell high is the formula. when earning results come some companies meet the expectations some miss the expectations my strategy is sell n take profit of 20-30% if results good n counter rally buy when the stock pullback if the counter did not meet the expectations then goes down buy 15%-25%  so when the horse run you make your money

For Microsoft (MSFT) watchlist , the available post-earnings history suggests that a strong after-hours reaction has not reliably translated into an immediate next-day gain—but when the earnings narrative is sustained by improved growth expectations, upside has often built over days 2–5. Using three recent positive-reaction earnings windows (2025-04, 2025-07 and 2026-07), measured from the pre-release close: Earnings window Day 1 close Day 2 close Day 5 close Pattern 2025-04 +0.31% +7.96% +9.97% Delayed upside acceleration 2025-07 +0.13% +4.08% +2.96% Gains followed, then consolidated 2026-07 -0.71% +14.68% +25.29% Initial fade, then powerful continuation Takeaway: the average first-session performance across these three cases was essentially flat at -0.09% , while the average f

I would hold on to the mega caps and ride out the current market volatility. However will hold sufficient reserve to enter market when right opportunity appears.

#amzn $Amazon.com(AMZN)$  

I would trim some before earnings. As I still believe in the long term potential of MSFT, AMZN, META and Googl, I would do a bull put spread if it drops and and bear call spread if it rise. I will monitor further if I want to close the legs early or be assigned or call the stock away. I would also build up the war chest if I can. This is ideal plan. More offen, it is difficult to carry out as physiological, it takes conviction