To The Moon

SpaceX Options Flash Extreme Risk With Put Volatility Near 2,000% $Space Exploration Technologies Corp(SPCX)$   options are pricing extreme near-term uncertainty, with implied volatility for zero-days-to- expiration (ODTE) put options expiring approaching 2,000% at some strikes following the company's first major lock-up expiration.  Traders are paying a steep premium for immediate downside protection after the first major lockup expiration yesterday released as many as 911.5 million shares—more than doubling the shares that are available for trading. Amid an 11% share price advance, the short-dated options market continues to price concentrated event risk. For Friday's expiration the put volatility smile still surges at higher stri

$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ should have taken profit couple months ago when it was rocketing. Oh well, been earning heaps on covered calls. This one just got assigned. Happy to let go & move on to new ventures

the foam is more than the beer

Good

It's all fog. Results coinciding with the unlock. Play along 

Hello. The largest first tranche of any IPO lock-up in US market history came free last night: 911.5 million $SpaceX(SPCX)$ insider shares became eligible to sell, taking the freely tradable count from about 639 million to roughly 1.55 billion in one step. The shares rose 6.14 per cent. The day the selling actually happened wasn't last night. It was the day before. On Wednesday the stock fell 13.61 per cent on about 200 million shares, the heaviest turnover since 18 June; last night volume hit 251 million and set another high, yet the price went up. Heavier volume than Wednesday, and the price went the other way — the people who wanted to sell had mostly finished on Wednesday. Someone went back through three comparable cases: in ea

SpaceX Rallies 6% After Its Lockup Expiration: Is the Next Opportunity in Space Stocks? SpaceX has finally given the public space sector something it has long lacked: a genuine valuation anchor. On August 6, approximately 911.5 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading. Investors feared that employees and early shareholders would rush to sell, yet after plunging nearly 14% the previous day, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rebounded 6.1% to close at $114.92. This does not mean the selling pressure is over. By December 8, tradable shares could rise to roughly 40% of SpaceX’s total shares outstanding, leaving the stock exposed to further supply and volatility. Reuters But the more interesting signal came from the rest of the sector.

I lean inflection, but not confirmation yet. Absorbing a $116 billion lock-up without collapsing is arguably more important than the +6.14% itself. The market knew a huge supply event was coming, sellers finally had liquidity, yet buyers overwhelmed the opening weakness. That suggests much of the unlock fear was already priced in. The earnings backdrop helps: stronger core profitability and narrowing losses give investors something fundamental to buy after the sell-off. Cathie Wood and JPMorgan may reinforce sentiment, but they are secondary to the price action. The warning is SSPC falling 12.16%. This is not yet a broad space-sector recovery. I would call it SpaceX-specific capitulation potentially turning into an inflection. Follow-through over the next few sessions, especially on strong

Societe Generale has launched a new $SpaceX 3xShortSG280726(YF1W.SI)$ on SGX on 7 August, complementing the existing SpaceX 3x Long DLC (WK4W). The $SpaceX(SPCX)$ Long and Short DLCs offer investors 3x leveraged and inverse exposure to SpaceX, enabling investors to express their bullish and bearish views during Asian trading hours ahead of the U.S. market open. SpaceX recently reported their first earnings results on 4 August after US market close, which sent its share price tumbling -13.6%. The move resulted in a close to 41% decline on the $SpaceX 3xLongSG280707(WK4W.SI)$. Other big movers post earnings included $Pal

🚀 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ : From Garage Rockets to Trillion-Dollar Rocket Ship (and the Wild Ride Ahead) Picture this: A company that once almost went bankrupt building rockets that exploded on the pad is now a publicly traded beast (ticker: SPCX) that just reported its first earnings as a public company and is actively trying to catch a 50-story stainless-steel skyscraper falling from the sky with giant mechanical arms. Welcome to SpaceX in August 2026 — where the absurd has become the business plan. The Origin Story (Abridged & Entertaining Version) Elon Musk started SpaceX in 2002 with the modest goal of “making life multiplanetary.” Early days involved a lot of “RUD” (Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly — SpaceX-speak for “the rocket blew up”). Falc

Be watchful!  @ARKK Investment Tracker  🤔

Hi @WallStreet_Tiger thank you for selecting my post to feature. It will be an interesting Thursday to find out if early investors and employees will bail on SPCX. If they do, it implies alot about sentiments towards SPCX, no?

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to "What the Tigers say." 👋 This week's earnings season put the AI spending question front and center, with $SpaceX(SPCX)$'s first-ever quarterly print and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$'s Q2 results both beating on growth while capex and margins raised eyebrows. The community dug straight into whether that spending spree can actually justify today's valuations. Before today's session played out, the community was already doing the heavy lifting. Let's rewind to the three sharpest takes from @JC888, @Maverick AI, and

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ 🌚🌚🌚🌚🌚🌚

Markets are focusing on Friday’s US employment report. Softer job creation would reduce the likelihood of another Fed increase and could support bonds, REITs, utilities and growth stocks. However, a very weak report would shift the concern from inflation toward recession and earnings risk. The preferable outcome is moderate employment growth accompanied by easing wage pressure. Earnings The earnings season remains strong overall, but markets are punishing companies whose results do not exceed very high expectations. * AMD: data-centre revenue more than doubled to US$6.72 billion, but its shares fell because investors wanted a larger AI payoff. * SpaceX: reported record revenue, but its shares fell sharply because of concerns over heavy AI capital expenditure, cash burn and whether Starlink

Now that $SpaceX(SPCX)$ Q2 2026 earnings are out, let’s take a look and see whether the post I had shared yesterday holds true. Click here ! for yesterday’s post. In its first earnings report since going public on 12 Jun 2026, SPCX revenue nearly doubled, fueled by its booming Starlink satellite communications and AI businesses, but executives flagged the spending spree underpinning its lofty ambitions ‌is far from over. The company led by Elon Musk said: It expected a $100 billion revenue run-rate by December 2026, Promised a less than one-year payback on new capital deployments for AI compute, and Forecast it would launch at least 1,000 next-generation V3 Starlink satellite

The first move is likely to come from insiders, not new buyers. An unlock does not mean all 911.5 million shares will be sold, but it means the market must suddenly absorb the possibility of much greater supply. Even if only 5% to 10% of eligible holders sell to diversify or pay taxes, that is still a meaningful increase in tradable shares. Three scenarios are worth watching: Bullish: Insider selling is modest and institutions absorb the supply. Investors conclude confidence remains high, and the stock recovers after initial volatility. Neutral (most likely): Heavy trading with sharp intraday swings as profit-taking meets dip-buying. The stock consolidates while the market gauges actual selling pressure. Bearish: Large insider sales coincide with concerns over elevated AI capex. The market

I want to buy but idk if I should because I'm a new investor 

Yes and it may provide a guide for future unlocks, there is a real big one on the horizon next year but I don't think Elon Musk will sell any as he has to be seen to be backing his venture.

Price will be volatile

SpaceX Options Flash Extreme Risk With Put Volatility Near 2,000% $Space Exploration Technologies Corp(SPCX)$   options are pricing extreme near-term uncertainty, with implied volatility for zero-days-to- expiration (ODTE) put options expiring approaching 2,000% at some strikes following the company's first major lock-up expiration.  Traders are paying a steep premium for immediate downside protection after the first major lockup expiration yesterday released as many as 911.5 million shares—more than doubling the shares that are available for trading. Amid an 11% share price advance, the short-dated options market continues to price concentrated event risk. For Friday's expiration the put volatility smile still surges at higher stri

SpaceX Rallies 6% After Its Lockup Expiration: Is the Next Opportunity in Space Stocks? SpaceX has finally given the public space sector something it has long lacked: a genuine valuation anchor. On August 6, approximately 911.5 million SpaceX shares became eligible for trading. Investors feared that employees and early shareholders would rush to sell, yet after plunging nearly 14% the previous day, $SpaceX(SPCX)$ rebounded 6.1% to close at $114.92. This does not mean the selling pressure is over. By December 8, tradable shares could rise to roughly 40% of SpaceX’s total shares outstanding, leaving the stock exposed to further supply and volatility. Reuters But the more interesting signal came from the rest of the sector.

Hello. The largest first tranche of any IPO lock-up in US market history came free last night: 911.5 million $SpaceX(SPCX)$ insider shares became eligible to sell, taking the freely tradable count from about 639 million to roughly 1.55 billion in one step. The shares rose 6.14 per cent. The day the selling actually happened wasn't last night. It was the day before. On Wednesday the stock fell 13.61 per cent on about 200 million shares, the heaviest turnover since 18 June; last night volume hit 251 million and set another high, yet the price went up. Heavier volume than Wednesday, and the price went the other way — the people who wanted to sell had mostly finished on Wednesday. Someone went back through three comparable cases: in ea

Now that $SpaceX(SPCX)$ Q2 2026 earnings are out, let’s take a look and see whether the post I had shared yesterday holds true. Click here ! for yesterday’s post. In its first earnings report since going public on 12 Jun 2026, SPCX revenue nearly doubled, fueled by its booming Starlink satellite communications and AI businesses, but executives flagged the spending spree underpinning its lofty ambitions ‌is far from over. The company led by Elon Musk said: It expected a $100 billion revenue run-rate by December 2026, Promised a less than one-year payback on new capital deployments for AI compute, and Forecast it would launch at least 1,000 next-generation V3 Starlink satellite

$Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ should have taken profit couple months ago when it was rocketing. Oh well, been earning heaps on covered calls. This one just got assigned. Happy to let go & move on to new ventures

🚀 $SpaceX(SPCX)$ : From Garage Rockets to Trillion-Dollar Rocket Ship (and the Wild Ride Ahead) Picture this: A company that once almost went bankrupt building rockets that exploded on the pad is now a publicly traded beast (ticker: SPCX) that just reported its first earnings as a public company and is actively trying to catch a 50-story stainless-steel skyscraper falling from the sky with giant mechanical arms. Welcome to SpaceX in August 2026 — where the absurd has become the business plan. The Origin Story (Abridged & Entertaining Version) Elon Musk started SpaceX in 2002 with the modest goal of “making life multiplanetary.” Early days involved a lot of “RUD” (Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly — SpaceX-speak for “the rocket blew up”). Falc

Hi Tigers 🐯, Welcome to "What the Tigers say." 👋 This week's earnings season put the AI spending question front and center, with $SpaceX(SPCX)$'s first-ever quarterly print and $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$'s Q2 results both beating on growth while capex and margins raised eyebrows. The community dug straight into whether that spending spree can actually justify today's valuations. Before today's session played out, the community was already doing the heavy lifting. Let's rewind to the three sharpest takes from @JC888, @Maverick AI, and

the foam is more than the beer

Societe Generale has launched a new $SpaceX 3xShortSG280726(YF1W.SI)$ on SGX on 7 August, complementing the existing SpaceX 3x Long DLC (WK4W). The $SpaceX(SPCX)$ Long and Short DLCs offer investors 3x leveraged and inverse exposure to SpaceX, enabling investors to express their bullish and bearish views during Asian trading hours ahead of the U.S. market open. SpaceX recently reported their first earnings results on 4 August after US market close, which sent its share price tumbling -13.6%. The move resulted in a close to 41% decline on the $SpaceX 3xLongSG280707(WK4W.SI)$. Other big movers post earnings included $Pal

Hello everyone. When last night's US session closed, $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ were both at records, $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ above 54,000 for the first time. Not long after the bell, $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ was down 8.68 per cent. It wasn't alone. $SpaceX(SPCX)$ was up 9.43 per cent at the close and dived 8.04 per cent after hours, at one point down almost 9 per cent. The two traced almost the same roller coaster: lifted in the session, knocked down after the bell. And neither paper wa

The pattern is becoming familiar. SpaceX reported its first-ever quarterly earnings Tuesday night and beat on every single metric. Revenue of $7.8 billion, up 92% year on year, against a $6.8 billion consensus. Net loss of $541 million, a fraction of the $1.9 billion analysts expected. Adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 billion, up 191%. AI segment revenue of $2.56 billion, up 247%, against a $2.18 billion estimate. Starlink subscribers hit 12 million, doubling year on year. CFO Bret Johnsen said the company is on pace to reach $100 billion in annualised recurring revenue by year-end, with $6.7 billion in additional cloud services agreements already contracted in the first weeks of Q3 alone. Musk pulled forward the $1 trillion revenue target from 2031 to 2030. SPCX still fell 8% after hours, at one p

On the 2nd last day of July 2026, I have shared a post by $Morgan Stanley(MS)$ Adam Jonas warning that $SpaceX(SPCX)$ might fall to $100 per share. click here ! to read the post. When the post was out on 30 Jul 2026 , SPCX’s then share price was $113.50 /share. By the time Fri, 31 Jul 2026 was here, SPCX closed off the month, at $108.37; losing -4.52% from the post’s earlier stock price of $113.50. It wasn’t too long ago that the space technology company founded by the world's richest person, Musk, set the record for the largest IPO in history. For a moment, it be

AMD fell as much as 7% after hours, while SpaceX dropped about 6%. The earnings reports were not bad. The problem was that neither stock had been priced for a normal beat. AMD came into earnings with expectations set too high. SpaceX is simply spending money too fast. AMD: The Surprise Had Already Been Priced In AMD reported second-quarter revenue of $11.54 billion, up 50% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.66. The company also guided for roughly $13 billion in third-quarter revenue. Data center revenue reached $6.72 billion, up 107%, as both EPYC CPUs and Instinct accelerators continued to ramp. Put these numbers on almost any other semiconductor company, and investors would have very little to complain about. AMD still got hit after hours. The first reason was simple: the stock had

I lean inflection, but not confirmation yet. Absorbing a $116 billion lock-up without collapsing is arguably more important than the +6.14% itself. The market knew a huge supply event was coming, sellers finally had liquidity, yet buyers overwhelmed the opening weakness. That suggests much of the unlock fear was already priced in. The earnings backdrop helps: stronger core profitability and narrowing losses give investors something fundamental to buy after the sell-off. Cathie Wood and JPMorgan may reinforce sentiment, but they are secondary to the price action. The warning is SSPC falling 12.16%. This is not yet a broad space-sector recovery. I would call it SpaceX-specific capitulation potentially turning into an inflection. Follow-through over the next few sessions, especially on strong

Markets are focusing on Friday’s US employment report. Softer job creation would reduce the likelihood of another Fed increase and could support bonds, REITs, utilities and growth stocks. However, a very weak report would shift the concern from inflation toward recession and earnings risk. The preferable outcome is moderate employment growth accompanied by easing wage pressure. Earnings The earnings season remains strong overall, but markets are punishing companies whose results do not exceed very high expectations. * AMD: data-centre revenue more than doubled to US$6.72 billion, but its shares fell because investors wanted a larger AI payoff. * SpaceX: reported record revenue, but its shares fell sharply because of concerns over heavy AI capital expenditure, cash burn and whether Starlink

Good

It's all fog. Results coinciding with the unlock. Play along 

The first move is likely to come from insiders, not new buyers. An unlock does not mean all 911.5 million shares will be sold, but it means the market must suddenly absorb the possibility of much greater supply. Even if only 5% to 10% of eligible holders sell to diversify or pay taxes, that is still a meaningful increase in tradable shares. Three scenarios are worth watching: Bullish: Insider selling is modest and institutions absorb the supply. Investors conclude confidence remains high, and the stock recovers after initial volatility. Neutral (most likely): Heavy trading with sharp intraday swings as profit-taking meets dip-buying. The stock consolidates while the market gauges actual selling pressure. Bearish: Large insider sales coincide with concerns over elevated AI capex. The market

Good morning. Somebody got paid last night. Not the name you're thinking of. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ rose 14.25 per cent after hours on Monday. The same day, $Micron Technology(MU)$ rose 0.79 per cent and $SK hynix(SKHY)$ fell 0.70 per cent. I ended the last piece saying $Apple(AAPL)$ had signed for the shortage and the side collecting the money hadn't. On Monday it signed. The signature doesn't belong to a memory maker. Palantir's quarter: revenue of US$1.935 billion, up 93 per cent year on year, commercial revenue growing at around 150 per cent, a

$SpaceX(SPCX)$ While market anxieties recently centered on the cash flow health of major tech giants, SpaceX’s financials present an extreme divergence in capital intensity and cash burn relative to operational scale: ​Disproportionate Capital Intensity: SpaceX generated $3.4 billion in operating cash flow while deploying $34.5 billion in investing cash flow. For comparison, AWS generates $42.2 billion in revenue against a roughly $20 billion capital expenditure program. Conversely, SpaceX deployed $34.5 billion in cash and $15.8 billion in capital expenditures ($18.4 billion including rockets and satellites) off a total quarterly revenue base of $7.8 billion, of which only $2.5 billion was AI-derived. ​Unsustainable Burn-to-Funding Ratio: