MY $Alibaba(BABA)$ VALUATION MODEL PRICE TARGET: $192 --> $203 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: +61% ✅ "The stock remains undervalued modeling $100B cloud revenue in 5 years and a decent operating leverage" ASSUMPTIONS: LTM Revenue: $149.282B (𝘢𝘴𝘴𝘶𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘜𝘚𝘋/𝘊𝘕𝘠 = 𝟩.00) 5Y Revenue CAGR: 10% 2031 Profit Margin: 17% 2031 PE Ratio: 18 Shares outstanding: 2.416B Shares reduction: 1%/year VALUATION: Q2 2031 $Alibaba(BABA)$ SHARE PRICE =149.282 * (1.10)^5 * 0.17 * 18 /[2.416 * (0.99)^5] = $320 You can now choose the discount rate that you prefer, for Alibaba I want to use 12% ACTUAL PRICE: $128 FAIR VALUE: $182 PRICE TARGET (1Y): $203 POTENTIAL UPSIDE: 61% EXPECTED RETURNS: 20.1%/year DIVIDEND

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 H1: Gold is currently consolidating in a high-level flag pattern (a consolidation phase) following the establishment of a bullish trend. The short-term strategy remains focused on buying on dips, with light positions taken for short-term sell trades at high resistance levels. Rally met with resistance: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ After surging to around 4548, gold failed to break through in one go. The current hourly chart shows a slightly lower bearish doji or small bearish candle, indicating strong intraday selling pressure in the 4545–4550 zone. Although there has been

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Currently, after a sharp rally, the market has confirmed short-term top signals and is in a clear phase of accelerating decline ahead of the European market open. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ The bearish “Dark Cloud Cover” pattern indicates that, after reaching an all-time high of 4,527.45, the 4-hour chart has closed with two consecutive bearish candles featuring extremely large real bodies, completely engulfing the real bodies of the previous bullish candles. Technically, this is a classic signal of a top formation and reversal. Currently, there are no signs of a bottoming out indicated by a lower shadow; prices are expected to continue testing the 4,425–4,430

Gold Technical Analysis: $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Currently, the 4-hour candlestick chart is showing a bearish downtrend, heading straight toward the lower Bollinger Band at $4,320. The price pattern has formed a “head-and-shoulders top” and “M-top” structure, indicating a short-term top. Since the pullback from the mid-August high (above 4,450), the highs have continued to decline. The current price has not only broken below the middle Bollinger Band at $4,378, but the short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) have also formed a bearish crossover at higher levels above the price, confirming a short-term bearish trend. The area around $4,362

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! Technical Analysis: The 1-hour chart for gold shows a sideways consolidation at high levels. The short-term bearish trap has ended, and signals of a bottoming pattern have emerged. Key resistance: today’s intraday highs at 4436–4440! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ First Support (Short-Term Stop-Loss): 4386–4388 (intraday low and lower Bollinger Band). Second Support (Pivotal Point for Swing Strength): 4374–4376 (key 50% Fibonacci retracement level and resonance zone with the previous consolidation platform; this is a bottom line that bulls must defend at all costs)! Continue to focus on Buy trades. Strategy: Buy: near 4395–96; TP: 4420–4425–4430; SL: 4382

1 The past week saw a dramatic tug-of-war between bulls and bears in the global gold market. Gold opened at $4346 on Monday (August 11th), surging to a two-month high near $4450 mid-week. However, profit-taking led to a sharp 1.3% drop on Thursday, and further declines to a weekly low near $4310 on Friday. Just when bears thought they had the upper hand, unexpectedly weak US retail sales data reversed the tide, resulting in a textbook V-shaped reversal for gold prices, ultimately closing at $4375.80, a weekly gain of approximately 0.8%. The weekly swing of approximately 140 points resulted in a bullish weekly candlestick with a long lower shadow, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. This was a result of cooling US economic data, expectations of a Fed rate cut, and escalating geopolit

Gold has now accelerated its decline, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. Bearish momentum is unleashing with great force, and the price action is exhibiting an extremely weak, one-sided downtrend. The current downward slope is extremely steep, with bearish forces completely dominating the market. It is expected that, following a weak short-term rebound, the gold price will directly target the extremely critical psychological and technical round number level of 4300–4310. $Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ A short-term downtrend has formed in gold, and blindly buying the dip is absolutely forbidden today. The strategy is to sell on rallies! The key resistance level is currently at 4342-4350! Optimal strategy for the Asian and Euro

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: Bullish momentum for gold (XAUUSD) remains extremely strong, with the price hitting an intraday high of $4,433.94. Gold is currently firmly above all moving averages, and every pullback to the MA5 or MA10 has turned into a rapid buying opportunity for bulls! The price has evolved from a base near 4,000, through a steady rise after breaking above 4,200, to the current accelerated phase of the main uptrend following the break above 4,400. The overarching trend continues to adhere to the core principle of “buying on dips in the t

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1 Technical Analysis: On the H1 chart for gold, the candlestick chart shows a wide-range consolidation at high levels! Price Structure (Range-Bound Trading): Judging from the overall trend recently (from late July to present), gold has been trading sideways within a clearly defined wide trading range. Upper Resistance Zone: Main resistance is found at 4100 – 4144 (near the plateau high shown in the chart). Support Zone: There is extremely strong buying support near 4000 – 4022 (where the price has bounced off the bottom multiple times). Since neither bullish nor bearish momentum has achieved a structural breakout today, the price is highly likely to continue consolidating and adjusting within the core range of 4030 – 4100,

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$$Gold - main 2612(GCmain)$Technical Analysis: The price of gold has officially broken below the key pivot zone of 4086–4090. The current price stands at 4078, with the intraday decline widening further to -0.60%. This zone has now turned into resistance! The signal for a short-term breakout to the downside is very clear. With the 4,080 level under pressure, the only strong support remaining below is the support zone at 4,025–4,011 and the psychological barrier at 4,000. Today is the last trading day of the month. The decline in the Asian session is largely due to some institutional long positions liquidating this month’s profits ahead of s

On Wednesday (July 29), gold staged a reversal that caught many investors by surprise. Before the Federal Reserve announced it would keep interest rates unchanged, gold prices came under pressure and weakened, even falling below the $4,000 mark during the session. However, once the Federal Reserve confirmed that it would keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%, spot gold surged rapidly, briefly reaching $4,116 per ounce—its highest level since July 23. By the close of trading that day, spot gold had risen 0.94% to settle at $4,066.13 per ounce. During early Asian trading on Thursday (July 30), gold prices continued their upward trend, briefly touching the $4,100 mark, with a gain of approximately 0.84%. What makes this trend particularly noteworthy is i

Hello everyone! Today i want to share marco market with you! 1 Uba, Gangnam Style-- Hitting as low as 5265--not far from the 5K support line. No worry, KOSPI will get there in the famous "Gangnam Style" this week. $CSOP KOSPI(03121)$ 2 South Korea Market has a history of leading EVERY major financial crisis in the last half century, including 1998 Asia Crisis, 2000 Dot-com bubble, 2008 GLF crisis. Now, it puked again. 3 MPW Mid-week Update Posted: (1) yeah, the Koreans are good at squid game, and they brought it to the stock market as well. (2) FOMC has a new sheriff in town, and he is not as dovish as most expected, incl. the President. $S&P 500(.SPX)$