To The Moon

JPMorgan's memory call isn't a rotation story — it's a "the correction was wrong" story The framing matters here. This wasn't JPMorgan discovering memory as some new Nvidia-adjacent trade — it's JPMorgan's Jay Kwon calling the recent 25% memory correction a mistake, made on Monday, two trading days before Tuesday's bounce. His thesis has two legs: supply-demand shortage persists for two more years, and — the more interesting part — memory demand is broadening from GPU to CPU in a way he thinks the market has underpriced. That's a different claim than "AI cycle strength is spilling over." It's "the market already knew this conceptually but hasn't modeled the actual volume impact." That's why Tuesday's move (SK Hynix +4.7%, SanDisk +2.68%, Micron +0.87%, SOXL +2.31%) reads as a reset of Q3 e

A mild PPI report pushed the S&P 500 to another record close, but the real story overnight was the widening gap within tech. SNDK surged 13.7% after unveiling its long-term growth targets through 2030, lifting WDC and MU with it. Meanwhile, COHR, Cisco and AMAT all delivered solid results—but their stocks were not rewarded. Investors still want AI exposure, but they are no longer paying higher prices for growth that is already widely expected. S&P 500 Hits Another Record as PPI Eases Rate-Hike Fears All three major U.S. indices closed higher overnight: The immediate catalyst was the July U.S. Producer Price Index. Headline PPI was unchanged from the previous month, easing concerns about another inflation rebound. Goods prices declined 0.7%, including a 3.1% drop in energy prices, o

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Should I buy ? Or wait 

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Y$First Innovative(LEGR)$  

SK hynix remains one of my top AI semiconductor picks, supported by strong HBM demand, leading HBM technology, and continued growth in AI data-center investment. I expect earnings growth to remain strong, although short-term volatility is likely due to high market expectations and memory-cycle risks.

2027 Memory Outlook: HBM/DRAM Remain Tight, While NAND Supply Eases The memory market may begin to diverge in 2027. TrendForce expects NAND Flash to remain undersupplied throughout 2026, with an estimated supply deficit of 4–5%. However, as new capacity and more advanced NAND production ramp up, supply could begin exceeding demand in the second half of 2027—particularly if smartphone and notebook demand remains weak. This does not mean NAND demand is collapsing. AI data centres continue to drive strong demand for enterprise SSDs and high-capacity storage. The concern is that supply may eventually grow faster than demand, reducing NAND manufacturers’ pricing power. Investment implications: • SK Hynix $SK hynix(SKHY)$  remains best positio

Hello. In the last piece Nvidia was out raising up to US$500 billion for AI infrastructure and the market had started asking where the money would come from. Last night we got half an answer: the money is there, but the people putting it up and the people spending it went in opposite directions. The providers all rose: KKR up 6.88 per cent, Apollo 6.26 per cent, Brookfield 4.77 per cent, Blackstone 3.89 per cent and BlackRock 1.54 per cent. The spenders fell for a second day: Alphabet down 3.61 per cent, its fourth decline in five sessions; $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ down 2.09 per cent, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 1.5 per cent, $Apple(AAP

AI hardware stocks have suffered a sharp valuation reset, but the latest earnings show that underlying infrastructure demand remains strong. CoreWeave’s revenue backlog reached $104.2 billion, while Super Micro guided for up to $72 billion in annual revenue. The key bottlenecks are increasingly power, cooling, networking and financing—not a lack of AI orders AI Infrastructure Rebounds After Hours U.S. stocks ended the latest session lower as investors remained cautious ahead of the July CPI report: S&P 500: −0.32% Nasdaq Composite: −0.60% Dow Jones: −0.34% However, several AI infrastructure names rebounded after the close: $CoreWeave(CRWV)$: up more than 14% after hours $Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$: u

What is the go with this ? All is it all a rouse to tank the price then the big fish scoop it all up? [Miser]  

I was too fearful to touch SK hynix, or other mem stocks at elevated prices for that matter.  I did however get in and out long MU, for a small gain. not trying to rub salt into your wounds, just making the point that if you are long now, be careful as we get closer to October and chance of rate increase becomes higher.

I was too fearful to touch SK hynix, or other mem stocks at elevated prices for that matter.  I did however get in and out long MU, for a small gain. not trying to rub salt into your wounds, just making the point that if you are long now, be careful as we get closer to October and chance of rain increase becomes higher.

how are they gonna adjust the leverage? based on what conditions? fine details not provided here 😕

The correct attitude against $SK海力士(SKHY)$  [傲娇]   The problem with the South Korean government is not that it allows such products, but rather that it is a dilemma. The South Korean market originally had no leveraged products. Seeing that Hong Kong Korean stocks attracted a lot of money, the government believed that the fat should not go to other people's land, so it allowed the local market to launch in the name of "protecting investors". Individual investors are investing wildly, and the government is struggling to get out. When the stock price of Hynix quickly returned to high levels, the government said it needed to regulate and restrict, so the market panicked and retail investors stepped on people. Some analysts believe

149k

Sad. Bought at 177. Now 126. Shld in more to lower price. [Speechless]

sndk...wdc....skhy...soxl..total loss usd 10k...not planning to buy the dip...

I don't own $SK hynix(SKHY)$ or $CSOP SK Hynix Daily (2x) Leveraged Product(07709)$ directly, but I've been increasing my exposure to the memory-chip sector through Micron and leveraged semiconductor ETFs during this pullback. I believe the selloff reflects overly high expectations rather than weakening fundamentals. AI-driven HBM demand remains a strong long-term growth driver. I prefer buying quality companies during periods of fear instead of chasing momentum. I've been adding to Micron and SOXL on weakness because I expect AI infrastructure spending and memory demand to keep expanding. Volatility creates opportunities for patient investors. The leverage change to 07709 makes sense from a risk-manag

Just 1k and counting "biggest loss award"?! rubbing salt on wounds.... [Facepalm]

lol what a triggering post

A mild PPI report pushed the S&P 500 to another record close, but the real story overnight was the widening gap within tech. SNDK surged 13.7% after unveiling its long-term growth targets through 2030, lifting WDC and MU with it. Meanwhile, COHR, Cisco and AMAT all delivered solid results—but their stocks were not rewarded. Investors still want AI exposure, but they are no longer paying higher prices for growth that is already widely expected. S&P 500 Hits Another Record as PPI Eases Rate-Hike Fears All three major U.S. indices closed higher overnight: The immediate catalyst was the July U.S. Producer Price Index. Headline PPI was unchanged from the previous month, easing concerns about another inflation rebound. Goods prices declined 0.7%, including a 3.1% drop in energy prices, o

JPMorgan's memory call isn't a rotation story — it's a "the correction was wrong" story The framing matters here. This wasn't JPMorgan discovering memory as some new Nvidia-adjacent trade — it's JPMorgan's Jay Kwon calling the recent 25% memory correction a mistake, made on Monday, two trading days before Tuesday's bounce. His thesis has two legs: supply-demand shortage persists for two more years, and — the more interesting part — memory demand is broadening from GPU to CPU in a way he thinks the market has underpriced. That's a different claim than "AI cycle strength is spilling over." It's "the market already knew this conceptually but hasn't modeled the actual volume impact." That's why Tuesday's move (SK Hynix +4.7%, SanDisk +2.68%, Micron +0.87%, SOXL +2.31%) reads as a reset of Q3 e

AI hardware stocks have suffered a sharp valuation reset, but the latest earnings show that underlying infrastructure demand remains strong. CoreWeave’s revenue backlog reached $104.2 billion, while Super Micro guided for up to $72 billion in annual revenue. The key bottlenecks are increasingly power, cooling, networking and financing—not a lack of AI orders AI Infrastructure Rebounds After Hours U.S. stocks ended the latest session lower as investors remained cautious ahead of the July CPI report: S&P 500: −0.32% Nasdaq Composite: −0.60% Dow Jones: −0.34% However, several AI infrastructure names rebounded after the close: $CoreWeave(CRWV)$: up more than 14% after hours $Super Micro Computer(SMCI)$: u

Hello. In the last piece Nvidia was out raising up to US$500 billion for AI infrastructure and the market had started asking where the money would come from. Last night we got half an answer: the money is there, but the people putting it up and the people spending it went in opposite directions. The providers all rose: KKR up 6.88 per cent, Apollo 6.26 per cent, Brookfield 4.77 per cent, Blackstone 3.89 per cent and BlackRock 1.54 per cent. The spenders fell for a second day: Alphabet down 3.61 per cent, its fourth decline in five sessions; $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ down 2.09 per cent, $Broadcom(AVGO)$ 1.5 per cent, $Apple(AAP

2027 Memory Outlook: HBM/DRAM Remain Tight, While NAND Supply Eases The memory market may begin to diverge in 2027. TrendForce expects NAND Flash to remain undersupplied throughout 2026, with an estimated supply deficit of 4–5%. However, as new capacity and more advanced NAND production ramp up, supply could begin exceeding demand in the second half of 2027—particularly if smartphone and notebook demand remains weak. This does not mean NAND demand is collapsing. AI data centres continue to drive strong demand for enterprise SSDs and high-capacity storage. The concern is that supply may eventually grow faster than demand, reducing NAND manufacturers’ pricing power. Investment implications: • SK Hynix $SK hynix(SKHY)$  remains best positio

Find out more here:Tiger BOSS Debit Card Epic Rewards Refer More Earn More!

Should I buy ? Or wait 

SK hynix remains one of my top AI semiconductor picks, supported by strong HBM demand, leading HBM technology, and continued growth in AI data-center investment. I expect earnings growth to remain strong, although short-term volatility is likely due to high market expectations and memory-cycle risks.

$Sea Ltd(SE)$ Y$First Innovative(LEGR)$  

$IBM(IBM)$   The Case for IBM versus SNDK (SanDisk) International Business Machines Corporation will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 22, 2026 Post-Mkt; the market now weighs a consensus revenue view near 17.86 billion US dollars against management’s preliminary update of 17.20 billion US dollars and looks for clarity on large-deal timing, margin resilience, and AI monetization. Market Forecast Consensus for the current quarter points to revenue of 17.86 billion US dollars, adjusted EPS of 3.02, and EBIT of 3.74 billion US dollars, implying year-over-year increases of 7.70%, 14.34%, and 19.17%, respectively. By contrast, the company’s preliminary update calls for revenue of 17.20 billion US dollars (up

$SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$   $SK hynix(SKHY)$   Comparison Between SanDisk (SNDK) and SK Hynix (SKHY) SanDisk (SNDK) Prediction and Market Outlook SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has a consensus Buy rating, with Wall Street analysts projecting an average 12-month price target of $2,144.14. Forecasts range widely from a low of $1,000 to a high of $3,250, with recent structural shifts toward high-margin, long-term AI infrastructure contracts driving massive bullish revisions. The storage and memory sector has experienced significant momentum, propelled by soaring demand for artificial intelligence data center hardware and storage shortage

$SK hynix(SKHY)$   Comparison Between SanDisk (SNDK) and SK Hynix (SKHY) SanDisk (SNDK) Prediction and Market Outlook SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) has a consensus Buy rating, with Wall Street analysts projecting an average 12-month price target of $2,144.14. Forecasts range widely from a low of $1,000 to a high of $3,250, with recent structural shifts toward high-margin, long-term AI infrastructure contracts driving massive bullish revisions. The storage and memory sector has experienced significant momentum, propelled by soaring demand for artificial intelligence data center hardware and storage shortages. SanDisk’s business model is transitioning from a cyclical commodity toward structural, contract-bac

The week of July 21 to 25 is the single most instructive week in the memory supercycle so far. Not because of the Tuesday gains. Because of what happened on Friday. Understanding both moves together tells you more about how to trade this sector than any analyst note written this year. Here is the full sequence. Memory stocks fell 25% across July to their lows. Monday July 20 saw a 4 to 6% snap-back as no fresh Korea headlines appeared over the weekend. Then Tuesday exploded: SNDK surged 14.27%, SKHY ADR jumped 13.75%, MU climbed 12.17%, WDC was up 12%, the DRAM ETF gained 11%. The catalyst was a Morgan Stanley report forecasting a 25% memory price increase from Q2 to Q3, with the firm explicitly stating it was buying the dip. BofA called the slump a summer reset. Semiconductor ETFs absorbe

$Micron Technology(MU)$ rose approximately 12% on July 21, leading a broad recovery in memory and storage shares. The move reflects extraordinary earnings growth, but it also demonstrates how quickly sentiment can change when expectations are already elevated. Micron reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $41.46 billion on June 24, compared with $23.86 billion in the preceding quarter and $9.30 billion one year earlier. GAAP net income reached $28.24 billion, while operating cash flow totalled $25.39 billion. Micron’s official earnings release and SEC-filed report show the scale of the expansion. These numbers reflect an exceptional memory environment. AI accelerators require high-bandwidth memory, while data centres, smartphones and computers all

$SK hynix(SKHY)$ has fallen from a high of US$194.80 to US$126.29, down about 35%. The drop has been even more painful for $CSOP SK Hynix Daily (2x) Leveraged Product(07709)$ , which has fallen from HK$193.65 to HK$25.28, a loss of nearly 87% from its peak. SK Hynix reported record quarterly revenue and operating profit, but both still missed Wall Street expectations. That was enough to trigger another sharp swing in the stock. There is also a major change coming for leveraged ETF investors Starting August 3, CSOP’s single-stock leveraged and inverse products will move to a flexible leverage model. These products will no longer aim for a fixed 2x or -2x daily return. Instead, 2x will be the maximum, and

After last week's CPI print, inflation expectations eased slightly, while the U.S.–Iran conflict flared up again and the previously-open strait was once more suspended. That said, this kind of escalation seems to occur almost every weekend, and by the time financial markets open it is quickly shrugged off—so I would not advise anyone to be overly anxious; wait until the market opens and it will speak for itself. Faced with this kind of murky, hard-to-read news flow, the best trading approach is to consider the technical indicators alone, and then set the corresponding strategy based on those indicators. Chart: CCTV News — “U.S.–Iran clashes hit civilian facilities across several countries; Iran warns of an all-out offensive” (reported July 19, 2026) I. U.S. equity indices have flipped shor

Hi everyone. Today I want to share a special analysis of the memory sector. Let me start with the conclusion: the most violent phase of forced deleveraging may be close to ending, but that does not mean the correction is over. Memory fundamentals remain strong, while price action and positioning have yet to confirm a genuine reversal. 1. Fundamentals: The thesis remains intact, but expectations got too far ahead The latest rally began after SanDisk’s earnings-driven rerating in late April. Kioxia, SK hynix, Micron and SanDisk all moved sharply higher. Fundamentals started the rally, but Momentum-driven capital eventually took over. This was not a purely speculative move. $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ reported quarterly revenue of $5.95 bil

The global tech-stock sell-off has now run for more than three weeks, and most markets have pulled back to varying degrees. Among them, the sharply-corrected Korean market has even slipped into a technical bear. So is the current decline the eve of a major reversal, or just another routine technical pullback as so often before? Beyond Korea, Japan's market may offer the more valuable reference point. The valuation debate over tech stocks (AI-related) has raged for a long time, and trying to read it from a purely fundamental angle only ends in a dialogue of the deaf. Optimists believe the AI revolution will ultimately arrive; pessimists are convinced the bursting of the bubble is only a matter of time. In truth, for a trader, who is right or wrong is not the point—the point is which moment

$SK hynix(SKHY)$   SK Hynix Prediction and Market Outlook SK Hynix Inc. (KRX:000660) is seeing massive revenue expansion fueled by a generational "supercycle" in artificial intelligence memory chips. However, the stock is currently undergoing notable near-term volatility. On July 29, 2026, SK Hynix reported its Q2 2026 earnings, posting an immense surge in profit driven by high-bandwidth memory (HBM3E) shipments to AI giants like Nvidia. Despite these record numbers, the results narrowly missed consensus Wall Street expectations due to delayed revenue recognition on next-generation HBM4 chips. This earnings miss—combined with broader semiconductor sector corrections and panic selling in the South Korean KOSPI index—triggered a sharp 13%

Every week, Owen talks through some of the trading opportunities and strategies in the current market that are worth watching. This time we won't dwell on preliminaries and will get straight to the point. I believe there are two main opportunities to focus on this time: First, the crude oil crack spread has now surged to a historic extreme. How to find the right timing to short the spread is a highly noteworthy profit opportunity. Second, U.S. equities are currently stuck in a high-level, range-bound pattern. With tonight's upcoming CPI data as a catalyst, how should we use an options straddle strategy to bet on a return of volatility? This is likewise an opportunity worth exploring. Let's look at them one by one. $标普500(.SPX)$